BNXT LeagueTerminatRecomandat

Predicții evaluate

Leuven Bears67Leiden64

sâm. 24 oct. 2026, 18:30 Predicții evaluate

Predicții6–367%

Edge-uri0–10%

Puncte pe perioadă: Leuven Bears și Leiden.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Leuven Bears	11	14	17	25
Leiden	11	14	22	17

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Two 2-1 teams, a week's rest each and an expected score of about 77-74: Leuven Bears' home form gives them a narrow edge over Leiden.

The prices on Leuven don't justify themselves, with 4.5 points to give at 1.75 and over 78.5 points at 1.77 both too demanding. The one price that makes a case is Leiden to be ahead at half-time at 2.75.

Context

Both teams last played on 17 October, a full week before tip-off, and no availability or rotation news is established. The game rests on three current BNXT results each plus 15-game shooting and rebounding figures stretching across competitions and seasons.

Leuven's early setback came at Donar Groningen on 6 October, when Aleks Merkviladze's buzzer-beater kept the hosts unbeaten. Leuven answered with a home win over Kortrijk Spurs in a game they only separated after the interval. That sequence says Leuven can trade scoring runs with a strong side and then close out a tighter home game, the profile they bring into a meeting with a Leiden team that also won its last game after half-time.
- Leuven Bears hosted Kortrijk Spurs on 17 October and made the difference after the interval.
- On 6 October Donar Groningen beat Leuven with a buzzer-beating shot.
- Aleks Merkviladze hit the winner and Donar stayed unbeaten.
Aalst matched Leiden through the opening quarter and trailed by only a point at the break. A strong third quarter made it 66-57 and the closing period turned that into a 92-77 win. Nik Graves, Jamie Bergens, Kjeld Zuidema, Sam Huurman and Jonathan Beagle started that game and stayed in front through the second half. The shape of the win says Leiden's scoring tends to arrive in bursts rather than from the tip, and both clubs' most recent wins were decided after half-time.
- Leiden beat Okapi Aalst 92-77 at home on 17 October.
- Leiden trailed 26-25 after the opening quarter and led 42-41 at half-time.
- Leiden led 66-57 after three quarters and finished 15 points clear.
Leuven went into the campaign with a rejuvenated roster and has since drawn credit for answering early scepticism. The team's own framing is that a young group will produce uneven results while roles settle. That matters for the visit of Leiden because minutes and shot distribution around the young core are still being established, so the home side's game-to-game output is harder to read than its win-loss start suggests.
- Leuven opened the 2026-27 campaign with a rejuvenated squad.
- The team has answered early critics with its start to the season.
- The squad accepts that the season will come with ups and downs as it develops.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

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Compară șansele BetBugs cu cele ale pieței.

1st Half ResultpierdutBandă de incertitudine: Aproape coin-flip

Leiden

2.75corectă 2.47

Piață 36.4% · BetBugs 40.5%

+4.1ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leiden are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 40 of 100 games like this. Leuven's home games this season have been tight, low-scoring affairs and their poor three-point and free-throw shooting caps their output, while Leiden score a little more freely but meet a Leuven defense allowing only 71.7 in this campaign. Recent head-to-heads were decided by the home side, so I give Leuven a narrow home edge in a game that stays close into the fourth quarter.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat3 din 5 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leuven Bears cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Leuven Bears and 15 for Leiden, across seasons and competitions.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicappierdutLeuven Bears +4.5Șansă estimată76.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leuven Bears cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Leuven Bears and 15 for Leiden, across seasons and competitions.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapcâștigatLeuven Bears +2.5Șansă estimată68.6%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leuven Bears win in about 60 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · Match WinnercâștigatLeuven BearsȘansă estimată60.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leuven Bears are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · Result after 40 mincâștigatLeuven BearsȘansă estimată58%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leuven Bears are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultpierdutLeuven BearsȘansă estimată55.5%

Puncte3 din 4 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leuven Bears score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Leuven Bears and 15 for Leiden, across seasons and competitions.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointscâștigatLeuven Bears over 16.5Șansă estimată68.9%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. The 3rd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Leuven Bears and 15 for Leiden, across seasons and competitions.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointscâștigatOver 34.5Șansă estimată65.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leuven Bears score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointscâștigatLeuven Bears under 20.5Șansă estimată59.6%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Leuven Bears 77.2, Leiden 73.9. Leiden score fewer than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Leuven Bears and 15 for Leiden, across seasons and competitions.
- Leuven's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 3-17): 73.0 points scored, 71.7 allowed, with home wins of 72-69 over Kortrijk and 69-65 over Spirou Charleroi.
- Leiden's three 2026-27 BNXT games (Oct 2-17): 76.3 scored, 75.0 allowed, including a 92-77 home win over Okapi Aalst on Oct 17.
- Across 15 box scores Leuven shoot 29.2% from three (94/322) and 63.5% from the line, versus Leiden's 34.0% from three and 75.7% from the line.
- Leiden average 34.0 rebounds and 13.0 turnovers per game over 15 games; Leuven average 32.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers.
- Head-to-head last season: each team won at home, Leuven 90-73 on Feb 14 2026 and Leiden 90-72 on Dec 20 2025.
- Current table after three rounds: Leiden 4th at 2-1 (229 scored, 225 allowed), Leuven 5th at 2-1 (219 scored, 215 allowed).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointspierdutLeiden under 19.5Șansă estimată58.9%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 23, 07:19

Linia selectată

152.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

49%

Șansa de 153+ puncte

7 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.80 cere 56% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 49%.

Mută linia principală 152.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 49%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 51%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

V90–73

Leuven Bearsv Leiden

Leiden

Feb 14, 2026·BNX

Î90–72

Leidenv

Leuven Bears

Dec 20, 2025·BNX

V98–63

Leuven Bearsv Leiden

Leiden

Mar 29, 2025·BNX

Î78–77

Leidenv

Leuven Bears

Sep 28, 2024·BNX

Î81–59

Leidenv

Leuven Bears

Jun 3, 2022·BNX

V82–68

Leuven Bearsv Leiden

Leiden

Jun 1, 2022·BNX

V86–57

Leuven Bearsv Leiden

Leiden

Apr 23, 2022·BNX

Î95–66

Leidenv

Leuven Bears

Mar 19, 2022·BNX

154.4Medie puncte totale

20.6Diferență medie

8întâlniri

Clasament

BNXT League · BNXT League - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

Leuven Bears

2–167%

Leiden

2–167%

Formă recentă

Leuven Bears

6V 9Î · ultimele 15

vs Kortrijk72–69 Oct 17BNX

la Donar Groningen78–81 Oct 6BNX

vs Spirou Charleroi69–65 Oct 3BNX

la BAL Weert77–65 May 9BNX

vs Zwolle69–61 May 6BNX

vs Kortrijk86–97 May 2BNX

la Spirou Charleroi69–73 Apr 23BNX

la Den Bosch58–66 Apr 19BNX

vs Den Bosch88–85 Apr 16BNX

la Rotterdam75–85 Apr 10BNX

vs Belfius Mons91–88 Apr 4BNX

la Antwerp Giants81–87 Apr 1BNX

la LWD Basket82–84 Mar 29BNX

la Antwerp Giants72–80 Mar 22BEL

vs Okapi Aalst90–106 Mar 15BNX

Leiden

8V 7Î · ultimele 15

vs Okapi Aalst92–77 Oct 17BNX

vs Brussels Basketball61–77 Oct 10BNX

la Rotterdam76–71 Oct 2BNX

la Zwolle74–90 Jun 10DBL

vs Zwolle61–75 Jun 7DBL

la Zwolle61–59 Jun 5DBL

vs Zwolle68–86 Jun 3DBL

la Donar Groningen79–77 May 31DBL

vs Donar Groningen91–71 May 29DBL

la Donar Groningen89–97 May 26DBL

vs Donar Groningen90–78 May 24DBL

la Donar Groningen68–91 May 22DBL

vs LWD Basket107–86 May 19DBL

la LWD Basket85–94 PRMay 18DBL

vs LWD Basket111–72 May 15DBL

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Leuven Bears

Statistici

1–4

Leiden

Leiden conduce la 4 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 1–2

% aruncări de 2+6.3pp

55.3%

+6.3pp

49.0%

% aruncări de 3+4.8pp

29.2%

+4.8pp

34.0%

% aruncări libere+12.2pp

63.5%

+12.2pp

75.7%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 8.0 pp

24.9%

diferență de 8.0 pp

32.9%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 10.6 pp

37.5%

diferență de 10.6 pp

26.9%

Posesie· 0–2

Recuperări pe meci+1.3

32.7

+1.3

34.0

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 0.8 mai puține

13.8

cu 0.8 mai puține

13.0

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.