La Liga 2Full time

Predictions graded

Real Sociedad B2Mirandes2

HT 1–1Sat 16 May 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–283%

Edges3–0100%

PossPossession 57%–43%ShotsShots 17–3On targetOn target 6–3CornersCorners 5–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 May 2026, 23:06 · Europe/Bucharest

Mirandes' four-match winning streak in this fixture is the standout narrative, but Real Sociedad B's solid home form (68% unbeaten) makes a home win or draw the most likely outcome.

The best betting edge is the first-half draw at 2.38, though Mirandes' early H2H goals are a risk. Goals are expected, but market pricing on BTTS and Over 2.5 offers no value.

Context

Mirandes won the last four competitive H2Hs: 1-0, 3-1, 2-0, and 2-1.
- Real Sociedad B's only competitive win in this fixture was a 2-0 away result in November 2017.
- The most recent meeting was a 1-0 Mirandes home win in November 2025.
Real Sociedad B's last five home matches: W-D-L-L-D, with only one win.
- They have drawn 6 of their last 15 home games across all competitions.
- Overall home record this season: 7 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses.
Mirandes away record: 4 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses.
- They have conceded 35 goals in 19 away matches, an average of 1.84 per game.
- Last five away matches: L-L-D-L-W, with four defeats.
Real Sociedad B last five: W-D-L-L-D (5 points).
- Mirandes last five: L-L-W-L-D (4 points).
- Both teams have scored only 4 goals in their last five matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Real Sociedad B or Draw

1.49fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 67%

0.0ppshort

Real Sociedad B are unbeaten in 68% of home matches this season, while Mirandes have lost 58% of away games.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.53fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 65.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have high rates of both scoring and conceding in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H trends show frequent BTTS outcomes.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to concede early in their respective splits, and H2H history shows first-half goals in most meetings.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are in poor form with low win rates; Real Sociedad B's home draws and Mirandes' away struggles suggest a stalemate is likely, reinforced by the lack of strong motivation edge for either side.
- Real Sociedad B home record: 7W-6D-6L, 26GF/24GA in 19 matches; 6 draws in last 15 home games.
- Mirandes away record: 4W-4D-11L, 23GF/35GA in 19 matches; 4 draws in last 15 away games.
- H2H last 5 meetings: 2 draws (both friendlies), 3 Mirandes wins; competitive H2H shows Mirandes edge but Real Sociedad B drew 1-1 at home in a friendly in Aug 2025.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 form: W-D-L-L-D (5 points); Mirandes last 5 form: L-L-W-L-D (4 points).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Real Sociedad B's solid home form (68% unbeaten) and Mirandes' poor away record (58% loss rate) make a home win or draw the most probable outcome, despite Mirandes' historical H2H dominance.
- Real Sociedad B home record: 13 unbeaten in 19 (7W-6D); only 6 losses.
- Mirandes away record: 8 wins/draws in 19 (4W-4D); 11 losses.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 home matches: W-D-L-L-D; only 1 loss in last 5 at home.
- Mirandes last 5 away matches: L-L-D-L-W; 4 losses in last 5 away.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonReal Sociedad B or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high first-half draw rates in their splits, and recent form shows a pattern of level scores at the break, making a halftime draw the most probable outcome.
- Real Sociedad B home first-half record: led at HT in 20% of matches, trailed in 33%, drawn in 47%.
- Mirandes away first-half record: led at HT in 27% of matches, trailed in 40%, drawn in 33%.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: HT results: 1-0, 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, 0-0; 2 draws, 3 Mirandes leads.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: HT results: W, D, D, D, L; Mirandes last 5: L, D, W, W, L.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Real Sociedad B's home second-half performance is slightly better than Mirandes' poor away second-half record, but H2H history favors Mirandes, making a home second-half win a low-confidence lean.
- Real Sociedad B home second-half record: won 37% of second halves, lost 26%, drawn 37%.
- Mirandes away second-half record: won 21% of second halves, lost 47%, drawn 32%.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: second-half results: 0-0, 2-1 Mirandes, 2-0 Mirandes, 1-1, 1-1; Mirandes won 2, drawn 3.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: second-half results: W, D, L, L, W; Mirandes last 5: L, L, D, L, D.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableReal Sociedad BEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While a full-time draw is plausible, the specific HT/FT double of Draw/Draw is uncommon in both teams' records, though the match context of two struggling sides could produce a cagey stalemate.
- Real Sociedad B home: 26% of matches were draw at HT and FT.
- Mirandes away: 16% of matches were draw at HT and FT.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: 0-0 at HT and FT in 1 of 5; 1-1 at HT and FT in 0.
- Both teams have low win rates and high draw tendencies in recent form.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals7 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away splits show high total goal averages (2.63 and 3.05), and recent H2H meetings often exceed 2.5 goals, supporting an open game despite both sides' inconsistent scoring.
- Real Sociedad B home matches: 26GF/24GA in 19; average 2.63 total goals per home game.
- Mirandes away matches: 23GF/35GA in 19; average 3.05 total goals per away game.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: 1-0, 3-1, 2-0, 2-1, 1-1; 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: 2, 0, 0, 1, 4 goals scored; Mirandes last 5: 0, 2, 2, 1, 2 goals scored.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high rates of both scoring and conceding in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H trends show frequent BTTS outcomes, making it likely both will find the net.
- Real Sociedad B home: scored in 14 of 19 home matches (74%); conceded in 13 of 19 (68%).
- Mirandes away: scored in 13 of 19 away matches (68%); conceded in 16 of 19 (84%).
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: both teams scored in 3 of 5.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: scored in 3; Mirandes last 5: scored in 4.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede early in their respective splits, and H2H history shows first-half goals in most meetings, supporting at least one goal before halftime.
- Real Sociedad B home first-half goals: 0.5 avg scored, 0.7 conceded; 53% of home matches had first-half goal.
- Mirandes away first-half goals: 0.5 avg scored, 0.8 conceded; 68% of away matches had first-half goal.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: first-half goals in 4 of 5 (1-0, 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, 0-0 at HT).
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: first-half goals in 3; Mirandes last 5: first-half goals in 4.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is common for both teams, especially Mirandes' leaky away defense after the break, but the low overall scoring rates of both sides make this a borderline call.
- Real Sociedad B home second-half goals: 0.9 avg scored, 0.6 conceded; 58% of home matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Mirandes away second-half goals: 0.7 avg scored, 1.1 conceded; 63% of away matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: second-half goals in 4 of 5, with 3 having over 1.5.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: second-half goals in 4; Mirandes last 5: second-half goals in 4.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Real Sociedad B's home clean sheet rate is low, and Mirandes consistently scores away, making it unlikely the hosts will shut out the visitors.
- Real Sociedad B home: clean sheets in 6 of 19 matches (32%); conceded in 13 of 19 (68%).
- Mirandes away: failed to score in 6 of 19 matches (32%); scored in 13 of 19 (68%).
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: Real Sociedad B kept 1 clean sheet (2-0 win in 2017); Mirandes scored in 4 of 5.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: conceded in 4; Mirandes last 5: scored in 4.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonMirandes to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Mirandes' away defensive record is poor, conceding in most matches, and Real Sociedad B regularly scores at home, making an away clean sheet improbable.
- Mirandes away: clean sheets in 3 of 19 matches (16%); conceded in 16 of 19 (84%).
- Real Sociedad B home: failed to score in 5 of 19 matches (26%); scored in 14 of 19 (74%).
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: Mirandes kept 2 clean sheets; Real Sociedad B scored in 3 of 5.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: scored in 3; Mirandes last 5: conceded in 4.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonReal Sociedad B to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Real Sociedad B rarely wins without conceding at home, and Mirandes' ability to score away makes a home win to nil very unlikely.
- Real Sociedad B home: won to nil in 4 of 19 matches (21%); 15 of 19 matches not won to nil.
- Mirandes away: lost to nil in 5 of 19 matches (26%); 14 of 19 matches not lost to nil.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: Real Sociedad B won to nil once (2017); Mirandes scored in 4 of 5.
- Both teams have high BTTS rates in their splits.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance85%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away corner averages suggest a total around 9-10 corners, but recent match data is inconsistent, making over 8.5 a borderline call with low confidence.
- Real Sociedad B home corners: avg 4.2 for, opponent 5.3 against; total avg 9.5 per home match.
- Mirandes away corners: avg 5.6 for, opponent 4.7 against; total avg 10.3 per away match.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: corner data unavailable, but both teams average over 9 total corners in their splits.
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: total corners: 16, 4, 10, 4, 4; Mirandes last 5: 10, 11, 8, 6, 15.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high card averages in their splits, and recent matches show frequent bookings, making over 4.5 cards likely in a competitive mid-table clash.
- Real Sociedad B home: avg 3.8 yellow cards per match; opponent avg 2.5; total avg 6.3 cards.
- Mirandes away: avg 2.9 yellow cards per match; opponent avg 3.2; total avg 6.1 cards.
- Last 5 H2H competitive meetings: card data unavailable, but both teams have high foul averages (Real Sociedad B 16.4, Mirandes 13.3).
- Real Sociedad B last 5 matches: total cards: 10, 6, 3, 8, 8; Mirandes last 5: 8, 4, 4, 6, 1.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance65%

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

L1-0MirandesvReal Sociedad IINov 30, 2025SEG

D1-1Real Sociedad IIvMirandesAug 9, 2025FRI

W1-3Real Sociedad IIvMirandesMar 19, 2022SEG

L2-0MirandesvReal Sociedad IIDec 13, 2021SEG

D1-1Real Sociedad IIvMirandesAug 7, 2021FRI

Mirandes: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Segunda División 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Real Sociedad B	39	12	9	18	48-55	45	WDLLD
20	Mirandes Relegation	39	9	9	21	42-65	36	LLWLD

9pt gap between teamsMirandes in relegation zone

Recent Form

Real Sociedad B

W2-1HuescaMay 11SEG

D0-0BurgosMay 3SEG

L0-2Borussia Dortmund IIApr 29PRE

L0-1ValladolidApr 25SEG

L1-3Racing SantanderApr 17SEG

D0-0AD Ceuta FCApr 10SEG

L0-1Sporting GijonApr 6SEG

L0-1EibarApr 2SEG

L1-5AlmeriaMar 29SEG

L0-2Granada CFMar 22SEG

W3-0Crystal Palace U21Mar 18PRE

W2-0CordobaMar 15SEG

W4-2CastellónMar 7SEG

L2-3Deportivo La CorunaMar 1SEG

W2-0CadizFeb 23SEG

Mirandes

L0-1EibarMay 10SEG

L2-4AlmeriaMay 4SEG

W2-1Cultural LeonesaApr 26SEG

L1-3Deportivo La CorunaApr 20SEG

D2-2CastellónApr 12SEG

W2-1ZaragozaApr 5SEG

D1-1AlbaceteMar 31SEG

D2-2CordobaMar 27SEG

W2-1ValladolidMar 22SEG

L0-2CadizMar 13SEG

L0-2BurgosMar 7SEG

L0-1AD Ceuta FCMar 1SEG

W2-1HuescaFeb 21SEG

D1-1Las PalmasFeb 15SEG

L0-1Racing SantanderFeb 9SEG

Squad & Injuries

Real Sociedad B

32 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper5

Mirandes

34 available

Attackers11

Midfielders7

Defenders13

Goalkeeper3