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Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

🇩🇪 BundesligaFinished
Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 13:30
Finished Snapshot
FT1-1
FinishedSettled
Halftime
1-0
Predictions
6W · 4L · 0P
Edges
0W · 0L · 0P
Match Stats
Possession
40%-60%
Shots
17-20
Shots on Target
3-7
Corners
9-7
Quick Take
Frankfurt arrive with superior ranking and possession control but face managerial friction and recent form volatility under Albert Riera; Augsburg's home platform and winless streak create a vulnerable backdrop.
Context Signals
Model probabilities
Markets to Avoid
Match Winner Augsburg:Home side winless in 5 matches with 3 defeats; Frankfurt possess superior away composure and higher Europa League motivation despite unstable coaching situation
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5:Predictor thesis (58% confidence) for Over 2.5 is undercut by market pricing: 65.4% implied vs 58% estimated. Bookmakers price higher than analysis supports—fair odds offer no margin.
Both Teams to Score Yes:MEDIUM confidence prediction (62%) encounters 67.6% implied probability at 1.48. Bookmaker pricing slightly favors the play; insufficient edge for MEDIUM confidence (need 5+ point advantage).
Pre-match flagged 3 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
Augsburg host Eintracht Frankfurt in a Bundesliga clash on April 25th where mid-table stability meets Europa League desperation. Frankfurt hold a structural edge—ranking 8th with 42 points versus Augsburg's 9th place (36 points)—and possess superior possession control (60.4% vs 43.4% in recent form). However, recent intelligence reveals critical instability at Frankfurt: manager Albert Riera, appointed in late January, has won just 3 of 8 Bundesliga matches and faces visible dressing room discord after dropping Mario Götze and blowing a 2-0 lead against relegation-threatened Köln.
Recent Form

Augsburg
W2-1Bayer LeverkusenApr 18BL
D2-21899 HoffenheimApr 10BL
D1-1Hamburger SVApr 4BL
L2-5VfB StuttgartMar 22BL
L0-2Borussia DortmundMar 14BL
L1-2RB LeipzigMar 7BL
W2-01. FC KölnFeb 27BL
W3-2VfL WolfsburgFeb 21BL
W1-01. FC HeidenheimFeb 15BL
L0-2FSV Mainz 05Feb 7BL

Eintracht Frankfurt
L1-3RB LeipzigApr 18BL
W2-1VfL WolfsburgApr 11BL
D2-21. FC KölnApr 5BL
L1-2FSV Mainz 05Mar 22BL
W1-01. FC HeidenheimMar 14BL
D0-0FC St. PauliMar 8BL
W2-0SC FreiburgMar 1BL
L2-3Bayern MünchenFeb 21BL
W3-0Borussia MönchengladbachFeb 14BL
D1-1Union BerlinFeb 6BL
League Table
Bundesliga 2025/2026| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 38-54 | 36 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 55-57 | 42 |
6pt gap between teams
Head-to-Head
0W · 2D · 3WL1-0Eintracht FrankfurtvFC AugsburgDec 13, 2025BL
D0-0FC AugsburgvEintracht FrankfurtApr 20, 2025BL
D2-2Eintracht FrankfurtvFC AugsburgDec 7, 2024BL
L3-1Eintracht FrankfurtvFC AugsburgApr 19, 2024BL
L2-1FC AugsburgvEintracht FrankfurtDec 3, 2023BL
Eintracht Frankfurt unbeaten in 5 meetingsEintracht Frankfurt: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg
