EliteserienFull time

Predictions graded

Brann2KFUM Oslo1

HT 2–0Sat 16 May 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–188%

Edges4–180%

PossPossession 75%–25%ShotsShots 14–6On targetOn target 8–2CornersCorners 6–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 May 2026, 23:07 · Europe/Bucharest

Brann are clear favorites against a KFUM side rocked by their manager’s imminent exit, but the 1.40 price offers no value.

The best betting angle is both teams to score at 1.65, given Brann’s leaky home defense and KFUM’s away scoring record. Expect an open game with over 2.5 goals and over 9.5 corners also in play, though edges are slim.

Context

VG reported on 12 May that KFUM and Vålerenga have agreed a move for Moesgaard.
- TV 2 said only formalities were left, meaning the news broke just days before this match.
- KFUM have not won any of their four away league games this season (D2 L2).
The cup final was played on 9 May, giving Brann a seven-day gap to this match.
- Brann have multiple injuries, including key players like Castro and Gudmundsson, which could worsen load management.
- Their last league match after a midweek cup game was a 1-0 home loss to Sandefjord.
KFUM have conceded 11 goals in 4 away league matches, an average of 2.75 per game.
- They have kept no clean sheets away and lost 4-0 at Ham-Kam in their last away game.
- Defenders Aleesami, Njie, Nouri, and Sinyan are all out, further weakening the backline.
Castro (attacker) and Gudmundsson (midfielder) are both out with long-term injuries.
- Defender Boakye and goalkeeper Dyngeland are also missing or doubtful.
- Brann have scored only 4 goals in 3 home league games this season, with one win.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Brann

1.41fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 71%

0.0ppshort

Brann's superior recent form and unbeaten H2H record, combined with KFUM's poor away form and the distraction of their coach's imminent departure, give Brann a clear edge.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Brann or Draw

1.11fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 90%

0.0ppshort

KFUM's inability to win away and Brann's strong H2H record make a Brann win or draw highly likely, supported by the motivational disruption in the KFUM camp.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.48fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 67.6%

0.0ppshort

KFUM's away matches average 4.0 total goals and all 4 away league games this season had over 2.5 goals, but Brann's cautious home record tempers the edge.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Brann's superior recent form and unbeaten H2H record, combined with KFUM's poor away form and the distraction of their coach's imminent departure, give Brann a clear edge.
- Brann have won 3 of their last 5 Eliteserien matches (W-W-D-L-L), scoring 2.1 goals per game on average over the last 15.
- KFUM Oslo have won only 2 of their last 8 league matches, with 0 away wins in 4 attempts (D2 L2) and a -6 away goal difference.
- H2H last 5: Brann unbeaten (W3 D2), including a 2-0 home win in the most recent meeting at Brann.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBrannEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
KFUM's inability to win away and Brann's strong H2H record make a Brann win or draw highly likely, supported by the motivational disruption in the KFUM camp.
- Brann have lost only 2 of their last 8 Eliteserien matches, with 3 wins and 1 draw.
- KFUM Oslo have failed to win any of their 4 away league matches this season (D2 L2).
- H2H: Brann have not lost to KFUM in the last 5 meetings (W3 D2).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBrann or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Brann's slightly better first-half performance and KFUM's tendency to trail early, especially away from home, give Brann a marginal edge to lead at the break.
- Brann have led at half-time in 33% of their last 15 matches, compared to KFUM's 33%, but Brann have trailed only 27% vs KFUM's 40%.
- In their last 5 Eliteserien matches, Brann led at half-time twice (vs Fredrikstad and Tromso), while KFUM trailed at half-time in 3 of their last 5 league games.
- Brann's home matches this season: led at half-time in 1 of 3 (vs Aalesund in cup, but league home form is weaker).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonBrannEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While not highly probable, the combination of KFUM's poor away record and internal turmoil could allow Brann to control the match from start to finish, making a HT/FT double a plausible long-shot.
- Brann have won both halves in 2 of their last 10 Eliteserien matches (vs Fredrikstad and Ham-Kam).
- KFUM have lost both halves in 2 of their 4 away league matches this season.
- Brann's home form is modest (1 win in 3 league games), but KFUM's away struggles and coach distraction increase the chance of a dominant Brann performance.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableBrann/BrannEstimated chance35%

Goals3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of Brann's attacking output (2.1 goals/game) and KFUM's defensive frailty on the road (2.75 goals conceded per away game) strongly supports over 2.5 goals, despite Brann's cautious home record this season.
- Brann's last 15 matches average 3.4 total goals (2.1 scored, 1.3 conceded); 8 of their last 10 Eliteserien games have seen over 2.5 goals.
- KFUM's away matches average 4.0 total goals (1.25 scored, 2.75 conceded); all 4 away league games this season had over 2.5 goals.
- Brann's home matches this season have been lower-scoring (4 goals in 3 games), but the overall trend and KFUM's leaky away defense point to goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Brann's tendency to concede at home and KFUM's ability to score on the road, combined with Brann's strong attack, make both teams scoring a likely outcome.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Brann's last 10 Eliteserien matches.
- KFUM have scored in 3 of their 4 away league matches this season, but have kept only 1 clean sheet in 8 league games overall.
- Brann have conceded in 7 of their last 10 league matches, including in all 3 home games this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show a pattern of first-half goals, with Brann's strong starts and KFUM's early defensive vulnerabilities suggesting a decent chance of multiple first-half goals.
- Brann average 1.1 first-half goals per game over the last 15 matches; 5 of their last 10 Eliteserien games had over 1.5 first-half goals.
- KFUM average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; 4 of their 8 league matches this season had over 1.5 first-half goals.
- H2H: The last meeting (1-1 draw) had 1 first-half goal, but earlier meetings show mixed first-half scoring.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Brann's high corner count and KFUM's tendency to concede corners away from home, combined with the attacking nature of the match, should push total corners over 9.5.
- Brann average 6.3 corners per game over the last 15 matches; their matches average 10.8 total corners.
- KFUM average 4.0 corners per game, but their away matches average 9.5 total corners (3.8 for, 5.8 against).
- In the last H2H meeting (1-1 draw), there were 11 corners total.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a reasonable number of shots on target, and KFUM's defensive issues on the road should allow Brann to exceed their average, pushing the total over 8.5.
- Brann average 4.8 shots on target per game over the last 15 matches; their matches average 9.3 total shots on target.
- KFUM average 4.1 shots on target per game, but concede 5.3 on average; their away matches average 9.5 total shots on target.
- Recent H2H data is sparse, but both teams' shot profiles suggest a combined total above 8.5 is achievable.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

D1-1BrannvKFUM OsloNov 9, 2025ELI

L2-0KFUM OslovBrannJul 19, 2025ELI

W2-0BrannvKFUM OsloSep 18, 2024ELI

D0-0KFUM OslovBrannApr 28, 2024ELI

W4-1BrannvKFUM OsloOct 29, 20221.

Brann: 2 clean sheetsKFUM Oslo: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Eliteserien 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Brann	8	3	1	4	19-12	10	WWDLL
12	KFUM Oslo	8	2	2	4	9-15	8	LDWLD

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Brann

W3-1FredrikstadMay 2ELI

W5-0TromsoApr 29ELI

D1-1RosenborgApr 25ELI

W2-1AalesundApr 22NM

L2-3VikingApr 18ELI

L0-1SandefjordApr 12ELI

W5-1Ham-KamApr 6ELI

L1-2TromsoMar 22ELI

W2-1BryneMar 19NM

L2-3Kristiansund BKMar 15ELI

L0-1BolognaFeb 26UEF

D2-2SotraFeb 20FRI

L0-1BolognaFeb 19UEF

W6-1ODD BallklubbFeb 13FRI

L0-1Sturm GrazJan 29UEF

KFUM Oslo

L0-2VikingMay 10ELI

D2-2ValerengaMay 3ELI

W1-0Sarpsborg 08 FFApr 26ELI

L0-4Ham-KamApr 19ELI

D2-2AalesundApr 12ELI

L1-2SandefjordApr 7ELI

L1-3FredrikstadMar 22ELI

W3-2FredrikstadMar 19NM

W2-0StartMar 15ELI

W2-1TromsoMar 7NM

W3-0StromsgodsetFeb 28FRI

L0-1ValerengaFeb 21FRI

D1-1FredrikstadFeb 17FRI

D1-1KongsvingerFeb 13FRI

L2-7LillestromFeb 7FRI

Squad & Injuries

Brann

14 out

Attackers2/7

×#9

Midfielders2/6

×#19

Defenders4/10

×#4

×#21

×#4

×#21

Goalkeeper2/3

×#1

#4 N. Boakye — Knee Injury

#9 N. Castro — Achilles Tendon Injury

#19 E. Gudmundsson — Knee Injury

S. Magnusson — Knee Injury

S. Opsahl — Foot Injury

#21 D. De Roeve — Injury

#1 M. Dyngeland — Muscle Injury

#4 N. Boakye — Knee Injury

#9 N. Castro — Achilles Tendon Injury

#19 E. Gudmundsson — Knee Injury

S. Magnusson — Knee Injury

S. Opsahl — Foot Injury

#21 D. De Roeve — Injury

#1 M. Dyngeland — Muscle Injury

KFUM Oslo

18 out

Attackers2/8

×#10

Midfielders4/11

×#16

×#27

×#16

×#27

Defenders6/6

×#4

×#33

×#5

×#4

×#33

×#5

Goalkeeper2/3

×#25

A. Aleesami — Groin Injury

#16 J. Hjorth — Foot Injury

#25 H. Jenssen — Injury

#10 M. Njie — Lacking Match Fitness

#4 M. Njie — Red Card

#33 A. Nouri — Injury

M. Sinyan — Injury

#27 T. Soras — Injury

#5 F. Berglie — Injury

A. Aleesami — Groin Injury

#16 J. Hjorth — Foot Injury

#25 H. Jenssen — Injury

#10 M. Njie — Lacking Match Fitness

#4 M. Njie — Red Card

#33 A. Nouri — Injury

M. Sinyan — Injury

#27 T. Soras — Injury

#5 F. Berglie — Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 9.5

Brann

Brann or Draw

Over 2.5

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 3 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Brann

KFUM Oslo

Squad & Injuries

Brann

KFUM Oslo