Nuremberg vs Schalke 04: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Form, table strength, and H2H psychology all favor Schalke avoiding defeat, with Nuremberg's solid home split the main structural counterweight and Schalke's post-promotion exhale the main motivation caveat.
- Standings after 32 rounds: Schalke are 1st on 67 points; Nuremberg are 9th on 42.
- Recent league form into 9 May 2026: Schalke WWWWW; Nuremberg DWDLD.
- H2H from Nov 2023 to Dec 2025: Schalke won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
- Motivation: Schalke sealed promotion on 3 May 2026, while Nuremberg are 8 points above the relegation line.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Schalke 04Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Schalke's tactical shot-volume edge and stronger H2H psychology make them the likelier winner, but the probability stays moderate because Nuremberg's home record is credible and Schalke's urgency is naturally softer after promotion.
- Last-15 averages: Schalke 1.8 goals, 16.8 shots, and 6.1 shots on target; Nuremberg 1.5, 13.5, and 4.5.
- Structural split this league season: Schalke away are 8-4-4 with 21:14 goals; Nuremberg home are 8-4-4 with 24:17 goals.
- Intelligence report: Schalke have won 6 of 7 2. Bundesliga H2Hs in this matchup.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSchalke 04Estimated chance46%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The matchup combines two teams with reliable minimum scoring volume, and the injuries and suspensions signal is neutral because the provided squad data lists no absences for either side.
- Nuremberg have gone over 1.5 total goals in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- Schalke have gone over 1.5 total goals in 11 of their last 14 league matches; the friendly with null stats is excluded.
- Last 5 H2Hs from Nov 2023 to Dec 2025: 4 finished with at least 2 goals.
- Provided squad data lists no injuries or suspensions for either team.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 1.5Estimated chance79%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Schalke's chance-creation edge and fixture comfort point toward at least one away goal, while venue-specific travel and environment details are unavailable beyond the home and away split.
- Schalke scored in 13 of their last 14 league matches before this kickoff.
- Schalke average 1.8 goals and 6.1 shots on target across the last 15 matches.
- Nuremberg have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches and 17 times in 16 home league games this season.
- H2H: Schalke scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSchalke 04 over 0.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Nuremberg's structural home attacking floor and Schalke's recent away habit of trading chances make both teams scoring slightly more likely than not.
- Nuremberg scored in 5 of their last 7 home league matches.
- Schalke both scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 away league matches.
- At Nuremberg, the last 2 H2Hs ended 3-1 and 2-1.
- Provided squad data lists no absences for either side.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly reach halftime through 1-0, 0-1, or 1-1 states, so an early goal is well supported even though the stakes signal is not fully must-win for either club.
- Nuremberg have seen a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Schalke have seen a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Last-15 averages: Nuremberg 0.8 first-half goals for and 0.5 against; Schalke 0.9 and 0.5.
- Each side was trailing at half-time in only 13% of its last 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance69%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves tend to be controlled rather than chaotic in both profiles, so the tactical expectation is a single-sided or scoreless opening period rather than both teams landing before the break.
- Nuremberg had first-half BTTS in only 3 of their last 15 matches.
- Schalke had first-half BTTS in only 4 of their last 14 league matches; the friendly is excluded.
- Each side trailed at half-time in only 13% of its last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides maintain enough attacking output into the second half for the late-goal line to rate well, and the softer pressure context can make the game more open after the break.
- Nuremberg had a second-half goal in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- Schalke had a second-half goal in 10 of their last 14 league matches before 9 May 2026.
- In the last 5 league matches, Schalke scored 5 of their 11 goals after halftime.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance72%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Nuremberg's home attacking volume and Schalke's recent away tendency to concede flank pressure support a modest home-corners over.
- Nuremberg average 4.8 corners across the last 15 matches.
- In their last 7 home league matches, Nuremberg took 4 or more corners in 5 games and averaged 5.7.
- Schalke allowed 4 or more opponent corners in 5 of their last 6 away league matches.
BetBugs · Home CornerswonNuremberg over 3.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Schalke's clearest tactical edge is sustained shot creation, so even with a possible post-promotion dip in killer instinct, their process still supports clearing a low away shots-on-target line.
- Schalke average 6.1 shots on target across the last 15 matches.
- Schalke reached 4 or more shots on target in 12 of their last 14 league matches; the friendly is excluded.
- Nuremberg allowed 4 or more opponent shots on target in 4 of their last 8 matches overall.
BetBugs · Away Shots on Target TotallostSchalke 04 over 3.5Estimated chance67%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Nuremberg3Schalke 040

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Schalke 04

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 2 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Nuremberg

Schalke 04

Squad & Injuries

Nuremberg

Schalke 04

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Nuremberg	32	11	9	12	41-42	42	DWDLD
1	Schalke 04 Promotion - Bundesliga	32	20	7	5	49-28	67	WWWWW