EliteserienFull time

Predictions graded

Viking6IK Start3

HT 1–3Sat 16 May 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–367%

Edges5–183%

PossPossession 61%–39%ShotsShots 14–10On targetOn target 7–5CornersCorners 12–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 May 2026, 23:14 · Europe/Bucharest

Viking's dominant form and Start's away struggles make a home win highly likely, but the best value is in the goals markets.

Over 3.5 goals (1.91) and over 1.5 first-half goals (2.00) offer significant edges, while both teams to score 'No' (1.85) is also attractive given Start's poor away scoring record.

Context

Viking home record: 4 wins, 15 goals scored, 3 conceded.
- Start away record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, 3 goals scored, 13 conceded.
- Viking's last five league matches: 5 wins, 15 goals scored, 3 conceded.
Start's last eight league games: 0 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses.
- Start are 15th in the Eliteserien, in the relegation zone.
- Start have scored only 1.0 goals per game on average this season.
Viking led at halftime in 87% of recent matches, averaging 1.5 first-half goals.
- Start conceded first-half goals in 4 of last 5 away league games.
- Viking scored 9 first-half goals in their last 5 Eliteserien matches.
Mick Priest's departure was confirmed about three months before this match.
- The club is searching for a replacement, leaving a leadership gap.
- No direct impact on the pitch, but backroom churn can affect squad focus.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's dominant form and perfect home record, combined with Start's relegation struggles and recent 4-0 H2H loss, make a home win highly likely.
- Viking have won their last 5 Eliteserien matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding only 3.
- IK Start are winless in 8 league games (0W 4D 4L) and sit 15th in the table.
- Viking's home record this season: 4 wins from 4, 15 goals scored, 3 conceded.
- H2H last 5 meetings: Viking won 3, drew 2; most recent a 4-0 Viking win in February 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVikingEstimated chance78%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's strong home form and Start's inability to win away make a Viking win or draw extremely probable.
- Viking have not lost at home this season (4W 0D).
- IK Start have not won away this season (0W 1D 4L).
- Start have drawn 4 of 8 league games, showing some resilience.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonViking or DrawEstimated chance92%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's consistent first-half dominance and Start's poor first-half record strongly favor a Viking halftime lead.
- Viking led at halftime in 87% of their last 15 matches.
- IK Start trailed at halftime in 40% of matches and led in only 20%.
- Viking scored first-half goals in all of their last 5 Eliteserien games, leading at the break in each.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostVikingEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's pattern of leading at halftime and converting to full-time wins, against a struggling Start side, supports a HT/FT Viking/Viking outcome.
- Viking led at halftime and won the match in 6 of their last 7 Eliteserien wins.
- IK Start have not won a single league game this season, and trailed at halftime in 4 of 8 matches.
- Viking's home matches: led at halftime in all 4 home wins.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableViking/VikingEstimated chance60%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's high-scoring home attack and Start's leaky away defense, supported by historical H2H goal trends, point strongly to over 2.5 goals.
- Viking's home league matches average 4.5 total goals (15 scored, 3 conceded in 4 games).
- IK Start's away league matches average 3.2 total goals (3 scored, 13 conceded in 5 games).
- Viking have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 5 Eliteserien matches.
- H2H last 5 meetings: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals, averaging 4.4 goals per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's solid home defense and Start's poor away scoring record suggest a clean sheet for Viking is more likely than both teams scoring.
- Viking kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 Eliteserien matches.
- IK Start failed to score in 3 of their 5 away league games this season.
- Viking's home defensive record: only 3 goals conceded in 4 games.
- Start average just 0.6 goals per away game in the league.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's defensive strength at home and Start's away scoring struggles make a home clean sheet a reasonable expectation.
- Viking kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 Eliteserien matches.
- IK Start failed to score in 3 of their 5 away league games.
- Viking conceded only 3 goals in 4 home league matches this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostIK Start not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's fast starts and Start's vulnerability early in games make over 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Viking average 1.5 first-half goals in their last 15 matches and led at halftime in 87% of those games.
- IK Start concede 0.9 first-half goals on average and trailed at halftime in 40% of matches.
- In Viking's last 5 Eliteserien matches, they scored 9 first-half goals (1.8 per game).
- Start conceded first-half goals in 4 of their last 5 league away games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half scoring and conceding patterns, combined with Viking's attacking depth, make over 1.5 second-half goals a reasonable bet.
- Viking score 1.0 second-half goals on average in recent league matches (5 goals in last 5 second halves).
- IK Start concede 1.0 second-half goals on average in away league games (5 conceded in last 5 away second halves).
- Total second-half goals in Viking's last 5 Eliteserien matches: 2, 1, 1, 1, 2 (avg 1.4).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Viking's corner-winning ability at home and Start's tendency to concede corners on the road suggest a moderate chance of exceeding 9.5 total corners.
- Viking average 5.9 corners per game overall; at home in recent league matches they earned 6, 7, 6, 3 corners.
- IK Start concede an average of 5.4 corners per away game (opponent corners: 2, 13, 5, 6, 3 in last 5 away).
- Combined average corners in Viking home games and Start away games is around 10.5.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W4-0VikingvStartFeb 6, 2026FRI

L4-3StartvVikingMar 23, 2025FRI

D3-3VikingvStartApr 25, 2021FRI

W4-1VikingvStartNov 28, 2020ELI

D1-1StartvVikingJul 4, 2020ELI

4.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Eliteserien 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Viking Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	8	7	0	1	21-6	21	WWWWW
15	IK Start Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	8	0	4	4	6-16	4	DLLDL

17pt gap between teamsIK Start in relegation zone

Recent Form

Viking

W2-0KFUM OsloMay 10ELI

W3-0RosenborgMay 1ELI

W2-1FredrikstadApr 25ELI

W3-2BrannApr 18ELI

W5-0Bodo/GlimtApr 11ELI

W1-0ValerengaApr 6ELI

W3-0HaugesundMar 25FRI

W4-1MoldeMar 21ELI

L1-2AalesundMar 18NM

L1-2Ham-KamMar 14ELI

W3-0BjargMar 7NM

W2-0Sarpsborg 08 FFMar 1FRI

D1-1TromsoFeb 20FRI

D2-2MoldeFeb 17FRI

W4-1AIK StockholmFeb 13FRI

IK Start

D1-1TromsoMay 3ELI

L0-5Bodo/GlimtApr 30ELI

L1-2Ham-KamApr 26ELI

D1-1MoldeApr 19ELI

L1-3LillestromApr 11ELI

D1-1Sarpsborg 08 FFApr 6ELI

L0-1TromsoMar 27FRI

D1-1AalesundMar 21ELI

L0-2KFUM OsloMar 15ELI

L2-3SandefjordMar 8FRI

D2-2BryneFeb 28FRI

L1-2RosenborgFeb 24FRI

W2-0DonnFeb 17FRI

W2-0LynFeb 13FRI

L0-4VikingFeb 6FRI

Squad & Injuries

Viking

8 out

Attackers5

Midfielders2/8

×#33

Defenders4/10

×#4

×#3

×#4

×#3

Goalkeeper2/3

×#1

#1 A. Ostbo — Leg Injury

#4 M. Roseth — Knee Injury

#33 J. Hansen — Knee Injury

#3 V. Vevatne — Injury

#1 A. Ostbo — Leg Injury

#4 M. Roseth — Knee Injury

#33 J. Hansen — Knee Injury

#3 V. Vevatne — Injury

IK Start

8 out

Attackers3

Midfielders11

Defenders6/10

×#16

×#19

×#3

×#16

×#19

×#3

Goalkeeper2/3

×#38

#38 J. Torkildsen — Injury

#16 J. Meyer — Groin Injury

#19 K. Tonnesen — Leg Injury

#3 A. Ujkani — Injury

#38 J. Torkildsen — Injury

#16 J. Meyer — Groin Injury

#19 K. Tonnesen — Leg Injury

#3 A. Ujkani — Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Viking

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

No

Over 1.5

Viking

Viking or Draw

Viking at half-time / Viking at full-time

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Viking

IK Start

Squad & Injuries

Viking

IK Start