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Stade Rennes

Stade Rennes - Angers

Angers
🇫🇷 Ligue 1Terminat
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 19:05

Rezumat final

FT2-1
TerminatEvaluat

Pauză

2-0

Predicții

6V · 3Î · 1E

Edge-uri

1V · 0Î · 0E

Statistici meci

Posesie

59%-41%

Șuturi

15-6

Șuturi pe poartă

7-4

Cornere

11-3

Pe scurt

Rennes' triple-stacked edge (H2H unbeaten in 5, motivation asymmetry as European contenders vs. Angers in freefall, structural 50% home win rate vs. 21.4% away) supports backing Total Goals Home Over 1.5 @ 1.44 Betway (72% estimated vs. 69.4% implied; +2.6pts edge).

Total Goals HomeOver 1.572%+2.6pts

Semnale de context

Oportunități de pariuri

Predicții

Double ChanceStade Rennes or Draw87%HIGHcâștigat

Angers' historically abysmal record against Rennes (0W in last 5), combined with their dreadful away form (3W in 14) and current poor run (1W in last 7), makes an Angers away win extremely unlikely.

Home Goals TotalOver 1.572%HIGHcâștigat

Rennes' strong home scoring rate (1.71/game) combined with Angers' porous away defense (1.57 GA/game) and the H2H pattern of Rennes scoring 2+ in 4 of last 5 meetings strongly supports Rennes exceeding 1.5 goals.

1st Half GoalsOver 0.565%MEDIUMcâștigat

Rennes' strong first-half goal output (1.0 per game in last 10) and tendency to lead at half-time (50%) against a defensively vulnerable Angers side makes at least one first-half goal likely.

Match WinnerStade Rennes63%HIGHcâștigat

Triple-stacked edge — dominant H2H psychology (4W 1D in last 5), massive home-vs-away structural gap (Angers 21.4% away win rate), and acute motivation asymmetry with Rennes chasing European qualification in a must-win scenario.

Cards Over/UnderOver 3.558%MEDIUMpierdut

The combined disciplinary averages (4.4 yellows per match) from both teams, driven by a high combined foul count (23.8/game), provides solid statistical grounding for over 3.5 cards in this fixture.

Goals Over/UnderOver 2.557%MEDIUMcâștigat

Rennes' prolific home attack (1.71 GF/game at home) combined with historically goal-heavy H2H meetings (3.2 avg) suggests this match leans over 2.5, though Angers' low away scoring (0.57 GF/game) introduces some uncertainty.

Both Teams to ScoreNo55%MEDIUMpierdut

Angers' severely limited away attack (0.57 goals/game away, 0.4 in last 10) combined with their scoreless record in 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings makes a clean sheet for Rennes reasonably probable.

Corners Over/UnderOver 8.545%LOWcâștigat

With Rennes likely to dominate possession (55.5% avg) and territory against Angers (44.2% possession avg), the anticipated attacking pressure should generate corners, though corner markets carry inherent volatility hence low confidence.

Home Clean SheetYes42%MEDIUMpierdut

Angers' chronic away scoring deficiency (0.57 goals/game) and historical tendency to be shut out by Rennes (2 clean sheets in last 5 H2H) give Rennes a solid chance of keeping a clean sheet, though their own defensive record (1.0 GA/game at home) tempers this to medium confidence.

Asian HandicapStade Rennes -142%MEDIUMpush

Historical H2H pattern shows Rennes winning comfortably (2+ goal margin in 3 of last 5), and the current tactical/quality gap — amplified by Rennes' European push motivation and Angers' freefall form — supports Rennes covering a 1-goal handicap.

Piețe de evitat

Both Teams to Score No:Prediction (55% prob) barely exceeds implied probability (54.1%) with only 0.9pt edge. MEDIUM confidence + insufficient margin makes this too thin for recommendation.
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5:57% estimated probability vs 60.6% implied odds creates a -3.6pt deficit. Despite Rennes' prolific home form, the bookmaker has priced in the risk; no value for a MEDIUM confidence outcome.
1st Half Goals Over/Under Over 0.5:65% estimated vs 77.5% implied is a -12.5pt trap. Bookmaker pricing assumes this with wide margin.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Stade Rennes host Angers in a Ligue 1 fixture carrying unusually sharp asymmetry heading into the business end of the season. Rennes sit 7th but only three points from Champions League qualification with six matches remaining—this is a must-win home game in a tight European race. Manager Franck Haise, appointed in February after Habib Beye's departure, has delivered a sustained bounce: Rennes' 3–1 victory over PSG on February 13 marked the turning point, and they have lost just one of their last five matches while climbing into European contention.

Formă recentă

Stade Rennes

Stade Rennes

W4-3Stade Brestois 29Apr 4L1
D0-0MetzMar 22L1
L1-2LilleMar 15L1
W4-0NiceMar 8L1
W1-0ToulouseFeb 28L1
W3-0AuxerreFeb 22L1
W3-1Paris Saint GermainFeb 13L1
L1-3LensFeb 7L1
L0-3MarseilleFeb 3CDF
L0-4MonacoJan 31L1
Angers

Angers

D0-0LyonApr 5L1
L1-5LensMar 20L1
L0-2NiceMar 14L1
W1-0NantesMar 7L1
L0-2MonacoFeb 28L1
L0-1LilleFeb 22L1
L0-2LorientFeb 15L1
W1-0ToulouseFeb 8L1
W1-0MetzFeb 1L1
D0-0Paris FCJan 25L1

Clasament

Ligue 1 2025/2026
#EchipăMVEÎGF-GAPct
7
Stade RennesStade Rennes
28138747-4047
12
AngersAngers
28961324-3733
14pct diferență între echipe

Meciuri directe

1V · 1E · 3V
D1-1AngersvRennesAug 31, 2025L1
W0-3AngersvRennesMar 30, 2025L1
L2-0RennesvAngersDec 15, 2024L1
L2-1RennesvAngersJul 27, 2024FRI
L4-2RennesvAngersApr 30, 2023L1
3.2 goluri/meci medie

Lot & Accidentări

Stade Rennes

4 indisponibili
Atacanți2/8
×#70
×#70
Mijlocași9
Fundași2/10
×#97
×#97
Portar4
#97 J. Jacquet — Shoulder Injury
#70 A. Nordin — Inactive
#97 J. Jacquet — Shoulder Injury
#70 A. Nordin — Inactive

Angers

6 indisponibili
Atacanți2/7
×#31
×#31
Mijlocași7
Fundași4/11
×#2
×#5
×#2
×#5
Portar3
#2 C. Arcus — Groin Injury
#5 M. Courcoul — Inactive
#31 H. Djibirin — Injury
#2 C. Arcus — Groin Injury
#5 M. Courcoul — Inactive
#31 H. Djibirin — Injury