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Universitatea Cluj

Universitatea Cluj - Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova
🇷🇴 Liga ITerminat
Monday, April 13, 2026 at 18:30

Rezumat final

FT4-0
TerminatEvaluat

Pauză

2-0

Predicții

3V · 8Î · 0E

Edge-uri

0V · 1Î · 0E

Statistici meci

Posesie

36%-64%

Șuturi

9-23

Șuturi pe poartă

5-9

Cornere

4-5

Pe scurt

Title decider shaped by conflicting narratives: Cluj's explosive 9-game streak and home advantage versus Craiova's historical dominance in the H2H (6-1 record) and superior squad stability (fresh manager contract).

1st Half Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.568%-7.2pts

Semnale de context

Oportunități de pariuri

Predicții

Cards Over/UnderOver 3.575%HIGHpierdut

Both teams accumulate significant cards (combined avg 4.8 yellows per game) with Craiova particularly prone to discipline issues (2.7 yellows, 13 fouls avg), and the high-stakes title context will amplify tactical fouling and intensity.

Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.572%HIGHpierdut

H2H history shows consistently low-scoring encounters (avg 2.0 goals in last 5 meetings) and both teams will approach this title decider cautiously, with Craiova's defensive solidity (0.6 goals conceded avg) further suppressing goal expectation.

1st Half GoalsUnder 1.568%HIGHpierdut

Craiova's extremely low first-half goal output (0.4 avg) and concession rate (0.3 avg) combined with the tactical caution expected in a title decider's opening period strongly favors under 1.5 first-half goals.

Double ChanceDraw or Universitatea Craiova55%MEDIUMpierdut

Craiova's dominant H2H record (6W 6D 1L in 13 meetings) and superior squad stability (fresh manager contract vs Cluj's Nistor-Bergodi fallout) give them a psychological edge, even away from home, making a Craiova win or draw the more likely combined outcome.

Corners Over/UnderOver 7.555%MEDIUMcâștigat

The combined corner average of approximately 9.0 per match across recent form, with both teams being possession-oriented sides that create chances via wing play, supports a likelihood of exceeding 7.5 total corners.

Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.552%MEDIUMpierdut

The H2H record shows Cluj struggle badly to score against Craiova (0.7 goals per game historically), and 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 1 or fewer goals; the title-decider stakes will compound the cautious approach.

Both Teams to ScoreNo50%MEDIUMcâștigat

Cluj's historical inability to score against Craiova (0.7 goals/game in 13 H2H meetings) combined with Craiova's recent clean sheet frequency (2 in last 5) makes a clean sheet for one side plausible, though Cluj's 9-match winning streak and 2.5 goals/game average adds uncertainty.

Match WinnerUniversitatea Cluj40%MEDIUMcâștigat

Cluj's exceptional current form (9-match winning streak, 5 goals in 3 Championship Round games) and home advantage give them a genuine chance, but the H2H record heavily favors Craiova (only 1 Cluj win in 13 meetings), creating a balanced but slightly below coin-flip probability for a Cluj win.

Match WinnerUniversitatea Craiova32%LOWpierdut

While Craiova dominate the H2H historically, their 3 recent H2H wins all came at home, and Cluj's 9-game winning streak at their home ground makes an away Craiova win less probable despite their overall league superiority.

Away Clean SheetYes32%LOWpierdut

Craiova's strong defensive record (0.6 goals conceded avg) and Cluj's historical inability to score against them in H2H (0.7 goals/game) provide some basis for an away clean sheet, but Cluj's prolific 9-match winning streak (2.5 goals/game avg) limits confidence.

Match WinnerDraw28%LOWpierdut

Nearly half (6 of 13) of all historical H2H meetings have ended in draws, and the dead-even title race (both on 36 pts) with the most recent meeting being a 0-0 draw supports a meaningful draw probability despite both teams' strong recent form.

Piețe de evitat

Goals Over/Under Over 3.5:Bookmaker odds (3.60) imply 27.8% probability while your estimate is only 28% (from inverse of 72% Under prediction). This line is efficiently priced with minimal edge; the tight spread suggests no mispricing.
Goals Over/Under Under 2.5:Under @ 1.65 implies 60.6% vs predictor's 52% estimate—only 8.6pt spread, below the 5pt threshold for MEDIUM confidence. Wait for stronger odds movement.
Both Teams to Score No:No @ 1.85 implies 54.1% vs 50% prediction—4.1pt spread insufficient for MEDIUM confidence edge. Bookmaker is slightly favoring the prediction but not by enough to justify the risk.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

This Liga I title decider features two evenly matched teams on identical 36-point records, but the match narrative is shaped by contrasting squad dynamics and historical H2H trends. Universitatea Craiova arrive with considerable psychological advantages despite playing away: their 6-1 record in 13 historical H2H meetings establishes clear dominance, and manager Filipe Coelho's contract extension on April 1, 2026 signals stability and confidence heading into this critical clash.

Formă recentă

Universitatea Cluj

Universitatea Cluj

W2-1RapidApr 5LIG
W1-0Arges PitestiMar 21LIG
W2-1CFR 1907 ClujMar 16LIG
W3-1FCSBMar 7LIG
W2-1AFC HermannstadtMar 3CUP
W4-0OţelulFeb 27LIG
W3-1FC BotosaniFeb 20LIG
W4-1CsikszeredaFeb 14LIG
W2-0OţelulFeb 11CUP
L2-3CFR 1907 ClujFeb 7LIG
Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova

W2-0CFR 1907 ClujApr 6LIG
W1-0Dinamo BucurestiMar 19LIG
L0-1Arges PitestiMar 13LIG
D1-1RapidMar 8LIG
W2-1MetaloglobusFeb 28LIG
W3-0Unirea SloboziaFeb 22LIG
W1-0FCSBFeb 15LIG
D2-2FCSBFeb 12CUP
D1-1Dinamo BucurestiFeb 9LIG
W1-0OţelulFeb 5LIG

Clasament

Liga I 2025/2026
#EchipăMVEÎGF-GAPct
1
Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj
Champions League Qualification
33005-236
2
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
Conference League Qualification
32013-136
Universitatea Cluj conduce clasamentulUniversitatea Craiova conduce clasamentul

Meciuri directe

1V · 1E · 3V
D0-0Universitatea ClujvUniversitatea CraiovaDec 1, 2025LIG
L2-1Universitatea CraiovavUniversitatea ClujJul 28, 2025LIG
W2-1Universitatea ClujvUniversitatea CraiovaApr 26, 2025LIG
L3-0Universitatea CraiovavUniversitatea ClujMar 14, 2025LIG
L1-0Universitatea CraiovavUniversitatea ClujFeb 5, 2025LIG
Universitatea Craiova: 3 fără gol primit2 goluri/meci medie

Lot & Accidentări

Universitatea Cluj

32 disponibili
Atacanți9
Mijlocași10
Fundași10
Portar3

Universitatea Craiova

30 disponibili
Atacanți5
Mijlocași14
Fundași8
Portar3