NBATerminat

Predicții evaluate

Atlanta Hawks113Oklahoma City Thunder110

lun. 12 oct. 2026, 23:00 Predicții evaluateState Farm ArenaPresezon

Predicții9–660%

Puncte pe perioadă: Atlanta Hawks și Oklahoma City Thunder.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Atlanta Hawks	29	27	23	34
Oklahoma City Thunder	28	21	30	31

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Oklahoma City owns the steadier early-preseason scoring evidence, and the forecasts lean toward lower-scoring output, but planned rest for its core is the biggest threat to that read.

No player forecasts are supported, so rotation remains unsettled on both sides.

Context

Oklahoma City's plan to rest core players and spread preseason minutes, combined with Atlanta's unsettled wing, guard and frontcourt availability, makes rotation and minutes the factors most likely to shape how this preseason game unfolds.

Daigneault built the preseason schedule with back-to-backs on purpose so he could rest veterans and evaluate younger players. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace and Alex Caruso all sat the Oct. 6 opener for rest, while Jaylin Williams was out with right heel soreness. Nikola Topic (June back surgery) and Thomas Sorber (July knee scope) were not full participants in camp. The plan keeps the core fresh but leaves Oklahoma City's rotation hard to project; for the Oct. 12 visit to Atlanta, the Thunder may limit veteran minutes and spread opportunities, with exact availability still to be determined.
- Daigneault said the preseason back-to-backs are by design.
- Six rotation regulars sat the Oct. 6 opener for rest.
- Jaylin Williams was listed out with right heel soreness.
- Nikola Topic (back surgery) and Thomas Sorber (knee scope) were not full go's in camp.
This is a training-camp projection rather than a confirmed lineup. CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu formed a group with the third-best point differential among lineups that played at least 300 minutes together, which points to coach Quin Snyder keeping it intact. Dort has started nearly his entire career, so his bench assignment could shift. Rookie Kingston Flemings is projected as the first point guard off the bench in 12-15 minute stints. For the Oct. 12 preseason game, Atlanta is more likely to audition depth than lock a rotation, so these roles carry watch-level uncertainty.
- Projected starters: CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu.
- Luguentz Dort and Aaron Wiggins are projected to come off the bench.
- Kingston Flemings is projected as the first point guard off the bench in 12-15 minute stints.
- The projected starting group returns all five starters from last season's sixth-seed team.
This is a camp projection rather than a confirmed lineup. Daigneault declined to name starters but said Wallace has started Finals games and is trusted as much as anyone, after Luguentz Dort was traded and three rookies were added. Wallace, Ajay Mitchell and Jared McCain were all raised as options to replace Dort in the first five. For the Oct. 12 preseason game the fifth starter and backup guard minutes remain open, so Oklahoma City's guard roles should be treated as unsettled.
- Projected starters: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein.
- Daigneault declined to commit to a rotation.
- Daigneault said Wallace has started Finals games and is trusted as much as anybody.
- Oklahoma City traded three contributors, including Luguentz Dort, and added three rookies.
The statuses date to Oct. 8, four days before the Oklahoma City game, so Atlanta's availability can still change. Dort's knee problem is the more significant item because it could carry into the next preseason outing, while Johnson's absence is precautionary rest rather than injury. Gilbert's patella tendinitis is a short-term concern that could affect guard minutes. This does not project who plays on Oct. 12, so Dort and Gilbert should be treated as uncertain and Johnson as likely available.
- Luguentz Dort was out for the Oct. 8 game with a knee issue.
- Jalen Johnson was out for that game for rest.
- Keshon Gilbert was a game-time decision with left patella tendinitis.
- The statuses are four days before the Oct. 12 game against Oklahoma City.

Reguli NBA: câștigătoarea, handicapul și totalurile pe tot meciul includ prelungirile. Rezultatul după 48 de minute, reprizele și sferturile nu le includ.

Predicții experimentale: acuratețea nu a fost încă validată pe rezultate istorice.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat4 din 6 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
A four-and-a-half-point cushion leaves Oklahoma City needing only to stay close in the third quarter.
- Atlanta has produced third-quarter margins large enough to cover this line.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 3 · HandicapcâștigatOklahoma City Thunder +4.5Șansă estimată55%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
A point-and-a-half cushion means Atlanta only needs to stay within a basket in the opening quarter.
- Oklahoma City has won first quarters by margins that would cover this line.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · HandicapcâștigatAtlanta Hawks +1.5Șansă estimată53%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
A two-and-a-half-point cushion leaves Atlanta needing only to stay close in the second quarter.
- Oklahoma City has won second quarters by margins that cover this line.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 2 · HandicapcâștigatAtlanta Hawks +2.5Șansă estimată53%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
A four-and-a-half-point cushion leaves Atlanta needing only to stay within a few points at halftime.
- Oklahoma City has won first halves by wide margins that would cover this spread.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Prima repriză · HandicapcâștigatAtlanta Hawks +4.5Șansă estimată52%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
Oklahoma City has started preseason games strongly, building early leads in several outings.
- Rest decisions and slow starts could leave the road side level at halftime.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Prima repriză · RezultatpierdutOklahoma City ThunderȘansă estimată51%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
Oklahoma City has scored strongly in opening quarters in recent preseason games.
- Rookie-heavy opening groups could start slowly for the road side.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · RezultatpierdutOklahoma City ThunderȘansă estimată50%

Puncte5 din 7 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Oklahoma City's rested-core preseason games have frequently landed below this line.
- An efficient outing from the young roster could clear this number.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Tot meciul · Puncte Oklahoma City Thunder · Incl. prelungiricâștigatOklahoma City Thunder · Sub 116.5Șansă estimată54%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Oklahoma City has been held below this mark in most recent third quarters.
- A high-scoring third quarter could push the road side over.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 3 · Puncte Oklahoma City ThunderpierdutOklahoma City Thunder · Sub 23.5Șansă estimată53%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Oklahoma City has been held below this mark in multiple recent second quarters.
- A high-scoring bench run could push the road side over.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 2 · Puncte Oklahoma City ThundercâștigatOklahoma City Thunder · Sub 33.5Șansă estimată52%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
Several recent preseason games for both teams finished below this combined total, slightly favoring the under.
- A loose preseason game with little defense could push the total well past this line.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Tot meciul · Total puncte · Incl. prelungiricâștigatSub 233.5Șansă estimată51%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
Atlanta has been held under this mark in multiple recent first halves.
- A hot opening quarter could carry Atlanta past this line.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Prima repriză · Puncte Atlanta HawkscâștigatAtlanta Hawks · Sub 60.5Șansă estimată51%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
Oklahoma City has scored at or above this mark in most recent opening quarters.
- Rest decisions could reduce the road side's first-quarter scoring.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 1 · Puncte Oklahoma City ThunderpierdutOklahoma City Thunder · Peste 31.5Șansă estimată51%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Aproape coin-flip · Fără cotă
Explicația
Atlanta has been held below this mark in several recent second quarters.
- A strong bench quarter could carry Atlanta past this line.
- NBA normal forecasts are experimental; held-out calibration and live editorial acceptance remain pending.
- Historical scoring is evidence, not a calibrated probability distribution or a confirmed current rotation.
- Designated home status does not establish home-court advantage; preseason venue defaults can be wrong.
- Small same-stage scoring sample; confidence remains LOW.
BetBugs · Sfertul 2 · Puncte Atlanta HawkscâștigatAtlanta Hawks · Sub 30.5Șansă estimată51%

Clasament

NBA · sezonul regulat 2026–27

Clasamentul pentru 2026–27 nu este disponibil de la furnizor.

Formă recentă

Atlanta Hawks

18V 7Î · ultimele 25

la San Antonio Spurs123–116 Oct 9PRE

vs Memphis Grizzlies123–132 Oct 5PRE

la Miami Heat117–143 Apr 12SEZ

vs Cleveland Cavaliers124–102 Apr 10SEZ

la Cleveland Cavaliers116–122 Apr 8SEZ

vs New York Knicks105–108 Apr 6SEZ

la Brooklyn Nets141–107 Apr 3SEZ

la Orlando Magic130–101 Apr 1SEZ

vs Boston Celtics112–102 Mar 30SEZ

vs Sacramento Kings123–113 Mar 28SEZ

la Boston Celtics102–109 Mar 27SEZ

la Detroit Pistons130–129 PRMar 25SEZ

vs Memphis Grizzlies146–107 Mar 23SEZ

vs Golden State Warriors126–110 Mar 22SEZ

la Houston Rockets95–117 Mar 21SEZ

la Dallas Mavericks135–120 Mar 19SEZ

vs Orlando Magic124–112 Mar 16SEZ

vs Milwaukee Bucks122–99 Mar 14SEZ

vs Brooklyn Nets108–97 Mar 12SEZ

vs Dallas Mavericks124–112 Mar 10SEZ

vs Philadelphia 76ers125–116 Mar 7SEZ

la Milwaukee Bucks131–113 Mar 5SEZ

vs Houston Rockets115–133 Oct 16PRE

vs Miami Heat119–118 PROct 13PRE

la Memphis Grizzlies122–116 Oct 12PRE

Oklahoma City Thunder

20V 6Î · ultimele 26

vs Milwaukee Bucks126–128 Oct 8PRE

vs New Orleans Pelicans110–116 Oct 7PRE

vs Phoenix Suns103–135 Apr 13SEZ

la Denver Nuggets107–127 Apr 11SEZ

la LA Clippers128–110 Apr 9SEZ

la Los Angeles Lakers123–87 Apr 8SEZ

vs Utah Jazz146–111 Apr 5SEZ

vs Los Angeles Lakers139–96 Apr 3SEZ

vs Detroit Pistons114–110 PRMar 31SEZ

vs New York Knicks111–100 Mar 29SEZ

vs Chicago Bulls131–113 Mar 28SEZ

la Boston Celtics109–119 Mar 25SEZ

la Philadelphia 76ers123–103 Mar 23SEZ

la Washington Wizards132–111 Mar 21SEZ

la Brooklyn Nets121–92 Mar 18SEZ

la Orlando Magic113–108 Mar 17SEZ

vs Minnesota Timberwolves116–103 Mar 15SEZ

vs Boston Celtics104–102 Mar 13SEZ

vs Denver Nuggets129–126 Mar 9SEZ

vs Golden State Warriors104–97 Mar 8SEZ

la New York Knicks103–100 Mar 5SEZ

la Chicago Bulls116–108 Mar 4SEZ

vs Denver Nuggets94–91 Oct 18PRE

la Milwaukee Bucks116–112 Oct 15PRE

la Indiana Pacers101–116 Oct 11PRE

vs Charlotte Hornets122–116 Oct 10PRE

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Atlanta Hawks

25 meciuri

Statistici

2–3

Oklahoma City Thunder

26 meciuri

Oklahoma City Thunder conduce la 3 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 1–2

% aruncări de 2+0.9pp

56.4%

+0.9pp

57.3%

% aruncări de 3+0.1pp

36.9%

+0.1pp

36.8%

% aruncări libere+3.2pp

76.4%

+3.2pp

79.6%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 1.1 pp

36.8%

diferență de 1.1 pp

37.9%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 0.8 pp

24.2%

diferență de 0.8 pp

25.0%

Posesie· 1–1

Recuperări pe meci+1.0

45.3

+1.0

44.3

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 0.8 mai puține

14.4

cu 0.8 mai puține

13.6

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.

Unele informații istorice sau actuale sunt incomplete. Verifică dovezile și incertitudinile fiecărei predicții; loturile și minutele de joc se pot schimba.