Fatih Karagumruk22 – 1Alanyaspor1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Alanyaspor's H2H first-half edge and Karagumruk's tendency to start slowly give the visitors a marginal advantage.

• Alanyaspor led at half-time in 33% of their last 15 matches; Karagumruk led in 33%.
• In the last 5 H2Hs, Alanyaspor led at half-time twice, Karagumruk never.
• Karagumruk trailed at half-time in 27% of matches; Alanyaspor trailed in 33%.
• Alanyaspor's away first-half record is slightly better than Karagumruk's home first-half record.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonAlanyasporEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Alanyaspor's stronger second-half performances and Karagumruk's defensive frailties after the break point to an away second-half win.

• Alanyaspor have won the second half in 3 of their last 5 away games.
• Karagumruk have lost the second half in 3 of their last 5 home games.
• In the last 5 H2Hs, Alanyaspor won the second half twice, Karagumruk once.
• Alanyaspor's overall second-half goal difference is +2; Karagumruk's is -5.

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableAlanyasporEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A tight first half followed by Alanyaspor pulling away is a plausible scenario given H2H patterns and Karagumruk's second-half struggles.

• In the last 5 H2Hs, 2 matches were draws at half-time with Alanyaspor winning full-time.
• Karagumruk have drawn at half-time in 40% of their last 15 matches.
• Alanyaspor have won 33% of their last 15 matches overall.
• Karagumruk's home HT-FT record shows 3 draws at half-time turning into 2 losses and 1 win.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/AlanyasporEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

H2H trend and both teams' recent goal involvement support a higher-scoring match.

• 4 of the last 5 H2Hs had over 2.5 goals.
• Alanyaspor's last 5 league games averaged 2.8 total goals.
• Karagumruk concede 1.6 goals per game overall; Alanyaspor score 1.4 per game.
• Karagumruk's home games average 2.4 total goals; Alanyaspor's away games average 2.4 total goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides have been consistently finding the net recently, and H2H history shows frequent BTTS outcomes.

• Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2Hs.
• Karagumruk scored in 4 of their last 5 home league games.
• Alanyaspor scored in 4 of their last 5 away league games.
• Karagumruk have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

H2H pattern and both teams' first-half goal averages suggest at least one goal before the break is likely.

• In the last 5 H2Hs, there was a first-half goal in 4 matches.
• Karagumruk average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded in their last 15.
• Alanyaspor average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded in their last 15.
• Karagumruk have trailed at half-time in 27% of matches; Alanyaspor have led in 33%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second-half openness is common in this fixture, but limited data on half-specific scoring makes this a lower-confidence call.

• In the last 5 H2Hs, 3 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
• Karagumruk concede 1.2 goals per game overall, with many coming late.
• Alanyaspor score 1.4 goals per game, with 0.8 on average after half-time.
• Both teams have negative goal differences in the second half of their recent matches.