Over 2.5
Market 73.5% · BetBugs 75%
Both teams' recent goal trends and the history of high-scoring H2H encounters strongly support over 2.5 goals.
BundesligaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Hoffenheim's strong H2H record and home form make them favorites, but the real value lies in goals and cards markets.
Over 3.5 goals and over 1.5 first-half goals both offer a 7.6-point edge, while over 4.5 cards also presents value. Avoid short odds on Hoffenheim to win, as their recent home patchiness and Werder Bremen's survival fight add risk.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 5
Market 73.5% · BetBugs 75%
Both teams' recent goal trends and the history of high-scoring H2H encounters strongly support over 2.5 goals.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 60%
Hoffenheim's high-scoring home matches and Werder Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities on the road make over 3.5 a value play.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 60%
Hoffenheim's tendency for early goals combined with Werder Bremen's first-half defensive issues suggests over 1.5 first-half goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HoffenheimUEFA Europa League | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64-48 | 58 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37-57 | 32 |

