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Predicții evaluate

Sporting CP71Ovarense70

sâm. 24 oct. 2026, 14:00 Predicții evaluate

Predicții8–562%

Edge-uri0–10%

Puncte pe perioadă: Sporting CP și Ovarense.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Sporting CP	16	22	14	19
Ovarense	24	12	16	18

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Ovarense arrive 3-0 in the LPB but face a Sporting side that has won the last three meetings and is judged narrowly ahead after 40 minutes.

Sporting's shooting and head-to-head control make them the likely full-game winner, while Ovarense's rest advantage keeps the visitors within six points. The 3.15 on Ovarense leading at half-time is the one quote with a positive edge: it implies about 32%, with the chance judged nearer 36%.

Context

Sporting played overtime on 21 October and have 2.9 days between games; Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days). That preparation gap and Ovarense's 3-0 league start are the main sporting conditions around the fixture.

Sporting's October has run across two competitions: a FIBA Europe Cup trip to SCM Universitatea Craiova on 14 October, the league defeat at CAB Madeira on 17 October and the extra-period win over Kolossos Rhodes on 21 October, in which André Cruz logged 11 points and 13 rebounds. Ovarense have had the week clear since their 78-69 win over CD Póvoa on 17 October, so the visitors have had more preparation time for the trip to Lisbon. The overtime period added five extra minutes to Sporting's recent load, and whether their main rotation absorbs that in a third game inside eight days is the open question.
- Sporting beat Kolossos Rhodes 71-69 after overtime at Pavilhão João Rocha on 21 October in the FIBA Europe Cup group stage.
- André Cruz finished that win with 11 points and 13 rebounds.
- Ovarense's most recent game was a 78-69 home win over CD Póvoa on 17 October.
- Sporting also played at CAB Madeira on 17 October, so the Kolossos tie was their third game inside eight days.
Ovarense have made the start of the season look comfortable: 96-83 at home to SC Braga on 3 October, 87-71 at Vitória SC on 10 October and 78-69 at home to CD Póvoa on 17 October, each win by at least nine points. Jordan Wood contributed 12 points and six assists in Guimarães and five points in 17 minutes against Póvoa. The trip to Pavilhão João Rocha is their first meeting with Sporting this season and the first time they face a club also competing in Europe, so it is the clearest measure yet of how far that run travels.
- Ovarense opened the league season with a 96-83 home win over SC Braga on 3 October.
- They won 87-71 at Vitória SC on 10 October.
- A 78-69 home win over CD Póvoa on 17 October made it three wins from three.
- Jordan Wood scored 12 points with six assists in the Vitória SC win and had five points in 17 minutes against CD Póvoa.
Sporting's season has split along competition lines. They won 97-77 in Craiova on 14 October behind 20 points from Liam O'Reilly, lost 93-84 at CAB Madeira in the league three days later and returned to Europe to edge Kolossos Rhodes 71-69 after overtime on 21 October. The domestic slip is the one that bears on this fixture, because it is Sporting's most recent league outing and it left them with ground to recover in the Liga Betclic while Ovarense have yet to lose. This is their first league game since Madeira, so the home response is the open question.
- CAB Madeira beat Sporting 93-84 on 17 October in the Liga Betclic.
- Sporting won 97-77 at SCM Universitatea Craiova in the FIBA Europe Cup on 14 October, with Liam O'Reilly scoring 20 points.
- Sporting then beat Kolossos Rhodes 71-69 after overtime on 21 October for a third win in three European group games.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

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1st Half ResultpierdutBandă de incertitudine: Aproape coin-flip

Ovarense

3.15corectă 2.81

Piață 31.7% · BetBugs 35.6%

+3.9ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Ovarense are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 36 of 100 games like this. Sporting's shooting edge, rebounding and home court, plus their recent head-to-head control, point to a narrow home win. Ovarense's unbeaten start and extra rest keep the visitors close and lift their expected score.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat7 din 7 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Ovarense, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapcâștigatSporting CP +2.5Șansă estimată69.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · Match WinnercâștigatSporting CPȘansă estimată66.8%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · Result after 40 mincâștigatSporting CPȘansă estimată64.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Ovarense, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapcâștigatSporting CP +0.5Șansă estimată62%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultcâștigatSporting CPȘansă estimată60.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultcâștigatSporting CPȘansă estimată56.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Ovarense cover +4.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapcâștigatOvarense +4.5Șansă estimată56%

Puncte1 din 6 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Ovarense, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointspierdutSporting CP over 18.5Șansă estimată66.6%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. The 3rd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Ovarense, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointspierdutOver 37.5Șansă estimată64.6%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Ovarense score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Ovarense, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointspierdutOvarense over 18.5Șansă estimată58%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointspierdutOver 39.5Șansă estimată57.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Sporting CP score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointscâștigatSporting CP under 43.5Șansă estimată56.8%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 84.1, Ovarense 78.6. Ovarense score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting are 1-2 in the LPB this season, scoring 81.0 and conceding 79.0 per game, with a home 88-60 win over Esgueira on 10 October.
- Ovarense are 3-0 and top the LPB, scoring 87.0 and conceding 74.3 per game, winning those games by 9, 16 and 9 points between 3 and 17 October.
- In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Sporting average 86.8 points to Ovarense's 81.5 and have won the last three, including 78-64 in Lisbon on 1 November 2025.
- Over their last 15 games Sporting shoot 51.3% on two-pointers and 31.7% on three-pointers with 39.3 rebounds and 13.9 turnovers, against Ovarense's 47.7%, 30.5%, 37.2 and 14.4.
- Sporting played an overtime FIBA Europe Cup game on 21 October, 2.9 days before tip-off, while Ovarense have been idle since 17 October (6.9 days).
BetBugs · Team PointspierdutOvarense over 77.5Șansă estimată55.4%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 23, 07:56

Linia selectată

161.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

55%

Șansa de 162+ puncte

1 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.79 cere 56% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 55%.

Mută linia principală 161.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 55%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 45%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

V82–85

Ovarensev

Sporting CP

Feb 14, 2026·LPB

V70–85

Ovarensev

Sporting CP

Jan 17, 2026·TAC

V78–64

Sporting CPv

Ovarense

Nov 1, 2025·LPB

V100–91

Sporting CPv

Ovarense

Mar 8, 2025·LPB

V77–86

Ovarensev

Sporting CP

Nov 10, 2024·LPB

Î93–91

Ovarensev

Sporting CP

May 13, 2024·LPBPR

Î81–87

Sporting CPv

Ovarense

May 10, 2024·LPB

Î86–91

Sporting CPv

Ovarense

Jan 20, 2024·LPB

V79–91

Ovarensev

Sporting CP

Dec 9, 2023·TAC

V81–85

Ovarensev

Sporting CP

Sep 30, 2023·LPB

168.3Medie puncte totale

7.9Diferență medie

10întâlniri

Clasament

LPB · LPB - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

Sporting CP

1–233%

Ovarense

3–0100%

Formă recentă

Sporting CP

9V 6Î · ultimele 15

vs Kolossos Rhodes71–69 PROct 21FIB

la CAB Madeira84–93 Oct 17LPB

la SCM Craiova97–77 Oct 14FIB

vs Esgueira88–60 Oct 10LPB

vs Rilski Sportist79–75 PROct 7FIB

la Benfica71–84 Oct 3LPB

la FC Porto76–80 Sep 26SUP

la FC Porto86–94 May 31LPB

la FC Porto76–86 May 29LPB

vs FC Porto88–73 May 25LPB

vs FC Porto70–81 May 23LPB

la Esgueira85–73 May 14LPB

vs Esgueira109–67 May 10LPB

la Benfica79–77 May 3TAC

vs Imortal80–71 May 2TAC

Ovarense

8V 7Î · ultimele 15

vs CD Povoa78–69 Oct 17LPB

la Vitoria87–71 Oct 10LPB

vs Braga96–83 Oct 3LPB

vs Oliveirense65–69 May 16LPB

la Oliveirense72–90 May 13LPB

vs Oliveirense93–79 May 9LPB

vs Braga67–74 Apr 25LPB

la Galitos Barreiro83–82 Apr 18LPB

vs CA Queluz73–74 Apr 11LPB

vs FC Porto83–60 Apr 4LPB

la Benfica70–89 Mar 28LPB

la Vitoria81–75 Mar 25TAC

vs Vitoria75–91 Mar 21LPB

la Imortal107–100 PRMar 14LPB

vs Oliveirense68–85 Mar 6TAC

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Sporting CP

Statistici

4–1

Ovarense

Sporting CP conduce la 4 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 2–1

% aruncări de 2+3.6pp

51.3%

+3.6pp

47.7%

% aruncări de 3+1.2pp

31.7%

+1.2pp

30.5%

% aruncări libere+2.3pp

68.4%

+2.3pp

70.7%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 1.6 pp

33.8%

diferență de 1.6 pp

32.2%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 5.9 pp

37.8%

diferență de 5.9 pp

31.9%

Posesie· 2–0

Recuperări pe meci+2.1

39.3

+2.1

37.2

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 0.5 mai puține

13.9

cu 0.5 mai puține

14.4

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.