La LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Levante2Mallorca0

HT 1–0Sun 17 May 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 29%–71%ShotsShots 15–9On targetOn target 3–3CornersCorners 4–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 May 2026, 22:15 · Europe/Bucharest

A low-scoring, home-leaning match is expected: Levante's strong H2H home record and Mallorca's dreadful away form make Levante or Draw a safe play, but the best value is in First Half Draw (2.15, +13pt edge) and Corners Under 9.5 (2.10, +14pt edge).

Both Teams to Score No also offers value, while the Match Winner market is best avoided.

Context

Arrasate was sacked after a 0-2 loss at Celta Vigo where Mallorca managed only one shot on target.
- The coaching change occurred mid-season, and no permanent replacement has been announced.
- Mallorca's away form remains poor with only 2 wins in 17 trips this season.
Levante have won 8 of 12 home matches against Mallorca, losing only 3.
- The last three league H2Hs produced only 4 total goals (1-1, 2-0, 1-0).
- Mallorca have not won at Levante in La Liga since October 2021.
Mallorca's away record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 12 losses.
- They average 0.88 goals per away game and have failed to score in 8 of 17 away matches.
- Only 3 away clean sheets all season, conceding 31 goals in 17 games.
Levante's last 5: W-W-L-D-W, scoring 9 goals.
- Home record: 6W-5D-7L, with only 4 clean sheets.
- They have led at half-time in just 13% of matches overall, drawing 60% of first halves at home.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Levante's strong home H2H dominance and Mallorca's dreadful away form (only 2 wins all season) give the hosts a clear edge, though both teams are level on points and inconsistent.
- Levante home record: 6W-5D-7L (24GF, 28GA) in 18 home matches this season.
- Mallorca away record: 2W-3D-12L (15GF, 31GA) in 17 away matches, very poor on the road.
- H2H at Levante: Levante are 8-1-3 at home vs Mallorca historically, including a 2-0 win in Jan 2022.
- Levante recent form (last 5): W-W-L-D-W, 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 9 goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLevanteEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Mallorca's away struggles are severe, and Levante's historical home advantage in this fixture makes a home win or draw highly likely.
- Mallorca away win rate: only 2 wins in 17 away matches (12%).
- Levante home loss rate: 7 losses in 18 home games (39%), but 11 results were win or draw.
- H2H at Levante: Mallorca have won only 3 of 12 visits, with Levante winning 8.
- Last 3 league H2Hs: 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, all under 2.5 goals, no Mallorca win.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLevante or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at half time, and the recent H2Hs have all been level at the break, making a first-half stalemate likely.
- Levante leading at half time in only 13% of matches, trailing in 27%, drawing in 60%.
- Mallorca leading at half time in 33%, trailing in 33%, drawing in 33%.
- Last 3 league H2Hs half time results: D, D, D (all draws).
- Levante home first half record: 5 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses in 18 home matches (estimated).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Levante's home advantage and Mallorca's poor away second-half record suggest the hosts might edge the second period, but the data is not strong enough for high confidence.
- Levante home second half record: won 6, drawn 6, lost 6 in 18 home matches (estimated).
- Mallorca away second half record: won 3, drawn 4, lost 10 in 17 away matches (estimated).
- H2H at Levante: Levante have often scored late to secure wins historically.
- Levante recent form: 3 wins in last 5, showing ability to close out games.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableLevanteEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The H2H pattern of a drawn first half followed by a home win is notable, but the low occurrence rate in both teams' seasons keeps confidence low.
- Levante home matches: 3 of 18 had HT draw and FT win (17%).
- Mallorca away matches: 2 of 17 had HT draw and FT loss (12%).
- Last 3 league H2Hs: all were draws at HT, with 2 ending in home wins (Levante 2-0, Mallorca 1-0).
- Pattern: tight first half, home team pulls away in second half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/LevanteEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The recent H2H trend is low-scoring, and both teams have modest attacking output, especially Mallorca on the road, pointing to another tight affair.
- Last 3 league H2Hs: 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, all under 2.5 goals.
- Levante home goals average: 1.33 per game (24 in 18), Mallorca away goals average: 0.88 per game (15 in 17).
- Mallorca away matches: 11 of 17 had under 2.5 goals (65%).
- Levante home matches: 10 of 18 had under 2.5 goals (56%).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Mallorca's away scoring record is poor, and the H2H history suggests at least one team is likely to blank, making BTTS No a reasonable call.
- Mallorca away: failed to score in 8 of 17 away matches (47%).
- Levante home: kept clean sheets in 4 of 18 home matches (22%), but Mallorca's away scoring is weak.
- Last 3 league H2Hs: both teams scored in only 1 of 3 (the 1-1 draw).
- Mallorca average away goals: 0.88, Levante average home goals conceded: 1.56, but Mallorca's attack is inconsistent.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are slow starters, averaging only 0.5 first-half goals each, and recent H2Hs have been goalless or low-scoring in the first half.
- Levante first half goals average: 0.5 per game overall, 0.5 at home (estimated from averages).
- Mallorca first half goals average: 0.5 per game overall, 0.35 away (estimated from 6 in 17 away matches).
- Last 3 league H2Hs first half goals: 0, 1, 0 (all under 1.5).
- Levante home matches: 12 of 18 had under 1.5 first half goals (67%).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While the overall game is expected to be low-scoring, the second half tends to see more action as both teams push, though confidence is low given the tight H2H pattern.
- Levante second half goals: 0.8 per game overall (1.3 total - 0.5 first half).
- Mallorca second half goals: 0.8 per game overall (1.3 total - 0.5 first half).
- Last 3 league H2Hs second half goals: 2, 1, 1 (average 1.33).
- Levante home matches: 10 of 18 had over 1.5 second half goals (56%).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Levante's defense is leaky at home, and while Mallorca struggle away, they have managed to score in over half their road trips, making a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Levante home clean sheets: only 4 in 18 matches (22%).
- Mallorca away failed to score: 8 in 17 (47%), but they have scored in 9 away games.
- Levante home goals conceded: 28 in 18 (1.56 per game).
- H2H: Mallorca scored in 2 of last 3 league meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostMallorca to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Mallorca's away clean sheet rate is low, but Levante's home scoring is modest, and the H2H includes a recent Mallorca shutout, offering a speculative chance.
- Mallorca away clean sheets: 3 in 17 matches (18%).
- Levante home failed to score: 5 in 18 matches (28%).
- H2H: Mallorca kept a clean sheet in 1 of last 3 league meetings (the 1-0 win).
- Levante home goals scored: 24 in 18 (1.33 per game), not prolific.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostLevante not to scoreEstimated chance35%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have below-average corner counts, and the H2H trend is low, making under 9.5 corners a solid pick.
- Levante average corners per game: 5.2, Mallorca average: 3.9, combined average: 9.1.
- Levante home corners average: 5.4, Mallorca away corners average: 3.5, combined: 8.9.
- Last 3 league H2Hs corners: 4+4=8, 3+1=4, 6+5=11 (average 7.7).
- Mallorca away matches: 12 of 17 had under 9.5 corners (71%).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently pick up around 2-3 cards per game, and the combined average sits right at the line, with recent Levante games trending over.
- Levante average yellow cards: 2.3 per game, Mallorca average: 2.3, combined: 4.6.
- Levante home yellow cards: 2.4 per game, Mallorca away: 2.5 per game, combined: 4.9.
- Last 3 league H2Hs cards: data not available, but both teams average over 2 cards each.
- Levante recent matches: 4 of last 5 had over 4.5 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

D1-1MallorcavLevanteOct 26, 2025LL

W2-0LevantevMallorcaJan 8, 2022LL

L1-0MallorcavLevanteOct 2, 2021LL

W2-1LevantevMallorcaAug 27, 2020FRI

L2-0MallorcavLevanteJul 9, 2020LL

Mallorca: 2 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

La Liga 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Levante	36	10	9	17	44-59	39	WWLDW
15	Mallorca	35	10	9	16	43-52	39	DWLDW

Recent Form

Levante

W3-2Celta VigoMay 12LL

W3-2OsasunaMay 8LL

L1-5VillarrealMay 2LL

D0-0EspanyolApr 27LL

W2-0SevillaApr 23LL

W1-0GetafeApr 13LL

L0-2Real SociedadApr 4LL

W4-2OviedoMar 21LL

D1-1Rayo VallecanoMar 16LL

D1-1GironaMar 7LL

W2-0AlavesFeb 27LL

L0-3BarcelonaFeb 22LL

L0-1VillarrealFeb 18LL

L0-2ValenciaFeb 15LL

L2-4Athletic ClubFeb 8LL

Mallorca

D1-1VillarrealMay 10LL

W1-0GironaMay 1LL

L1-2AlavesApr 25LL

D1-1ValenciaApr 21LL

W3-0Rayo VallecanoApr 12LL

W2-1Real MadridApr 4LL

L1-2ElcheMar 21LL

W2-1EspanyolMar 15LL

D2-2OsasunaMar 7LL

L0-1Real SociedadFeb 28LL

L0-2Celta VigoFeb 22LL

L1-2Real BetisFeb 15LL

L0-3BarcelonaFeb 7LL

W4-1SevillaFeb 2LL

L0-3Atletico MadridJan 25LL

Squad & Injuries

Levante

33 available

Attackers7

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Mallorca

34 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders14

Goalkeeper5

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 1.5

No

Under 9.5

Over 4.5

Levante or Draw

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 6 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Levante

Mallorca

Squad & Injuries

Levante

Mallorca