New England Revolution or Draw
Market 74% · BetBugs 78%
New England's fortress-like home form (6-0-1) and Minnesota's defensive vulnerabilities on the road make a home win or draw highly probable.
Major League SoccerFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
New England's dominant home form and Minnesota's leaky away defense make a home win or draw the safest play, with the double chance market offering a small edge.
Expect goals, especially in the first half, but the value is thin across most markets. Avoid handicaps and halftime/fulltime bets due to New England's pattern of narrow wins and slow starts.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 74% · BetBugs 78%
New England's fortress-like home form (6-0-1) and Minnesota's defensive vulnerabilities on the road make a home win or draw highly probable.
New England RevolutionMarket 45% · BetBugs 48%
New England's dominant home form (6-0-1) and H2H edge (two recent 2-1 wins) give them a clear advantage, though Minnesota's decent away record prevents higher confidence.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams' disciplinary records and H2H history indicate a moderately high card count, with Minnesota's aggressive away style contributing to over 3.5 cards.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England RevolutionPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20-16 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota UtdPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16-19 | 21 |

