Premier LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

Crystal Palace2Everton2

HT 1–1Sun 10 May 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–544%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 59%–41%ShotsShots 21–13On targetOn target 8–6CornersCorners 5–10

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 May 2026, 22:30 · Europe/Bucharest

Everton’s decade-long H2H dominance and Palace’s poor home form (4 wins in 17) make Draw or Everton the safest play at 1.44.

Value also exists on under 2.5 goals (1.78) and under 9.5 corners (1.85), while the first-half under 1.5 goals is a trap at short odds.

Context

FourFourTwo reported on 5 May 2026 that Palace have been planning for Glasner's replacement since his January announcement.
- Glasner's departure was confirmed months ago, making these final matches a lame-duck period.
- The Guardian noted Glasner's public frustration over financial limits, adding background noise.
Everton are unbeaten in the last 10 H2Hs, winning 3 of the last 4 Premier League meetings.
- Palace's last win in this fixture was a 3-1 home victory in December 2021.
- Everton have lost only twice in the last 25 meetings across all competitions.
Palace have 4 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses at home in the Premier League this season.
- They have a negative goal difference at home (16 scored, 19 conceded).
- Palace have drawn 8 home games, the highest home draw count in the league.
Palace played Shakhtar Donetsk away on 30 April, winning 3-1.
- The match was only 10 days before this fixture, with possible travel and physical toll.
- The Guardian highlighted Palace's European commitments as a focus split in Glasner's final weeks.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Everton's strong H2H dominance and Palace's poor home form, combined with the distraction of an outgoing manager, make an Everton win the most likely single outcome.
- Everton are unbeaten in the last 10 H2Hs across all competitions, winning 3 of the last 4 Premier League meetings.
- Crystal Palace have won only 4 of 17 home league matches this season, with 8 draws and 5 losses.
- Everton's away record is 7 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses, showing they can pick up points on the road.
- Palace's recent form is LLDWD, with only 1 win in their last 5 league games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostEvertonEstimated chance40%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of Everton's H2H psychological edge and Palace's inability to win at home (only 4 wins in 17) strongly supports Everton avoiding defeat.
- Everton are unbeaten in 10 straight H2Hs; Palace have not beaten Everton since December 2021.
- Palace have drawn 8 of 17 home league games this season, the highest draw count at home in the league.
- Everton have lost only 6 of 17 away games, with 4 draws.
- Palace's home goal difference is -3 (16 scored, 19 conceded), indicating vulnerability.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or EvertonEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The pattern of low-scoring first halves and the frequency of draws at the break in both teams' recent matches and H2H history point to a stalemate at half-time.
- Palace's recent first-half results: 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in last 10 league games.
- Everton's recent first-half results: 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in last 10 league games.
- In the last 4 H2H meetings, the half-time results were: 0-0, 1-0, 0-0, 0-0.
- Palace have drawn 40% of home games at half-time this season.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While not the most likely outcome, the combination of low stakes, Palace's draw-heavy home record, and the potential for a cautious start makes a full-time draw after a drawn first half a plausible scenario.
- Palace have drawn 8 of 17 home league games, with 4 of those being 0-0 or 1-1 at half-time.
- Everton have drawn 4 of 17 away games, with 2 ending in half-time draws.
- The last H2H draw was 1-1 in February 2024, with a 0-0 half-time score.
- Both teams have mid-table security with little to play for, reducing urgency.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and the H2H trend points to tight, low-scoring affairs, making under 2.5 goals the most probable outcome.
- Palace's home league matches average 2.06 total goals (16 scored, 19 conceded in 17 games).
- Everton's away league matches average 2.29 total goals (19 scored, 20 conceded in 17 games).
- The last 4 H2H meetings have all seen exactly 2 or 3 goals, with 3 of 4 finishing 2-1.
- Palace have scored only 1.3 goals per game on average over their last 15, Everton 1.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have shown consistent ability to score while also conceding, and the H2H pattern reinforces the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
- Palace have scored in 12 of 17 home league games this season.
- Everton have scored in 13 of 17 away league games this season.
- Palace have kept only 4 clean sheets at home, Everton only 4 clean sheets away.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages and a H2H history of tight opening periods, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Palace average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded over their last 15 matches.
- Everton average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded over their last 15 matches.
- In the last 4 H2H meetings, first-half goals were: 0, 1, 1, 0.
- Palace have led at half-time in only 40% of recent matches, Everton in 33%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While overall scoring is low, the second half often sees more goals as the game opens up, and Everton's stronger second-half record suggests a chance of over 1.5 goals after the break.
- Palace score 0.5 second-half goals on average, concede 0.4.
- Everton score 1.0 second-half goals on average, concede 0.9.
- In the last 4 H2H meetings, second-half goals were: 2, 1, 2, 1.
- Both teams tend to be more open after the break, with Everton particularly improving in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate relatively low corner counts, and their combined averages plus H2H data suggest a total under 9.5 corners is the most probable outcome.
- Palace average 4.1 corners per game over their last 15 matches, Everton also 4.1.
- Palace's home matches average 7.8 total corners (based on 4.1 for, 3.7 against).
- Everton's away matches average 7.5 total corners (based on 4.1 for, 3.4 against).
- The last 4 H2H meetings had total corners: 8, 9, 7, 10.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The disciplinary averages of both teams and the historical card counts in this fixture point to a match with over 3.5 total cards.
- Palace average 2.1 yellow cards per game over their last 15, Everton also 2.1.
- Combined average of 4.2 cards per game when these teams play.
- In the last 4 H2H meetings, total cards were: 4, 5, 3, 4.
- Palace commit 13.1 fouls per game, Everton 10.9, indicating a physical contest.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 4W

L2-1EvertonvCrystal PalaceOct 5, 2025PL

L1-2Crystal PalacevEvertonFeb 15, 2025PL

L2-1EvertonvCrystal PalaceSep 28, 2024PL

D1-1EvertonvCrystal PalaceFeb 19, 2024PL

L1-0EvertonvCrystal PalaceJan 17, 2024FAC

Everton unbeaten in 5 meetings2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Premier League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	Crystal Palace	34	11	10	13	36-42	43	LLDWD
10	Everton	35	13	9	13	44-44	48	DLLDW

5pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Crystal Palace

L0-3BournemouthMay 3PL

W3-1Shakhtar DonetskApr 30UEF

L1-3LiverpoolApr 25PL

D0-0West HamApr 20PL

L1-2FiorentinaApr 16UEF

W2-1NewcastleApr 12PL

W3-0FiorentinaApr 9UEF

D0-0LeedsMar 15PL

D0-0AEK LarnacaMar 12UEF

W3-1TottenhamMar 5PL

L1-2Manchester UnitedMar 1PL

W2-0ZrinjskiFeb 26UEF

W1-0WolvesFeb 22PL

D1-1ZrinjskiFeb 19UEF

L2-3BurnleyFeb 11PL

Everton

D3-3Manchester CityMay 4PL

L1-2West HamApr 25PL

L1-2LiverpoolApr 19PL

D2-2BrentfordApr 11PL

W3-0ChelseaMar 21PL

L0-2ArsenalMar 14PL

W2-0BurnleyMar 3PL

W3-2NewcastleFeb 28PL

L0-1Manchester UnitedFeb 23PL

L1-2BournemouthFeb 10PL

W2-1FulhamFeb 7PL

D1-1BrightonJan 31PL

D1-1LeedsJan 26PL

W1-0Aston VillaJan 18PL

D1-1WolvesJan 7PL

Squad & Injuries

Crystal Palace

31 available

Attackers9

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Everton

29 available

Attackers5

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Everton

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 9.5

Over 3.5

Under 1.5

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Crystal Palace

Everton

Squad & Injuries

Crystal Palace

Everton