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FC Andorra - Albacete

🇪🇸 La Liga 2Finished
Friday, May 1, 2026 at 14:15
Finished Snapshot
FT0-1
FinishedSettled
Halftime
0-0
Predictions
4W · 6L · 0P
Edges
0W · 0L · 0P
Match Stats
Possession
78%-22%
Shots
25-4
Shots on Target
7-2
Corners
6-2
Quick Take
Andorra's five-game unbeaten home form, full squad, and final-day positional stakes clash with depleted Albacete (4 injured starters, mid-table road vulnerability, and zero league stakes) — home win or draw carries 78% estimated probability but markets overvalue the protection at 1.20 odds. Avoid double-chance backing; instead target Andorra clean-sheet and first-half under markets where home control and away depletion align.
Context Signals
Model probabilities
Market & pick
Model
Markets to Avoid
Double Chance Home or Draw:Implied 83% significantly exceeds our 78% estimate; market overprices the home protection at 1.20 odds.
Match Winner Home (FC Andorra):Implied 58% exceeds our 52% medium-confidence estimate; insufficient cushion for backing the home win at 1.73 despite the strong form narrative.
Pre-match flagged 2 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
FC Andorra host Albacete in a La Liga Hypermotion final-matchday dead rubber where context heavily favors the home side despite historical disadvantage. Andorra sit 9th on 52 points with nothing to play for, while Albacete occupy 13th on 47 points equally safe from relegation and out of promotion contention. The critical asymmetry: Andorra are on a five-game unbeaten run (4W 1D) including dominant victories over Valladolid, Cadiz, and a 6-2 thrashing of Racing Santander, averaging 2.5 goals scored and conceding just 0.8 per match over the last ten outings.
Recent Form

FC Andorra
W4-0LeganesApr 26SEG
W1-0ValladolidApr 19SEG
W1-0CadizApr 12SEG
W6-2Racing SantanderApr 5SEG
D3-3MalagaApr 1SEG
W4-0Cultural LeonesaMar 29SEG
L0-1EibarMar 21SEG
D1-1Granada CFMar 15SEG
W1-0Sporting GijonMar 8SEG
W4-1CordobaMar 2SEG

Albacete
L0-3EibarApr 24SEG
W4-1Granada CFApr 19SEG
L1-2LeganesApr 11SEG
L2-3BurgosApr 4SEG
D1-1MirandesMar 31SEG
D1-1CastellónMar 28SEG
W4-0Racing SantanderMar 21SEG
W2-1Las PalmasMar 16SEG
D0-0HuescaMar 7SEG
D1-1AlmeriaFeb 27SEG
League Table
Segunda División 2025/2026| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Andorra | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 56-47 | 55 |
| 13 | Albacete | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 48-51 | 47 |
8pt gap between teams
Head-to-Head
0W · 0D · 5WL1-0AlbacetevFC AndorraNov 15, 2025SEG
L2-0AlbacetevFC AndorraJul 23, 2025FRI
L0-1FC AndorravAlbaceteMay 5, 2024SEG
L3-1AlbacetevFC AndorraSep 30, 2023SEG
L0-1FC AndorravAlbaceteJan 23, 2023SEG
Albacete unbeaten in 5 meetingsAlbacete: 4 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg
