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Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul - Genclerbirligi

Genclerbirligi
🇹🇷 Süper LigUpcoming
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 17:00

Quick Take

Expect a low-scoring, tense match where one side failing to score is the clearest script. The top actionable angle is BTTS No, with Karagumruk's recent three-match scoring drought in this fixture providing the strongest support; Genclerbirligi under 1.5 goals is the more conservative value route because their away attack is still very limited.

Total Goals AwayUnder 1.5 (Genclerbirligi)79%+12.0pp
1 St Half Double ChanceHome or Draw77%+3.0pp
Both Teams To ScoreNo63%+13.0pp

Context Signals

Betting Edges

Model probabilities

Markets to Avoid

1st Half Goals Over/Under Under 1.5:Implied 72.5% already sits above our 71% estimate, and the first-half two-way book is carrying enough vig to remove any real cushion.
Goals Over/Under Under 4.5:At 1.09 the market implies 91.7%, which is far too expensive when our strongest total-goals read only reaches 78% on Under 3.5.
1st Half Both Teams to Score No:The 1.18 quote implies 84.7% in a thin derivative market, so the early-suppression angle is already fully taxed by price and vig.
This projects as a tense, low-margin Süper Lig match rather than an open game. Karagumruk are 18th on 21 points after 31 matches, Genclerbirligi are 14th on 28, and neither recent attack is producing much: Karagumruk average 0.9 goals over the last 10 matches, Genclerbirligi 0.7. That combination points first toward game state and control, not attacking upside. The strongest evidence comes from the recent head-to-head pattern. Genclerbirligi are unbeaten in the last three competitive meetings and Karagumruk have failed to score in all three, with scorelines of 1-0, 0-0 and 3-0.

Recent Form

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

D0-0BeşiktaşApr 27SÜP
L1-2EyüpsporApr 18SÜP
L0-3KonyasporApr 12SÜP
W2-1RizesporApr 5SÜP
L0-1KayserisporMar 19SÜP
W2-0FenerbahçeMar 13SÜP
D1-1Gaziantep FKMar 8SÜP
W2-0FethiyesporMar 3TÜR
L1-3TrabzonsporFeb 27SÜP
D0-0SamsunsporFeb 22SÜP
Genclerbirligi

Genclerbirligi

W1-0KocaelisporApr 26SÜP
W2-0GalatasarayApr 22TÜR
L1-2GalatasarayApr 18SÜP
L0-3BaşakşehirApr 11SÜP
L0-2GöztepeApr 4SÜP
L0-1KonyasporMar 19SÜP
L0-2BeşiktaşMar 15SÜP
D0-0AlanyasporMar 9SÜP
W3-1Aliağa FAŞMar 5TÜR
D0-0KayserisporMar 1SÜP

League Table

Süper Lig 2025/2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAPts
18
Fatih Karagumruk IstanbulFatih Karagumruk Istanbul
Relegation
31562027-5321
14
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi
31771730-4428
7pt gap between teamsFatih Karagumruk Istanbul in relegation zone

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W
L3-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.vFatih KaragümrükDec 7, 2025SÜP
D0-0Fatih KaragümrükvGençlerbirliği S.K.Apr 13, 20251.
L1-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.vFatih KaragümrükDec 8, 20241.
L5-1Fatih KaragümrükvGençlerbirliği S.K.May 8, 2021SÜP
W1-3Gençlerbirliği S.K.vFatih KaragümrükJan 15, 2021SÜP
Genclerbirligi: 3 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

Squad & Injuries

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

36 available
Attackers10
Midfielders10
Defenders12
Goalkeeper4

Genclerbirligi

1 out
Attackers5
Midfielders14
Defenders10
Goalkeeper4
A. Şahindere — Jumpers knee