Serie AFull time

Predictions graded

Internacional RS4Vasco da Gama1

HT 2–0Sat 16 May 2026, 21:30 Predictions graded

Predictions10–377%

Edges9–190%

PossPossession 40%–60%ShotsShots 12–14On targetOn target 7–3CornersCorners 3–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 May 2026, 20:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Both Teams to Score (Yes) at 1.85 with a high-confidence 18-point edge, driven by a strong H2H pattern (4/5) and both teams' leaky defenses.

Over 2.5 goals and 'No' on home/away win-to-nil also offer value, while the match winner market is too tight to call.

Context

Vasco won 5-1 at home on 28 November 2025, the heaviest defeat in recent H2H history.
- Inter sacked Ramón Díaz the next day and brought back Abel Braga, making this a revenge fixture.
- Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings, showing a pattern of open games.
Defender F. Torres is out due to yellow cards.
- Defender Victor Gabriel is also suspended for the same reason.
- Inter have kept only two home clean sheets in eight Serie A games this season.
Vasco's away record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in 7 games.
- They have scored in six of those seven away games, but conceded in six as well.
- Only one away clean sheet all season highlights defensive fragility.
Inter's home record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in 8 Serie A matches.
- They have failed to score in three of those eight home games.
- Only one home win to nil all season shows defensive inconsistency.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 7

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have poor win rates in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H is balanced, making a draw the most probable single outcome.
- Internacional RS home record this season: 2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in 8 games.
- Vasco da Gama away record this season: 0 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in 7 games.
- Last 5 H2H: 2 Inter wins, 2 Vasco wins, 1 draw.
- Internacional RS last 5 overall form: D-W-D-L-D (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in last 6).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vasco's inability to win away (0/7) and Inter's decent home resilience (only 4 losses in 8) make Inter or Draw the safest double chance.
- Internacional RS home: lost only 4 of 8, with 2 wins and 2 draws.
- Vasco da Gama away: winless in 7 (0 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses).
- Internacional RS overall form last 5: only 1 loss (to Mirassol), with 2 wins and 2 draws.
- H2H at Inter's home: last meeting was 1-1 draw; Inter won 1-0 in 2024.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonInternacional RS or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have identical second-half records overall, and H2H second halves are evenly split, suggesting a drawn second half is plausible.
- Internacional RS second half record this season: 5 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses in 15 games.
- Vasco da Gama second half record this season: 5 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses in 15 games.
- Last 5 H2H second half results: 2 Inter wins, 2 Vasco wins, 1 draw.
- Internacional RS home second half: 2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableDrawEstimated chance40%

Goals8 of 9 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Strong H2H pattern of both teams scoring (4/5) combined with both teams' consistent goal involvement this season makes BTTS highly likely.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, including the most recent 5-1 Vasco win.
- Internacional RS home matches this season: 7 goals for, 8 against in 8 games, with BTTS landing in 4 of those 8.
- Vasco da Gama away matches this season: 9 goals for, 12 against in 7 games, with BTTS in 5 of those 7.
- Internacional RS overall last 15: 1.3 goals scored, 1.1 conceded per game; Vasco da Gama: 1.5 scored, 1.1 conceded.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
H2H history and Vasco's high-scoring away trend support over 2.5 goals, though Inter's low home scoring tempers confidence slightly.
- Last 5 H2H meetings averaged 3.2 total goals, with 3 of 5 exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Vasco da Gama away matches this season: 21 total goals in 7 games (3.0 per game average).
- Internacional RS home matches this season: 15 total goals in 8 games (1.88 per game), but 3 of last 5 home games in all comps had over 2.5.
- Vasco da Gama overall last 15: 42 total goals in 15 games (2.8 per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently see first-half goals in their matches, and H2H history reinforces the likelihood of at least one goal before halftime.
- Internacional RS first half goals this season: 0.4 scored, 0.7 conceded per game; 67% of matches had a first-half goal.
- Vasco da Gama first half goals this season: 0.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game; 73% of matches had a first-half goal.
- Last 5 H2H: first-half goals in 4 of 5 matches.
- Internacional RS home first half: conceded in 5 of 8 home games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Low first-half scoring rates for both sides, especially Inter at home, make it unlikely both will score before the break.
- Internacional RS first half: scored only 0.4 goals per game overall, 0.25 at home.
- Vasco da Gama first half away: scored 0.43 goals per game, conceded 0.57.
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in first half only once.
- Internacional RS home: failed to score in first half in 6 of 8 games.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Inter's poor home defensive record and Vasco's consistent away scoring make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Internacional RS home clean sheets: only 2 in 8 games this season.
- Vasco da Gama away scored in 6 of 7 games, failing only once.
- Last 5 H2H: Vasco scored in 4 of 5, including 5 goals in the most recent meeting.
- Internacional RS conceded in 6 of last 7 home games across all competitions.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonVasco da Gama to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vasco's leaky away defense and Inter's ability to find the net at home in most games point to an away clean sheet being unlikely.
- Vasco da Gama away clean sheets: only 1 in 7 games this season.
- Internacional RS home scored in 5 of 8 games, failing in 3.
- Last 5 H2H: Inter scored in 4 of 5, including 2 goals in the most recent home meeting.
- Vasco da Gama conceded in 6 of last 7 away games across all competitions.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonInternacional RS to scoreEstimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Strong evidence from both teams' scoring/conceding patterns and H2H history makes a home win to nil very improbable.
- Internacional RS home win to nil: only 1 in 8 games this season.
- Vasco da Gama away failed to score in only 1 of 7 games.
- Internacional RS home conceded in 6 of 8 games.
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in 4 of 5.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vasco's inability to keep clean sheets away and Inter's decent home scoring record make an away win to nil highly unlikely.
- Vasco da Gama away win to nil: 0 in 7 games this season.
- Internacional RS home failed to score in only 3 of 8 games.
- Vasco da Gama away conceded in 6 of 7 games.
- Last 5 H2H: Inter scored in 4 of 5.
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half goal averages are slightly below 1.5, but Vasco's away second halves trend higher, giving a marginal edge to over 1.5.
- Internacional RS second half goals: 0.9 scored, 0.4 conceded per game (total 1.3).
- Vasco da Gama second half goals: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game (total 1.6).
- Internacional RS home second half: 0.75 scored, 0.5 conceded (total 1.25).
- Vasco da Gama away second half: 0.86 scored, 0.71 conceded (total 1.57).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches average around 10 total corners, and home/away splits remain consistent, supporting over 9.5 corners.
- Internacional RS average corners per game: 6.2 for, opponent 3.9 against (total 10.1).
- Vasco da Gama average corners per game: 5.1 for, opponent 4.5 against (total 9.6).
- Internacional RS home corners: 6.4 for, 3.6 against (total 10.0).
- Vasco da Gama away corners: 5.4 for, 4.7 against (total 10.1).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Combined card averages hover around 4.5-5.0, and with both teams having disciplinary absences, a slightly feisty match could push it over.
- Internacional RS average yellow cards: 2.3 per game, opponent 2.1 (total 4.4).
- Vasco da Gama average yellow cards: 2.5 per game, opponent 2.1 (total 4.6).
- Internacional RS home yellow cards: 2.5 per game, opponent 2.0 (total 4.5).
- Vasco da Gama away yellow cards: 2.7 per game, opponent 2.3 (total 5.0).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance62%

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

L5-1Vasco DA GamavInternacionalNov 28, 2025SA

D1-1InternacionalvVasco DA GamaJul 27, 2025SA

W0-1Vasco DA GamavInternacionalNov 21, 2024SA

W1-2InternacionalvVasco DA GamaJul 7, 2024SA

W1-2Vasco DA GamavInternacionalOct 27, 2023SA

3 goals/game avg

League Table

Serie A 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Internacional RS	15	4	6	5	16-16	18	DWDLD
8	Vasco da Gama Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	15	5	5	5	21-21	20	WDLWD

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Internacional RS

W3-2Athletic ClubMay 12COP

D2-2CoritibaMay 9SA

W2-0FluminenseMay 3SA

D2-2BotafogoApr 25SA

W2-1Athletic ClubApr 22COP

L1-2MirassolApr 19SA

D0-0GremioApr 11SA

W1-0CorinthiansApr 5SA

D1-1Sao PauloApr 1SA

W2-0Chapecoense-scMar 22SA

W2-1SantosMar 19SA

L0-1BahiaMar 15SA

L0-1Atletico-MGMar 11SA

D1-1GremioMar 8GAÚ

L0-3GremioMar 1GAÚ

Vasco da Gama

D2-2PaysanduMay 13COP

W1-0Atletico ParanaenseMay 10SA

W2-1A. ItalianoMay 6CON

D2-2FlamengoMay 3SA

W3-0OlimpiaApr 30CON

L0-1CorinthiansApr 26SA

W2-0PaysanduApr 22COP

W2-1Sao PauloApr 18SA

L1-2A. ItalianoApr 15CON

D1-1RemoApr 11SA

D0-0Barracas CentralApr 7CON

L1-2BotafogoApr 5SA

D1-1CoritibaApr 1SA

W2-1GremioMar 22SA

W3-2FluminenseMar 19SA

Squad & Injuries

Internacional RS

6 out

Attackers10

Midfielders2/14

×#27

Defenders4/15

×#4

×#41

×#4

×#41

Goalkeeper4

#4 F. Torres — Yellow Cards

#41 Victor Gabriel — Yellow Cards

#27 Paulinho Paula — Inactive

#4 F. Torres — Yellow Cards

#41 Victor Gabriel — Yellow Cards

#27 Paulinho Paula — Inactive

Vasco da Gama

14 out

Attackers8

Midfielders8/15

×#85

×#10

×#23

×#10

×#85

×#10

×#23

×#10

Defenders4/13

×#66

×#96

×#66

×#96

Goalkeeper3

Jair — Knee Injury

#85 Mateus Carvalho — Knee Injury

#10 J. Rojas — Yellow Cards

#23 Thiago Mendes — Yellow Cards

#66 Cuiabano — Inactive

#96 Paulo Henrique — Injury

#10 J. Rojas — Injury

Jair — Knee Injury

#85 Mateus Carvalho — Knee Injury

#10 J. Rojas — Yellow Cards

#23 Thiago Mendes — Yellow Cards

#66 Cuiabano — Inactive

#96 Paulo Henrique — Injury

#10 J. Rojas — Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 2.5

Vasco da Gama to score

Internacional RS to score

No

No

Over 9.5

Over 0.5

Internacional RS or Draw

Over 4.5

Result1 of 2 landed

Goals8 of 9 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Internacional RS

Vasco da Gama

Squad & Injuries

Internacional RS

Vasco da Gama