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Sporting Cristal - Junior Barranquilla
Copa LibertadoresFinished
Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 02:00
Finished Snapshot
FT2-0
FinishedSettled
Halftime
0-0
Predictions
6W · 4L · 0P
Edges
0W · 1L · 0P
Match Stats
Possession
55%-45%
Shots
16-13
Shots on Target
4-2
Corners
7-4
Quick Take
Cristal hold home advantage and occupy a qualification spot, but domestic crisis (near relegation, 15 expiring contracts) creates vulnerability against a Junior side desperate for a win and explicitly signalling attacking play.
Cards Over/UnderOver 4.568%+7.4pp
Context Signals
Betting Edges
Implied: 60.61% -> Our estimate: 68% -> Edge: +7.39pts
- •Junior last 5 avg: 2.7 yellow cards per game (13 fouls/match)
- •Cristal last 5 avg: 2.1 yellow cards per game (8.8 fouls/match)
- •Combined recent average: ~4.8 yellow cards before any reds
Model probabilities
Sporting Cristal host Junior Barranquilla in a Copa Libertadores Group F clash where motivation asymmetry defines the matchup. Junior sit bottom of the group with just 1 point from 2 games and face near-certain elimination without a win here; manager Alfredo Arias publicly signalled they will attack ('we have to go get something, hopefully the three points'). Cristal, however, are second in the group with 3 points and hold the qualification position—but arrive in severe domestic turmoil.
Recent Form
Sporting Cristal
L0-1Comerciantes UnidosApr 25PRI
L1-4Atletico GrauApr 22PRI
W3-2UTC CajamarcaApr 19PRI
L1-2PalmeirasApr 16CON
W1-0Cerro PortenoApr 9CON
L1-2UCV MoqueguaApr 3PRI
L2-3Club Deportivo Los ChankasMar 21PRI
W3-0Sport BoysMar 15PRI
W3-1Alianza AtleticoMar 7PRI
W1-0Carabobo FCMar 4CON
Junior Barranquilla
D1-1CucutaApr 24PRI
W2-0LlanerosApr 19PRI
L0-1Cerro PortenoApr 14CON
W3-0Águilas DoradasApr 11PRI
D1-1PalmeirasApr 9CON
L1-2Deportivo CaliApr 4PRI
W1-0Internacional de BogotaMar 29PRI
W2-0BucaramangaMar 24PRI
L0-2Independiente MedellinMar 20PRI
W2-1Fortaleza FCMar 16PRI
League Table
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026/2027| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting Cristal Playoffs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 3 |
| 4 | Junior Barranquilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1 |
2pt gap between teams
Head-to-head record not yet available.