Basket LeagueTerminatRecomandat

Predicții evaluate

PAOK65AEK Athens62

sâm. 24 oct. 2026, 14:30 Predicții evaluate

Predicții6–460%

Puncte pe perioadă: PAOK și AEK Athens.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
PAOK	20	5	22	18
AEK Athens	15	14	15	18

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

PAOK put a 3-0 league start on the line in the Thessaloniki derby against an AEK side whose backcourt is unsettled, with Bartley pushing to return from knee trouble and Heurtel doubtful.

The likely outcome is a PAOK win, something near 86-77 after 40 minutes, built on home wins over Ulm, Lefkadas and Manresa. At 1.19 to win and 1.2 to lead after 40 minutes, no quoted price stands out at our numbers.

Context

AEK's availability is the live sporting question: Bartley has missed two games with knee tendinitis and is pushing to play, while Heurtel was out of the twelve against Antwerp with a reported thigh tear. PAOK's three home wins this season, including 87-78 over Ulm on 21 October, give the game a clear home baseline.

Bartley is AEK's American guard and was the Basketball Champions League's best player last season. He scored 27 points in the opener against Salon Vilpas on 7 October, including 10 in the last five minutes and the three-pointer that tied the game before Thomas Heurtel's winner. He was reported out of action on 15 October and tendinitis in the knee was reported four days later, keeping him out of the win over Mykonos and the heavy home defeat by Antwerp. A report on 23 October said he wants to play at PAOK, which would restore the guard who carried AEK's scoring in Europe. AEK have not confirmed his availability, so a decision may only follow a final fitness check.
- Tendinitis in Frank Bartley's knee was reported on 19 October, four days after he was reported out of action.
- He did not play in AEK's 84-79 league win over Mykonos on 17 October or in the 103-76 Champions League defeat by Antwerp on 21 October.
- A report on 23 October said the guard wants to play against PAOK.
AEK's French point guard hit the winning basket against Salon Vilpas and was again central to the attack in the league win over Mykonos on 17 October. A thigh tear was reported on 19 October and he was left out of the twelve for the Antwerp game two days later. Without him the ball-handling falls to Dimitris Flionis, Lukas Lekavicius and Giannoulis Larentzakis, and AEK lose their most experienced creator for a derby against a PAOK backcourt built around Nick Calathes and Trevor Hudgins. No return date has been given, so his involvement at PAOK is doubtful and the club has not set out when he will be cleared.
- A thigh tear was reported for Thomas Heurtel on 19 October.
- He was absent from AEK's twelve for the Champions League game against Antwerp on 21 October.
- Heurtel hit the winning basket in AEK's 95-93 Champions League win over Salon Vilpas on 7 October.
Greek basketball has spent the week consumed by a match-fixing case. Tsaroucha was arrested on 21 October as part of that case, the night PAOK hosted Ulm in the EuroCup and AEK hosted Antwerp in the Champions League, and both arenas answered with loud protests about the investigation. Reporting the following day said the federation's refereeing committee had appointed her to this derby, which would force a late change to the officiating crew. The case file also covers earlier Promitheas games involving PAOK, Aris and AEK. Neither roster is affected, but the refereeing of the game will be scrutinised closely and the mood in the building may be tense.
- Referee Vasso Tsaroucha was arrested on 21 October in the investigation into fixed games in Greek basketball.
- Supporters at PAOK's and AEK's European home games that night protested loudly about the case.
- Reporting the next day said the Greek refereeing committee had assigned her to the PAOK-AEK fixture this weekend.
- The case file examines earlier Promitheas games against PAOK, Aris and AEK.
AEK were beaten 103-76 at home by Antwerp in the Champions League on 21 October, and their coach apologised to the club's supporters afterwards. Sakota called the display shameful and said the Belgian side had controlled the game for 40 minutes before exploiting the fatigue his players were carrying. The defeat came three days before the league game at PAOK and followed a home league win over Mykonos, so AEK arrive with a coach demanding a response and a rotation already missing two guards. Whether the Antwerp night was an outlier or a sign of deeper trouble is the open question.
- Antwerp won 103-76 in Athens on 21 October.
- Dragan Sakota apologised to AEK's supporters and called the performance shameful.
- Sakota said the Belgian side had exploited the fatigue his team was carrying.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat5 din 8 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK win in about 77 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnercâștigatPAOKȘansă estimată77.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · Result after 40 mincâștigatPAOKȘansă estimată75.6%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for PAOK and 15 for AEK Athens, across seasons and competitions.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicappierdutPAOK +1.5Șansă estimată73.1%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultpierdutPAOKȘansă estimată68.9%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultpierdutPAOKȘansă estimată63.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultcâștigatPAOKȘansă estimată59.8%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultcâștigatPAOKȘansă estimată58.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK cover -0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for PAOK and 15 for AEK Athens, across seasons and competitions.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapcâștigatPAOK -0.5Șansă estimată58.4%

Puncte1 din 2 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. PAOK score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointscâștigatPAOK under 22.5Șansă estimată56.9%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: PAOK 86.7, AEK Athens 77.2. AEK Athens score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- PAOK are 3-0 in the 2026-27 Basket League through 17 October, scoring 87.3 and conceding 80.7 per game (88-84 at Kolossos, 86-73 vs Lefkadas, 88-85 at Mykonos).
- PAOK's home games this season: 87 vs Ulm (EuroCup, 21 Oct), 86 vs Lefkadas (10 Oct) and 93 vs Manresa (EuroCup, 30 Sep), all wins.
- AEK's three Basket League games (through 17 Oct) produced 77.7 points scored and 79.0 conceded, including a 58-88 loss at Aris on 10 October.
- Across the full 15-game window AEK scored 81.2 and conceded 86.2; PAOK scored 88.1 and conceded 85.9, with PAOK's figures boosted by EuroCup and weaker domestic opponents.
- Head-to-head last season: AEK won 88-71 in Thessaloniki on 14 February 2026, while PAOK won 78-76 in Athens on 9 November 2025.
- AEK guard Bartley (knee tendinitis) missed games on 17 and 21 October and was only reported as pushing to play on 23 October; Heurtel (thigh tear, reported 19 Oct) was out of the twelve against Antwerp on 21 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointspierdutAEK Athens over 37.5Șansă estimată55.2%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 23, 07:56

Linia selectată

164.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

50%

Șansa de 165+ puncte

2 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.92 cere 52% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 50%.

Mută linia principală 164.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 50%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 50%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

Î71–88

PAOKv

AEK Athens

Feb 14, 2026·BAS

V76–78

AEK Athensv PAOK

PAOK

Nov 9, 2025·BAS

Î89–85

AEK Athensv PAOK

PAOK

Apr 27, 2025·BASPR

V94–69

PAOKv

AEK Athens

Apr 12, 2025·BAS

Î89–76

AEK Athensv PAOK

PAOK

Apr 5, 2025·BAS

V84–65

PAOKv

AEK Athens

Feb 13, 2025·GRE

Î91–68

AEK Athensv PAOK

PAOK

Jan 19, 2025·BAS

V87–82

PAOKv

AEK Athens

Oct 26, 2024·BAS

Î99–91

AEK Athensv PAOK

PAOK

Apr 21, 2024·BAS

Î85–94

PAOKv

AEK Athens

Mar 2, 2024·BAS

166.1Medie puncte totale

12.5Diferență medie

10întâlniri

Clasament

Basket League · Basket League - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

PAOK

3–0100%

AEK Athens

2–167%

Formă recentă

PAOK

10V 5Î · ultimele 15

vs Ulm87–78 Oct 21EUR

la Kolossos Rhodes88–84 Oct 17BAS

la Lietkabelis86–95 Oct 13EUR

vs Lefkadas86–73 Oct 10BAS

la KK Bosna75–72 Oct 6EUR

la Mykonos88–85 Oct 3BAS

vs Manresa93–78 Sep 30EUR

la Olympiacos96–101 Sep 27SUP

la Panathinaikos84–82 Sep 26SUP

vs Panathinaikos94–102 May 30BAS

la Panathinaikos102–114 PRMay 28BAS

la Peristeri77–72 May 6BAS

vs Peristeri91–79 May 3BAS

la Bilbao74–89 Apr 29FIB

vs Maroussi101–85 Apr 25BAS

AEK Athens

7V 8Î · ultimele 15

vs Antwerp Giants76–103 Oct 21CL

vs Mykonos84–79 Oct 17BAS

la Aris58–88 Oct 10BAS

vs Salon Vilpas95–93 Oct 7CL

vs Maroussi91–70 Oct 3BAS

la Olympiacos80–93 Sep 26SUP

vs Olympiacos68–95 May 30BAS

la Olympiacos77–94 May 28BAS

vs Aris102–99 May 25BAS

la Aris81–90 May 17BAS

vs Aris87–81 May 14BAS

vs Rytas86–92 PRMay 9CL

la Unicaja78–65 May 7CL

vs Olympiacos84–94 Apr 25BAS

la Panionios71–57 Apr 19BAS

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

PAOK

Statistici

4–1

AEK Athens

PAOK conduce la 4 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 2–1

% aruncări de 2+5.9pp

60.2%

+5.9pp

54.3%

% aruncări de 3+1.8pp

33.7%

+1.8pp

35.5%

% aruncări libere12/15 meciuri+4.5pp

77.2%

+4.5pp

72.7%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 3.4 pp

32.8%

diferență de 3.4 pp

29.4%

Aruncări libere per aruncare12/15 meciuridiferență de 4.6 pp

35.0%

diferență de 4.6 pp

39.6%

Posesie· 2–0

Recuperări pe meci+2.2

31.1

+2.2

28.9

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 0.9 mai puține

12.3

cu 0.9 mai puține

13.2

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.