NBATerminat

Predicții evaluate

Dallas Mavericks97New Orleans Pelicans101

joi 15 oct. 2026, 00:00 Predicții evaluateAmerican Airlines CenterPresezon

Predicții13–959%

Puncte pe perioadă: Dallas Mavericks și New Orleans Pelicans.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Dallas Mavericks	18	27	18	34
New Orleans Pelicans	24	32	19	26

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Dallas has the better full-game case on recent preseason scoring and a designated home floor, but New Orleans holds the lean in the early-period markets and both sides are carrying real rotation uncertainty into a preseason meeting.

Context

Dallas' full-game case leans on Kyrie Irving's return from a long layoff and on how much Dereck Lively II's absence and the other frontcourt outs reshape the center rotation, while New Orleans is weighing Dejounte Murray's toe problem against Bennedict Mathurin's push into the starting wing group alongside Jeremiah Fears.

The Pelicans installed Jamahl Mosley as head coach on May 18, 2026, and built a staff around assistants Bret Brielmaier, Dale Osbourne, God Shammgod, Randy Gregory, Mike Hopkins, Greg Monroe and Will Bynum. Camp ran Sept. 29 to Oct. 5 at the Ochsner Sports Performance Center in Metairie, Louisiana, with practices closed to the public and opened to media only after each session. The new staff and shortened camp shape how quickly a reshaped Pelicans rotation absorbs Mosley's system before a Southwest Division meeting in Dallas. Because the practices were closed, the rotation remains a projection rather than a confirmed plan; official confirmation of roles is pending.
- Training camp ran Sept. 29 through Oct. 5 at the Ochsner Sports Performance Center in Metairie, Louisiana.
- Jamahl Mosley leads the staff, with Bret Brielmaier, Dale Osbourne, God Shammgod, Randy Gregory, Mike Hopkins, Greg Monroe and Will Bynum as assistants.
- Practices were closed to the public and opened to media only after each session.
Irving tore his left ACL on March 3, 2025, and had not appeared in an NBA game since. He returned during the NBA China Games, opening with a reverse layup and finishing with 17 points on 6-of-13 shooting, three assists and two rebounds in just under 22 minutes. Cooper Flagg added 14 points and a team-high seven assists, and Zaccharie Risacher scored 16 in a 132-115 win over Houston. Dallas' offense looked more functional with a lead guard back, which matters for a New Orleans defense that must now prepare for Irving's creation. His workload and availability for the Oct. 15 meeting remain subject to the medical staff's plan; confirmation of his status is pending.
- Irving scored 17 points on 6-of-13 shooting with three assists and two rebounds in about 22 minutes.
- The appearance was his first since tearing his left ACL on March 3, 2025, roughly 586 days earlier.
- Dallas won 132-115, with Cooper Flagg recording seven assists and Zaccharie Risacher scoring 16.
Lively has been listed out following right foot surgery and did not play in Dallas' recent preseason games. May gave encouragement on Lively's movement without a target date, leaving his availability for the New Orleans visit unclear. Lively projects as a rotation big when healthy, so his absence pushes center minutes toward Daniel Gafford and could open frontcourt time for Morez Johnson Jr. or Santi Aldama, the latter himself recovering from knee surgery. The missing timetable keeps any Oct. 15 appearance uncertain; official status is pending.
- Dusty May said Dereck Lively II is moving well but gave no timeline for his return.
- Lively was listed out with a right foot injury and missed recent preseason action.
The Oct. 11 injury list kept Aldama and Lively out following surgery, held Sasser out with adductor soreness and rested Morez Johnson Jr. Kyrie Irving, P.J. Washington and Caleb Martin were listed available for that game. Aldama's knee and Sasser's adductor matter most to Dallas' rotation, thinning frontcourt depth and backcourt minutes behind Irving. Those designations applied to the Houston game rather than the Oct. 15 meeting with New Orleans, so carryover into this fixture is unconfirmed; updated statuses are pending.
- Out: Santi Aldama (right knee surgery), Morez Johnson Jr. (rest), Dereck Lively II (right foot surgery) and Marcus Sasser (left adductor soreness).
- Kyrie Irving, P.J. Washington and Caleb Martin were listed available for the Houston game.

Reguli NBA: câștigătoarea, handicapul și totalurile pe tot meciul includ prelungirile. Rezultatul după 48 de minute, reprizele și sferturile nu le includ.

Predicții experimentale: acuratețea nu a fost încă validată pe rezultate istorice.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat4 din 7 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has kept the first-quarter margin within 1.5 or better in two of its last four.
- Dallas' home first-quarter scoring could create separation.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · HandicapcâștigatNew Orleans Pelicans +1.5Șansă estimată60%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Dallas' recent preseason scoring, combined with Kyrie Irving's return, gives it a late-game edge at American Airlines Center.
- Preseason fourth-quarter rotations can rest key players and erase a late lead.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Tot meciul · Câștigătoare · Incl. prelungiripierdutDallas MavericksȘansă estimată58%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has often kept the first-half margin within 1.5 or better.
- Dallas' home first-half scoring could create separation.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Prima repriză · HandicapcâștigatNew Orleans Pelicans +1.5Șansă estimată58%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Dallas' home setting and Irving's return support a narrow regulation lead.
- A regulation tie is possible if both teams manage minutes late.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Tot meciul · Rezultat după 48 minpierdutDallas MavericksȘansă estimată57%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Dallas has won the third quarter in all four of its recent preseason games.
- Third-quarter margins can shift with halftime adjustments.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 3 · RezultatpierdutDallas MavericksȘansă estimată54%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has won or tied the second quarter in two of its last four.
- Dallas' bench could outscore New Orleans' reserves.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 2 · HandicapcâștigatNew Orleans Pelicans +0.5Șansă estimată53%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has scored efficiently in opening quarters, including a 36-point first quarter.
- They also had a 21-point first quarter recently.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · RezultatcâștigatNew Orleans PelicansȘansă estimată50%

Puncte7 din 13 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has been held to 28 or fewer in three of its last four first quarters.
- Their scoring can spike if Murray plays and pushes tempo.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · Puncte New Orleans PelicanscâștigatNew Orleans Pelicans · Sub 28.5Șansă estimată75%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Dallas has usually been held below 30.5 in the opening quarter.
- They scored 32 in one recent first quarter.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · Puncte Dallas MaverickscâștigatDallas Mavericks · Sub 30.5Șansă estimată70%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Dallas' recent first-half scoring has usually stayed below 59.5.
- Their home game against Houston produced 58 points.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Prima repriză · Puncte Dallas MaverickscâștigatDallas Mavericks · Sub 59.5Șansă estimată65%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has scored above 30.5 in the third quarter in three of its last four.
- They were held to 29 in one recent third quarter.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 3 · Puncte New Orleans PelicanspierdutNew Orleans Pelicans · Peste 30.5Șansă estimată60%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has scored at least 116 in three of its last four preseason games.
- Dallas' defense could limit them if the Pelicans are missing Murray.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Tot meciul · Puncte New Orleans Pelicans · Incl. prelungiripierdutNew Orleans Pelicans · Peste 116.5Șansă estimată56%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Both teams' recent preseason totals frequently exceeded 239.5.
- Preseason scoring can drop if starters rest and benches struggle.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Tot meciul · Total puncte · Incl. prelungiripierdutPeste 239.5Șansă estimată55%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Recent first-quarter totals for these teams have often reached the high 50s or more.
- Early preseason shooting can be cold.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · Total punctepierdutPeste 58.5Șansă estimată55%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Recent second-quarter totals for these teams have often exceeded 59.5.
- Scoring can dip when benches take over.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 2 · Total punctepierdutPeste 59.5Șansă estimată55%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Dallas has usually been held below 29.5 in the second quarter.
- Their 30- and 31-point second quarters show some upside.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 2 · Puncte Dallas MaverickscâștigatDallas Mavericks · Sub 29.5Șansă estimată55%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has often been below 29.5 in the second quarter.
- Their 33-point second quarter shows they can clear it.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 2 · Puncte New Orleans PelicanspierdutNew Orleans Pelicans · Sub 29.5Șansă estimată55%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Dallas' recent preseason scoring averaged below 123.5.
- A high-scoring home game could push them over.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Tot meciul · Puncte Dallas Mavericks · Incl. prelungiricâștigatDallas Mavericks · Sub 123.5Șansă estimată54%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
New Orleans has been held below 58.5 in two of its last four first halves.
- A strong opening quarter could lift them over.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Prima repriză · Puncte New Orleans PelicanscâștigatNew Orleans Pelicans · Sub 58.5Șansă estimată52%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
Several recent first halves stayed below 117.5.
- Both teams have allowed high first-half outputs recently.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Prima repriză · Total punctecâștigatSub 117.5Șansă estimată51%

Î129–111

New Orleans Pelicansv

Dallas Mavericks

Mar 17, 2026·SEZ

240Medie puncte totale

18Diferență medie

1întâlniri

Clasament

NBA · sezonul regulat 2026–27

Clasamentul pentru 2026–27 nu este disponibil de la furnizor.

Formă recentă

Dallas Mavericks

8V 16Î · ultimele 24

la Houston Rockets132–115 Oct 11PRE

vs Houston Rockets117–135 Oct 9PRE

vs Chicago Bulls149–128 Apr 13SEZ

la San Antonio Spurs120–139 Apr 11SEZ

la Phoenix Suns107–112 Apr 9SEZ

la LA Clippers103–116 Apr 8SEZ

vs Los Angeles Lakers134–128 Apr 5SEZ

vs Orlando Magic127–138 Apr 4SEZ

la Milwaukee Bucks99–123 Apr 1SEZ

vs Minnesota Timberwolves94–124 Mar 31SEZ

la Portland Trail Blazers100–93 Mar 28SEZ

la Denver Nuggets135–142 Mar 26SEZ

vs Golden State Warriors131–137 PRMar 24SEZ

vs LA Clippers131–138 PRMar 22SEZ

vs Atlanta Hawks120–135 Mar 19SEZ

la New Orleans Pelicans111–129 Mar 17SEZ

la Cleveland Cavaliers130–120 Mar 15SEZ

vs Cleveland Cavaliers105–138 Mar 13SEZ

la Memphis Grizzlies120–112 Mar 13SEZ

la Atlanta Hawks112–124 Mar 10SEZ

la Toronto Raptors92–122 Mar 8SEZ

la Boston Celtics100–120 Mar 7SEZ

la Los Angeles Lakers121–94 Oct 16PRE

la Utah Jazz114–101 Oct 14PRE

New Orleans Pelicans

8V 16Î · ultimele 24

la Miami Heat118–128 Oct 8PRE

la Oklahoma City Thunder116–110 Oct 7PRE

la Minnesota Timberwolves126–132 Apr 13SEZ

la Boston Celtics118–144 Apr 10SEZ

vs Utah Jazz156–137 Apr 8SEZ

vs Orlando Magic108–112 Apr 5SEZ

la Sacramento Kings113–117 Apr 4SEZ

la Portland Trail Blazers106–118 Apr 3SEZ

vs Houston Rockets102–134 Mar 29SEZ

la Toronto Raptors106–119 Mar 28SEZ

la Detroit Pistons108–129 Mar 26SEZ

la New York Knicks116–121 Mar 24SEZ

vs Cleveland Cavaliers106–111 Mar 21SEZ

vs LA Clippers105–99 Mar 20SEZ

vs LA Clippers124–109 Mar 19SEZ

vs Dallas Mavericks129–111 Mar 17SEZ

la Houston Rockets105–107 Mar 14SEZ

vs Toronto Raptors122–111 Mar 12SEZ

vs Washington Wizards138–118 Mar 8SEZ

la Phoenix Suns116–118 Mar 7SEZ

la Sacramento Kings133–123 Mar 6SEZ

la Los Angeles Lakers101–110 Mar 4SEZ

la Orlando Magic125–132 Oct 16PRE

vs Houston Rockets128–130 Oct 15PRE

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Dallas Mavericks

24 meciuri

Statistici

3–2

New Orleans Pelicans

24 meciuri

Dallas Mavericks conduce la 3 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 1–2

% aruncări de 2+0.8pp

52.3%

+0.8pp

53.1%

% aruncări de 3+0.4pp

34.7%

+0.4pp

35.1%

% aruncări libere+1.3pp

79.9%

+1.3pp

78.6%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 3.7 pp

31.9%

diferență de 3.7 pp

28.2%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 1.9 pp

28.4%

diferență de 1.9 pp

30.3%

Posesie· 2–0

Recuperări pe meci+0.5

45.2

+0.5

44.7

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 0.1 mai puține

14.0

cu 0.1 mai puține

14.1

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.

Unele informații istorice sau actuale sunt incomplete. Verifică dovezile și incertitudinile fiecărei predicții; loturile și minutele de joc se pot schimba.