Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Kocaelispor's slightly better recent form and historical H2H edge, combined with Antalyaspor's poor home defensive record (2.06 goals conceded per game), give the away side a marginal advantage.
- Antalyaspor home record: 4W-4D-8L, 21GF/33GA in 16 matches, conceding 2.06 goals per home game.
- Kocaelispor away record: 3W-5D-8L, 11GF/24GA in 16 matches, but recent away form includes draws at Kasımpaşa and Galatasaray.
- Last 5 matches: Antalyaspor 0W-2D-3L, Kocaelispor 1W-3D-1L, with Kocaelispor showing better resilience.
- H2H last 3 meetings: Kocaelispor won 2-1 away in Dec 2025, Antalyaspor won 3-1 at home in Jan 2025 Cup, Kocaelispor won 1-0 away in 2021 friendly.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKocaelisporEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Antalyaspor's low home win rate and poor form make a home win unlikely, while Kocaelispor's ability to grind out draws on the road supports a double chance for the away side.
- Antalyaspor have won only 4 of 16 home games this season (25% win rate).
- Kocaelispor have lost only 8 of 16 away games, with 5 draws.
- Antalyaspor's last 5 matches: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses.
- Kocaelispor's last 5 away matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or KocaelisporEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a low tendency to lead at the break, and the H2H pattern of first-half draws supports a stalemate at half-time.
- Antalyaspor have led at half-time in only 20% of matches, trailing in 33%.
- Kocaelispor have led at half-time in 20% of matches, trailing in 33%.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were drawn at half-time.
- Antalyaspor's last 5 home matches: 3 draws at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Antalyaspor's tendency to fade in the second half at home, combined with Kocaelispor's slightly better second-half resilience, gives the away side a marginal edge after the break.
- Antalyaspor have lost the second half in 5 of their last 10 league matches.
- Kocaelispor have won the second half in 3 of their last 10 league matches.
- In the last H2H league meeting (Dec 2025), Kocaelispor won the second half 1-0 after a 1-1 first half.
- Antalyaspor's home second-half goal difference is -6 (12 scored, 18 conceded).
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableKocaelisporEstimated chance40%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Antalyaspor's leaky defense at home and the historical trend of goals in this fixture point towards a match with at least three goals.
- Antalyaspor home matches average 3.38 total goals (21GF + 33GA in 16 games).
- Kocaelispor away matches average 2.19 total goals (11GF + 24GA in 16 games).
- Last 5 H2H meetings (all competitions) have seen Over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, including the last two Süper Lig clashes.
- Antalyaspor have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high likelihood of conceding, and Antalyaspor's home scoring record combined with Kocaelispor's away scoring ability suggests both will find the net.
- Antalyaspor have scored in 11 of 16 home games (69%), but also conceded in 13 of 16 (81%).
- Kocaelispor have scored in 9 of 16 away games (56%), and conceded in 13 of 16 (81%).
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings across all competitions.
- Antalyaspor's last 5 home matches: both teams scored in 3.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede early, and the H2H history shows frequent first-half goals, making Over 0.5 in the first half likely.
- Antalyaspor average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game overall, with 53% of matches having a first-half goal.
- Kocaelispor average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded, with 53% of matches having a first-half goal.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 had a first-half goal.
- Antalyaspor's last 5 home matches: first-half goal in 4.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While second-half goals are common in Antalyaspor's home games, Kocaelispor's low away scoring output tempers the expectation, resulting in a low-confidence lean towards Over 1.5.
- Antalyaspor's home matches average 1.94 second-half goals (based on total goals minus first-half averages).
- Kocaelispor's away matches average 1.25 second-half goals.
- 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings had Over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Antalyaspor have conceded 60% of their home goals in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance48%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages from both teams' season data and H2H history hover around the 8.5 line, making Over 8.5 a marginal call with low confidence.
- Antalyaspor average 4.3 corners per game, conceding 5.9 opponent corners per game overall.
- Kocaelispor average 3.7 corners per game, conceding 4.1 opponent corners per game.
- Combined average corners in Antalyaspor home games: 10.2 (4.3 + 5.9).
- Last 5 H2H meetings with corner data: average 9.2 corners per game.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' disciplinary records and the competitive nature of a relegation-threatened home side suggest a match with multiple cards, comfortably exceeding 4.5.
- Antalyaspor average 3.0 yellow cards per game, Kocaelispor average 2.1 yellow cards per game.
- Combined average yellow cards in Antalyaspor home games: 5.1 (3.0 + 2.1 opponent average).
- Kocaelispor's away matches average 4.8 total yellow cards.
- Recent H2H league meeting (Dec 2025) had 5 yellow cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Antalyaspor Relegation	33	7	8	18	32-55	29	LDLLL
11	Kocaelispor	33	9	10	14	26-37	37	LDLDD

Antalyaspor1Kocaelispor0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Kocaelispor

Draw

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Antalyaspor

Kocaelispor

Squad & Injuries

Antalyaspor

Kocaelispor