Premijer ligaTerminat

Predicții evaluate

Virtus Zagreb83Alkar78

dum. 18 oct. 2026, 17:00 Predicții evaluate

Predicții7–188%

Puncte pe perioadă: Virtus Zagreb și Alkar.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Virtus Zagreb	20	28	17	18
Alkar	21	26	16	15

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Virtus Zagreb have won seven of the last ten against Alkar and shoot better across their last 15 games, but they scored 56 at home six days ago and three of their guards have not featured since 2 October.

A narrow Virtus win looks the likelier outcome, with Alkar close. Prices are available but none stands out: 1.41 for Virtus to win, overtime included, and 1.43 for Virtus to lead after 40 minutes, are not worth backing on this evidence.

Context

Virtus played three games in seven days across the Premijer liga and ABA League 2, and both teams were in European action on 14 October, leaving four days between games. Three Virtus guards have not featured since 2 October, an unconfirmed but real question over how the backcourt is staffed.

Virtus are carrying both the domestic Premijer liga and a regional ABA League 2 campaign this season, so the coaching staff have to spread minutes across a roster playing every few days. The European game fell four days before Alkar's arrival, leaving little training time between competitions and making a different rotation from the opening league rounds plausible. How much the leading scorers are used on 18 October, and whether the bench absorbs more of the load, is the main uncertainty around this team.
- Virtus Zagreb played Zadar in the third Premijer liga round on 12 October.
- Two days later Virtus began their ABA League 2 season with a defeat to Primorje 1945.
- The league game against Alkar follows on 18 October, making three matches in seven days.
Burden produced both the scoring and the creation in Alkar's win at Samobor, with nine assists sitting alongside his 22 points, and that kind of line decides tight games in this league. The Zagreb game turns partly on whether Virtus can cut off his dribble penetration and passing lanes; if they cannot, Alkar's other ball handlers have to take on more of the offense, and it is unclear how the rotation will look after the midweek European fixture.
- Alkar won away to Samobor on 4 October.
- Terrell Burden finished that game with 22 points, nine assists and three blocks.
Virtus scored only 56 points at home and conceded 87 in that third-round defeat, so both ends of the floor were an issue six days before this game. Alkar arrive with a guard who has already produced a 22-point, nine-assist outing, which puts the emphasis on Virtus's perimeter defense and on how quickly they reset after the midweek ABA League 2 game. One heavy home loss does not establish a trend, but it sharpens the question of which Virtus team shows up.
- Zadar won 56:87 at Virtus Zagreb on 12 October.
- Virtus had gone 2-0 in the league with their win on 2 October.
Alkar's European campaign runs in parallel with the domestic season, and the double-digit defeat in Pleven came four days before this league fixture. That leaves the staff balancing minutes for the players who carried the heaviest load in Bulgaria against the need to be fresh for a league game, without any indication that a player will be held out. The effect on the rotation, rather than the result itself, is what matters for Zagreb.
- Spartak Pleven beat Alkar Sinj by 11 points on their home court on 14 October.
- The fixture counted in the European North Basketball League, which Alkar play alongside the Premijer liga.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat5 din 5 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. Virtus Zagreb cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Virtus Zagreb and 15 for Alkar, across seasons and competitions.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapcâștigatVirtus Zagreb +4.5Șansă estimată75.8%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. Virtus Zagreb cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Virtus Zagreb and 15 for Alkar, across seasons and competitions.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapcâștigatVirtus Zagreb +2.5Șansă estimată67.7%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. Virtus Zagreb win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · Match WinnercâștigatVirtus ZagrebȘansă estimată58.5%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. Alkar cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · HandicapcâștigatAlkar +5.5Șansă estimată57.7%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. Virtus Zagreb are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 mincâștigatVirtus ZagrebȘansă estimată56.1%

Puncte2 din 3 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. Alkar score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · Team PointscâștigatAlkar over 77.5Șansă estimată61.2%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. Alkar score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointspierdutAlkar over 18.5Șansă estimată60.4%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Virtus Zagreb 82.8, Alkar 80.1. The game has more than 160.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Virtus's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 241 points scored (80.3) and 264 conceded (88.0), including a 56-87 home loss to Zadar on 12 October.
- Alkar's three 2026-27 Premijer liga games: 246 scored (82.0) and 263 conceded (87.7), but the 95-91 win at Samobor on 4 October went to overtime.
- Over 15 box scores Virtus shoot 51.7% on twos, 34.1% on threes and 72.6% from the line; Alkar 50.1%, 33.0% and 67.7%.
- Alkar rebound slightly better (33.1 vs 31.8 per game over 15 games) but turn it over more (13.9 vs 12.9).
- Head-to-head, Virtus (listed as Cedevita Junior) beat Alkar 80-62 at home on 11 April 2026 and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Virtus guards Gordon (15.0 ppg), Subasic (14.5) and Buljevic (19.0) have not appeared in a box score since 2 October, while Alkar's Marcinkovic (9.0) missed the 14 October ENBL game.
BetBugs · Total PointscâștigatOver 160.5Șansă estimată57.7%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 18, 13:16

Linia selectată

160.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

58%

Șansa de 161+ puncte

1 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.71 cere 58% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 58%.

Mută linia principală 160.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 58%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 42%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

V80–62

Cedevita Juniorv Alkar

Alkar

Apr 11, 2026·PRE

V61–82

Alkarv

Cedevita Junior

Jan 17, 2026·PRE

Î85–88

Cedevita Juniorv Alkar

Alkar

Nov 2, 2025·PREPR

Î72–70

Alkarv

Cedevita Junior

Mar 12, 2025·PRE

Î72–62

Alkarv

Cedevita Junior

Feb 14, 2025·CROPR

V69–67

Cedevita Juniorv Alkar

Alkar

Feb 2, 2025·PRE

V63–65

Alkarv

Cedevita Junior

Nov 16, 2024·PRE

V91–80

Cedevita Juniorv Alkar

Alkar

Apr 26, 2024·PRE

V95–81

Cedevita Juniorv Alkar

Alkar

Feb 4, 2024·PRE

V73–81

Alkarv

Cedevita Junior

Nov 20, 2023·PRE

149.9Medie puncte totale

9.1Diferență medie

10întâlniri

Clasament

Premijer liga · Premijer liga - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

Virtus Zagreb

2–167%

Alkar

1–233%

Formă recentă

Virtus Zagreb

8V 7Î · ultimele 15

la Primorje81–91 Oct 14ABA

vs Zadar56–87 Oct 12PRE

vs Dubrava89–84 Oct 2PRE

la Kvarner96–93 Sep 27PRE

la Split70–87 May 9PRE

vs Cibona74–84 May 1PRE

la Zabok76–65 Apr 25PRE

vs Samobor88–75 Apr 19PRE

la Dubrovnik83–80 Apr 15PRE

vs Alkar80–62 Apr 11PRE

la Dinamo Zagreb85–80 Apr 4PRE

vs Dubrava79–70 Mar 31PRE

la Kvarner88–91 PRMar 21PRE

la GKK Sibenka77–97 Mar 18PRE

vs Zadar67–81 Mar 14PRE

Alkar

4V 11Î · ultimele 15

la Spartak Pleven82–93 Oct 14ENB

vs Skrljevo73–88 Oct 10PRE

la Samobor95–91 PROct 4PRE

la Zrinjski Mostar92–87 PRSep 30ENB

vs Cibona78–84 Sep 27PRE

la Dubrovnik70–87 May 9PRE

la GKK Sibenka88–91 May 1PRE

vs Dinamo Zagreb77–72 Apr 25PRE

la Dubrava69–85 Apr 19PRE

vs Kvarner77–69 Apr 15PRE

la Cedevita Junior62–80 Apr 11PRE

vs Zadar58–69 Apr 4PRE

la Split64–80 Mar 29PRE

vs Cibona65–70 Mar 21PRE

la Zabok79–89 Mar 18PRE

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Virtus Zagreb

Statistici

4–1

Alkar

Virtus Zagreb conduce la 4 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 3–0

% aruncări de 2+1.6pp

51.7%

+1.6pp

50.1%

% aruncări de 3+1.1pp

34.1%

+1.1pp

33.0%

% aruncări libere+4.9pp

72.6%

+4.9pp

67.7%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 4.7 pp

36.4%

diferență de 4.7 pp

31.7%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 5.2 pp

22.4%

diferență de 5.2 pp

27.6%

Posesie· 1–1

Recuperări pe meci+1.3

31.8

+1.3

33.1

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 1.0 mai puține

12.9

cu 1.0 mai puține

13.9

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.