Estrela da Amadora vs Famalicao: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Famalicao's strong form and Estrela's poor recent results, combined with Famalicao's better defensive record, give them the edge despite Estrela's new manager bounce potential.
- Estrela lost last 5 matches, conceding 1.8 goals per game over last 15.
- Famalicao unbeaten in last 5 (W2 D3), conceding only 1.0 goals per game over last 15.
- Famalicao away record: 6W 6D 4L, Estrela home record: 4W 5D 7L.
- H2H last 5: Estrela 2W 2D 1L, but Famalicao won most recent away meeting 3-0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFamalicaoEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Estrela's terrible form and Famalicao's consistency make a home win unlikely; the double chance covers the most probable outcomes.
- Estrela lost last 5 matches, failing to win any of last 15.
- Famalicao unbeaten in last 5, with 3 draws in that run.
- H2H last 4 meetings: 2 draws, 1 Famalicao win, 1 Estrela win.
- Estrela home record: only 4 wins in 16, with 5 draws.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or FamalicaoEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have poor first-half records, and the H2H consistently produces level scores at the break.
- Estrela led at halftime in only 20% of last 15 matches.
- Famalicao led at halftime in only 13% of last 15 matches.
- H2H last 4 meetings: all were draws at halftime.
- Estrela's last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Famalicao's stronger second-half performances and Estrela's tendency to fade make an away second-half win plausible, though confidence is low due to Estrela's new manager effect.
- Famalicao won the second half in 3 of last 5 matches.
- Estrela lost the second half in 4 of last 5 matches.
- Famalicao's away second-half record: +2 goal difference over last 5 away.
- Estrela's home second-half record: -3 goal difference over last 5 home.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableFamalicaoEstimated chance40%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent low-scoring trends and the historically tight H2H point to a match with few goals.
- Estrela averages 0.9 goals scored, 1.8 conceded over last 15; 5 of last 6 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Famalicao averages 1.4 goals scored, 1.0 conceded over last 15; 4 of last 5 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- H2H last 4 meetings: 3 had under 2.5 goals, including two 0-0 draws.
- Estrela home matches average 2.8 total goals, but recent form suggests lower scoring.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Estrela's attacking struggles and Famalicao's defensive solidity, along with the H2H pattern, make a clean sheet for at least one side likely.
- Estrela failed to score in 4 of last 5 matches.
- Famalicao kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 matches.
- H2H last 4 meetings: only 1 saw both teams score.
- Estrela scored only 0.9 goals per game over last 15, Famalicao conceded 1.0.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams start slowly, and the H2H trend strongly supports a goalless first half.
- Estrela averages 0.4 first-half goals, trailing at halftime in 47% of matches over last 15.
- Famalicao averages 0.3 first-half goals, with 0-0 at halftime in 8 of last 15 matches.
- H2H last 4 meetings: 3 were 0-0 at halftime.
- Estrela's last 5 matches: only 1 had a first-half goal from them.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score and concede more after the break, and the H2H pattern reinforces second-half activity.
- Estrela conceded 1.8 goals per game, with most goals coming in second half.
- Famalicao scored 1.4 goals per game, with 8 of last 10 goals coming after halftime.
- H2H last 4 meetings: all goals scored in second half.
- Estrela's last 5 matches: 8 of 9 total goals came in second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 0.5Estimated chance75%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner numbers and the low-corner H2H history suggest a match with fewer than 10 corners.
- Estrela averages 3.3 corners per game over last 15, with 5 of last 6 matches under 9.5 total corners.
- Famalicao averages 5.1 corners per game, but away matches average 8.8 total corners.
- H2H last 4 meetings: total corners were 5, 8, 9, 7 (all under 9.5).
- Estrela home matches average 7.8 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in matches with multiple cards recently, and the H2H often sees bookings, though confidence is low without referee specifics.
- Estrela averages 2.5 yellow cards per game over last 15, with 4+ cards in 4 of last 5.
- Famalicao averages 2.3 yellow cards per game, with 4+ cards in 3 of last 5.
- H2H last 4 meetings: card counts were 5, 4, 6, 3 (3 of 4 over 4.5).
- Referee data unavailable, but both teams' recent discipline suggests cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	Estrela da Amadora	32	6	10	16	36-54	28	LLLLL
5	Famalicao	32	14	10	8	41-29	52	DWDDD

Estrela da Amadora0Famalicao0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

No

Under 0.5

Under 9.5

Draw or Famalicao

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Estrela da Amadora

Famalicao

Squad & Injuries

Estrela da Amadora

Famalicao