Back to matches
UTA Arad - Farul Constanta
đˇđ´ Liga IFinished
Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 11:00
Finished Snapshot
FT0-0
FinishedSettled
Halftime
0-0
Predictions
2W ¡ 9L ¡ 0P
Edges
1W ¡ 3L ¡ 0P
Match Stats
Possession
40%-60%
Shots
10-9
Shots on Target
1-3
Corners
8-3
Quick Take
UTA Arad's perfect home record (3W-0D-0L, 3.67 GPG) and tactical stability clash with Farul's managerial collapse (Stoican appointed 12 days ago with one chaotic loss) and non-existent away form (0W-1D-1L in phase, 20% overall).
1st Half Goals Over/UnderOver 0.575%-1.9pp
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.565%+9.4pp
Both Teams to ScoreYes65%+7.2pp
Context Signals
Betting Edges
Model probabilities
Markets to Avoid
1st Half Result Home (UTA Arad) @ 2.60:MEDIUM confidence (38% estimated probability) with first-half markets typically carrying 5-8% overround. UTA's leading-at-HT rate (50%) doesn't provide sufficient edge over the odds; first-half volatility and high bookmaker vig consume any statistical advantage.
Total Goals Away (Farul) Over 2.5:Farul avg 1.1 goals/game overall; in away fixtures they score even less. Odds at 6.50 reflect justified skepticism. Extremely thin margin of errorâtrap bet masquerading as value.
1st Half Goals Over/Under Over 2.5:UTA FH avg 1.1 GF, Farul 0.5 GF; combined ~1.6 first-half goals typical. Reaching 3 goals by HT is well outside statistical range. Odds 5.25 reflect the long-shot nature; avoid.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
UTA Arad enter this match with significant structural advantages over a Farul Constanta side in acute institutional distress. UTA have posted a perfect 3W-0D-0L home record in the relegation phase, averaging 3.67 goals per game while conceding just 1.33 per matchâa profile that reflects both attacking potency and controlled vulnerability. Farul, by contrast, arrive having lost three consecutive Liga I matches and are managed by Flavius Stoican, appointed just 12 days prior with only one competitive match experience: a chaotic 2-3 defeat to FCSB on April 20 in which Farul led 1-0 at halftime beâŚ
Recent Form
UTA Arad
L0-1OĹŁelulApr 17LIG
W3-1FC BotosaniApr 11LIG
W5-1MetaloglobusApr 5LIG
W2-0DumbrÄviĹŁaMar 28FRI
L0-1FCSBMar 20LIG
W3-2AFC HermannstadtMar 13LIG
D2-2MetaloglobusMar 7LIG
L2-4FCSBMar 1LIG
D2-2OĹŁelulFeb 20LIG
W2-1FC BotosaniFeb 15LIG
Farul Constanta
L2-3FCSBApr 20LIG
L0-1AFC HermannstadtApr 10LIG
L0-1Unirea SloboziaApr 5LIG
L2-3LudogoretsMar 29FRI
D1-1CsikszeredaMar 21LIG
W2-0Petrolul PloiestiMar 15LIG
L0-1CsikszeredaMar 6LIG
L1-2CFR 1907 ClujFeb 28LIG
L0-1Arges PitestiFeb 22LIG
W3-1RapidFeb 15LIG
League Table
Liga I 2025/2026| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UTA Arad Qualification Playoffs | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11-6 | 31 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5-6 | 23 |
8pt gap between teams
Head-to-Head
2W ¡ 2D ¡ 1WD1-1Farul ConstantavUta AradDec 15, 2025LIG
L2-1Uta AradvFarul ConstantaAug 9, 2025LIG
W1-2Farul ConstantavUta AradMay 10, 2025LIG
D1-1Farul ConstantavUta AradJan 20, 2025LIG
W1-5Uta AradvFarul ConstantaDec 18, 2024CUP
3.2 goals/game avg