BundesligaFull time

Predictions graded

Altach2SV Ried0

HT 1–0Sat 16 May 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–367%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 13–5On targetOn target 7–1CornersCorners 4–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 May 2026, 20:37 · Europe/Bucharest

A low-scoring first half is the strongest bet, with under-1.5 goals carrying a high-confidence edge.

The halftime draw also offers value, while the full-time draw is the most likely result but riskier given Altach's poor form. Avoid the double-chance and under-2.5 goals markets due to thin or negative value.

Context

Last 5 results: D-L-L-D-D, with only 3 goals scored and 9 conceded.
- They failed to score in two of those five matches.
- At home this season they average just 1.27 goals per game, but recent output is even lower.
Last three H2H results: 3-2 Ried, 3-0 Ried, 1-0 Altach.
- Ried scored three goals in each of their two wins.
- Ried lead the all-time series 22 wins to 13.
Ingolitsch left during the 2025-26 winter break; Zaric took over on 9 January 2026.
- Senft informed Ried on 28 December 2025 he would stay for the spring after Sturm Graz showed interest.
- Altach's form has dipped since the change, while Ried have been more consistent.
Home record this season: 5W-5D-1L.
- Last 5 home matches: 2W-3D-0L.
- They have drawn 5 of 11 home games overall, showing a pattern of stalemates.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Altach's strong home resilience (only 1 loss) clashes with their poor recent form, while Ried's inconsistent away record suggests a stalemate is likely, reinforced by Altach's high draw rate at home.
- Altach home record: 5W-5D-1L in 11 home matches this season, with 14 goals scored and 10 conceded.
- SV Ried away record: 4W-1D-6L in 11 away matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17.
- Altach last 5 form: D-L-L-D-D (0 wins), with only 3 goals scored and 9 conceded.
- SV Ried last 5 form: L-W-L-W-D (2 wins), scoring 5 and conceding 4.
- H2H last 3 meetings: 2 SV Ried wins, 1 Altach win, all with at least 2 total goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Altach's fortress-like home form (only one loss all season) makes them unlikely to lose, and Ried's poor away record (6 losses) supports a home-favored double chance.
- Altach home record: 5W-5D-1L, meaning they avoided defeat in 10 of 11 home matches.
- SV Ried away losses: 6 in 11 away matches, with only 1 draw.
- Altach last 5 home matches: 2W-3D-0L, unbeaten in last 5 at home.
- H2H at Altach: Altach won the last home meeting 1-0 in August 2025.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAltach or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high tendency to be level at halftime, with Altach's 46% draw rate and Ried's 33% draw rate in first halves, making a stalemate at the break the most likely scenario.
- Altach first half record: leading at HT in 47% of matches, trailing in 7%, drawing in 46%.
- SV Ried first half record: leading at HT in 40% of matches, trailing in 27%, drawing in 33%.
- Altach last 5 first halves: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss.
- SV Ried last 5 first halves: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss.
- H2H last 3 first halves: 1 Altach win, 1 Ried win, 1 draw.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Altach has a high draw tendency at home, Ried rarely draws away, making this a low-probability but possible outcome given the match's expected tightness.
- Altach home HT draws: 6 in 11 matches (55%), FT draws: 5 in 11 (45%).
- SV Ried away HT draws: 3 in 11 (27%), FT draws: 1 in 11 (9%).
- Altach last 5: 2 HT draws, 3 FT draws.
- SV Ried last 5: 2 HT draws, 1 FT draw.
- H2H last 3: no HT/FT double draws.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring trends recently, and Altach's home matches average only 2.18 total goals, making under 2.5 the most probable outcome despite occasional H2H high scores.
- Altach home goals: 14 in 11 matches (1.27 per game), with 10 conceded (0.91 per game).
- SV Ried away goals: 14 in 11 matches (1.27 per game), with 17 conceded (1.55 per game).
- Altach last 5 matches: 3 goals scored, 9 conceded, all under 2.5 total goals except one 2-2 draw.
- SV Ried last 5 matches: 5 goals scored, 4 conceded, with 4 of 5 matches under 2.5 goals.
- H2H last 3 meetings: 3-2, 3-0, 1-0, averaging 3.0 goals but with one low-scoring match.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Altach's solid home defense (0.91 goals conceded per game) and Ried's occasional away scoring struggles suggest at least one team may fail to score, especially given the low-scoring recent form of both sides.
- Altach home clean sheets: 5 in 11 home matches (45%).
- SV Ried away failed to score: 4 in 11 away matches (36%).
- Altach last 5 matches: failed to score in 2, conceded in 4.
- SV Ried last 5 matches: failed to score in 2, kept 2 clean sheets.
- H2H last 3: both teams scored in 1 of 3 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are extremely low-scoring in the first half, with combined averages of 1.2 goals per game, and recent matches show a clear pattern of under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Altach first half goals: 0.7 per game, first half goals conceded: 0.3 per game.
- SV Ried first half goals: 0.5 per game, first half goals conceded: 0.3 per game.
- Altach last 5 first halves: total 3 goals scored, 1 conceded.
- SV Ried last 5 first halves: total 3 goals scored, 1 conceded.
- H2H last 3 first halves: 1 goal, 0 goals, 0 goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While recent second-half data is mixed, the H2H trend shows higher scoring after the break, and both teams tend to concede more in the second half, but low confidence due to Altach's recent second-half drought.
- Altach second half goals: 0.4 per game (1.1 total - 0.7 first half), conceded 1.0 (1.3 - 0.3).
- SV Ried second half goals: 0.6 per game (1.1 - 0.5), conceded 0.9 (1.2 - 0.3).
- Altach last 5 second halves: 0 goals scored, 8 conceded (skewed by 4-1 loss).
- SV Ried last 5 second halves: 2 goals scored, 3 conceded.
- H2H last 3 second halves: 4 goals, 3 goals, 1 goal.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Altach's low corner count (3.2 per game) drags the combined average down, and H2H history shows consistently low corner totals, making under 9.5 corners likely.
- Altach average corners: 3.2 per game, opponent corners: 5.3 per game, total 8.5.
- SV Ried average corners: 4.6 per game, opponent corners: 5.5 per game, total 10.1.
- Altach last 5 matches: total corners 15 for, 26 against, average 8.2 per match.
- SV Ried last 5 matches: total corners 28 for, 28 against, average 11.2 per match.
- H2H last 3 meetings: corner totals 6, 9, 6 (all under 9.5).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have disciplinary records averaging over 2 cards per game, and Altach's high red card rate (0.8 per game) increases the likelihood of a card-heavy match, pushing the total over 4.5.
- Altach average yellow cards: 1.8 per game, red cards: 0.8 per game.
- SV Ried average yellow cards: 2.3 per game, red cards: 0.3 per game.
- Altach last 5 matches: 6 yellow cards, 1 red card (total 7 cards).
- SV Ried last 5 matches: 10 yellow cards, 0 red cards (total 10 cards).
- H2H last 3 meetings: card data unavailable, but both teams average over 2 cards per game.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L3-2RiedvSCR AltachApr 3, 2026BL

L3-0RiedvSCR AltachDec 13, 2025BL

L1-0SCR AltachvRiedAug 9, 2025BL

W0-1RiedvSCR AltachMay 19, 2023BL

D1-1SCR AltachvRiedApr 22, 2023BL

SV Ried: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Bundesliga 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Altach Relegation Round	22	7	8	7	22-23	29	DLLDD
9	SV Ried Relegation Round	22	8	4	10	26-30	28	LWLWD

1pt gap between teamsAltach in relegation zoneSV Ried in relegation zone

Recent Form

Altach

D2-2Grazer AKMay 9BL

L1-4Wolfsberger ACMay 4BL

L0-3FC BW LinzApr 24BL

D0-0WSG WattensApr 21BL

D2-2WSG WattensApr 18BL

W1-0Grazer AKApr 11BL

L2-3RiedApr 3BL

D1-1Wolfsberger ACMar 21BL

W3-1FC BW LinzMar 14BL

L0-2Sturm GrazMar 8BL

W1-0Red Bull SalzburgMar 4CUP

D1-1Rapid ViennaMar 1BL

W2-1Austria ViennaFeb 21BL

D0-0TSV HartbergFeb 14BL

W1-0FC BW LinzFeb 8BL

SV Ried

L0-1Wolfsberger ACMay 9BL

W2-0FC BW LinzMay 2BL

L0-1WSG WattensApr 25BL

W2-1Grazer AKApr 21BL

D1-1Grazer AKApr 17BL

D0-0Wolfsberger ACApr 11BL

W3-2SCR AltachApr 3BL

W2-1WSPG WelsMar 27FRI

L2-3FC BW LinzMar 21BL

W2-1WSG WattensMar 14BL

L0-2Austria ViennaMar 8BL

L1-2Grazer AKMar 1BL

D1-1WSG WattensFeb 22BL

D1-1Lask LinzFeb 14BL

L0-1Sturm GrazFeb 8BL

Squad & Injuries

Altach

29 available

Attackers9

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

SV Ried

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders6

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw

Under 1.5

Under 9.5

Altach or Draw

No

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Altach

SV Ried

Squad & Injuries

Altach

SV Ried