Auxerre vs Nice: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology strongly points to a draw, with 4 of the last 6 meetings ending level; both teams are in relegation-threatened form with multiple recent draws, reducing the likelihood of a decisive winner.
- H2H last 6: 4 draws, including three 1-1 scorelines
- Auxerre home record: 5W-4D-7L, Nice away: 3W-3D-10L
- Auxerre last 5 form: W-D-D-D-D (1W-4D), Nice last 5: D-D-W-D-D (1W-4D)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Auxerre's home resilience (only 7 losses in 16) and Nice's poor away record (10 losses in 16) make Auxerre or Draw the safest outcome, reinforced by H2H where Auxerre avoided defeat in 4 of last 5.
- Auxerre home: 5W-4D-7L, Nice away: 3W-3D-10L
- H2H last 5: Auxerre 1W-3D-1L (only loss was away)
- Auxerre home goals conceded avg 1.0, Nice away goals scored avg 1.06
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAuxerre or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nice's first-half struggles (trailing in 53% of games) are offset by Auxerre's low first-half win rate (27%); the tactical matchup edge suggests a stalemate at the break, consistent with H2H patterns.
- Auxerre leading at half-time in 27% of matches, trailing 7%
- Nice leading at half-time in only 7%, trailing 53%
- H2H last 5: 3 draws at half-time (0-0, 0-0, 1-1)
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combination of Auxerre's high half-time draw tendency and the overall draw-heavy H2H narrative supports a low-probability but plausible Draw/Draw outcome, though Nice's second-half improvement reduces confidence.
- Auxerre half-time draw rate: 66% (10 of 15 recent matches with data)
- Nice half-time draw rate: 40% (6 of 15 recent matches)
- H2H last 5: 2 matches were draw at HT and FT (0-0, 1-1)
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring trends, especially Auxerre at home (1.0 goals per game); H2H history shows a strong under 2.5 pattern with 4 of last 5 meetings staying under, driven by tight, cautious play in relegation battles.
- Auxerre home goals avg: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded
- Nice away goals avg: 1.06 scored, 1.94 conceded
- H2H last 5: 4 matches had under 2.5 goals (0-0, 1-1, 1-1, 2-1)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both defenses are vulnerable—Nice concedes in 87% of away games, Auxerre concedes in 69% at home—while each side has a moderate scoring rate, making a 1-1 or similar scoreline likely.
- Auxerre home: scored in 11 of 16, conceded in 11 of 16
- Nice away: scored in 10 of 16, conceded in 14 of 16
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in 3 of 5 (1-1, 1-1, 2-1)
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Nice's first-half scoring is abysmal (0.1 goals avg), and Auxerre's first halves are low-event (1.1 total goals avg); the structural home/away edge suggests a cautious start with both teams prioritizing defensive solidity early.
- Auxerre first-half goals avg: 0.6, first-half conceded avg: 0.5
- Nice first-half goals avg: 0.1, first-half conceded avg: 0.9
- Nice trailing at half-time in 53% of matches, leading only 7%
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score more after halftime, with Nice particularly reliant on second-half goals; as the match opens up due to relegation pressure, the second half could see at least 2 goals.
- Auxerre second-half goals avg: 0.5 (1.1 total - 0.6 first half)
- Nice second-half goals avg: 1.0 (1.1 total - 0.1 first half)
- Nice concedes 0.7 second-half goals on average (1.6 total - 0.9 first half)
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average moderate corner counts, and the tactical matchup—likely a cautious, low-tempo relegation scrap—should limit total corners; H2H data shows 3 of last 5 meetings under 9.5 corners.
- Auxerre home corners avg: 4.2, opponent corners avg: 5.1
- Nice away corners avg: 5.7, opponent corners avg: 5.3
- H2H last 5: total corners avg 8.8 (4, 6, 9, 10, 15)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The high-stakes motivation of a relegation battle often leads to more fouls and cards; both teams average around 3.6 cards combined, and the pressure could push this over 3.5.
- Auxerre home fouls avg: 13.5, yellow cards avg: 1.7
- Nice away fouls avg: 12.0, yellow cards avg: 1.9
- Relegation six-pointer context increases disciplinary risk
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Auxerre Relegation Playoffs	32	6	10	16	30-43	28	WLDDD
15	Nice	32	7	10	15	36-58	31	DDDDL

Auxerre2Nice1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Under 9.5

Auxerre or Draw

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Auxerre

Nice

Squad & Injuries

Auxerre

Nice