Over 4.5
Market 27.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average ~4.5 cards per match and H2H history consistently hits Over 4.5, with Zurich at 67% and Servette at 60% in recent games.
Super LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Zurich's coaching chaos and poor home form make Servette the likely side to avoid defeat, but the best value lies in Over 4.5 cards at 3.60, where our 60% estimate dwarfs the 27.8% implied probability.
Avoid goals markets, as odds are too short given Zurich's recent attacking struggles.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 27.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average ~4.5 cards per match and H2H history consistently hits Over 4.5, with Zurich at 67% and Servette at 60% in recent games.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 72% · Market 72%
Zurich's high loss rate at home and Servette's resilience on the road make a Zurich win unlikely, strongly supporting Servette or Draw.
Servette FCBetBugs 45% · Market 49%
Servette's superior recent form and H2H edge, combined with Zurich's poor home record and coaching instability, make an away win the most likely single outcome.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ZurichRelegation Round | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45-63 | 34 |
| 8 | Servette FCRelegation Round | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57-57 | 40 |

