West Ham vs Everton: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home/away edge plus H2H dominance favour Everton avoiding defeat: West Ham have the league's weakest home record among mid-table, Everton's away form is positive, and Everton carry stronger motivation chasing European football (3 pts off 5th) vs a demoralised Hammers side with a manager under pressure.
- Everton lead all-time H2H 29W-17D-14L in 60 meetings since 1995
- Everton away record this season: 7W-4D-5L (18 GF / 18 GA), solid on the road
- West Ham home record this season: 4W-4D-8H with 22 GF / 28 GA, 8 home losses already
- Last 5 H2H: 1 West Ham win, 3 draws, 1 Everton win — West Ham have not beaten Everton since Jul 2025 Summer Series friendly
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or EvertonEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Motivation asymmetry (European push vs survival desperation) plus league-position gap tilt the outright toward Everton, but West Ham's London Stadium survival urgency and home-crowd factor cap confidence at LOW.
- Everton rank 10th with 47 pts vs West Ham 17th with 33 pts — 14-point gap
- Everton goal difference +1 vs West Ham -17 (40 GF / 57 GA conceded)
- Everton recent form LDWLW includes a 3-0 win over Chelsea and 2-0 over Burnley
- Moyes — Manager of the Season favourite; motivation-led away side chasing Europa spot
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostEvertonEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Motivation + structural away edge: Everton's road form plus West Ham's porous home record produce a wide X2 covering both the outright win and the stalemate that H2H trends support.
- West Ham have 8 home losses from 16 matches this season (50%)
- Everton away: 11 of 16 unbeaten results (7W-4D)
- Everton won 3-0 at Chelsea and 2-0 vs Burnley in last 5 — away attacking capability present
- Nuno Espirito Santo under pressure after 2-0 loss at Villa Park
BetBugs · Double ChancelostEverton or DrawEstimated chance70%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical matchup edge + injuries signal: West Ham need goals for survival (high attacking intent at home) and Everton's defence may be compromised by Branthwaite's injury, while Everton's away attacking output (18 GF in 16 away) suggests both sides finding the net.
- West Ham avg 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match (last 10)
- Everton avg 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match (last 10)
- Branthwaite (Everton CB) stretchered off with hamstring injury vs Liverpool on Apr 19, scan pending — potentially weakens Everton back-line
- West Ham scored in 3 of last 5 matches; Everton scored in 4 of last 5
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
H2H suggests cagey meetings but West Ham's leaky season defence (1.73 conceded/game) and Everton's away attacking profile plus a possibly weakened Everton back-line push this just above the line; confidence is LOW due to recent 0-0 and 1-0 West Ham matches.
- West Ham concede 1.2 per game (last 10), season 57 conceded in 33 matches (1.73/game)
- Everton's away games: 18 GF / 18 GA in 16 — exactly 2.25 goals per match
- Recent West Ham matches: 0-0, 4-0, 0-2, 1-1, 1-0 (mixed totals)
- Last 5 H2H produced low totals: 1-1, 2-1, 1-1, 0-0, 3-1 — only 2 of 5 went over 2.5
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are slow starters with <0.7 first-half goals; tactical profile + stakes favour cautious openings so scoring by both sides before HT is unlikely.
- West Ham avg 0.6 first-half goals scored / 0.5 conceded (last 10)
- Everton avg 0.6 first-half goals scored / 0.4 conceded (last 10)
- Recent West Ham 1H results: 0-0 HT in 3 of last 5 (Crystal Palace, Fulham, Aston Villa)
- Last 5 H2H first halves: mostly 0-0 or 1-0 — neither team typically scores early together
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical cautiousness plus H2H pattern: both sides' first-half goal output is modest and recent meetings support sub-1.5 first halves.
- Combined first-half goal avg: 1.2 per match (0.6 West Ham + 0.6 Everton)
- West Ham trailing at HT only 20% of games; leading 30% (last 10)
- Everton leading at HT 40%, trailing 20%
- Last 5 H2H first-half scores: 0-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 1-1 — 3 of 5 under 1.5
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance66%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical matchup: two low-possession, mid-to-low shot-volume sides typically produce below-average corner counts; combined averages sit around 9 corners, well under 10.5.
- West Ham avg 4.7 corners / 5.5 corners conceded (last 10)
- Everton avg 4.3 corners / 5.4 corners conceded (last 10)
- Combined baseline: ~9.0 corners per match
- Both teams are low-possession sides (West Ham 40.3%, Everton 44.1% — under 50% each)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 10.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Motivation signal: relegation-vs-European-qualification stakes plus both sides' physical foul profiles (10+ per match) and high card averages point to a combined total above 4.5 cards.
- West Ham avg 1.7 yellow cards per match (last 10)
- Everton avg 1.9 yellow cards per match (last 10)
- West Ham avg 11.0 fouls / Everton avg 10.2 fouls per match
- Both sides fouled heavily (14 and 12 fouls in recent matches) under high-stakes context
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Stat dimension direct read: combined average (~8.6) sits modestly above 7.5; Everton's SoT efficiency adds upside but West Ham's variance (1 SoT vs City) keeps confidence LOW.
- West Ham avg 3.6 shots on target per match (last 10)
- Everton avg 5.0 shots on target per match (last 10)
- Combined baseline: ~8.6 SoT per match
- Everton posted 9, 7, 5 SoT in 3 of last 5 — efficient attacking returns
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 7.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

West Ham2Everton1

Quick Take

Context

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Result0 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

West Ham

Everton

Squad & Injuries

West Ham

Everton

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
17	West Ham	33	8	9	16	40-57	33	DWLDW
10	Everton	33	13	8	12	40-39	47	LDWLW