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Predicții evaluate

South East Melbourne99Melbourne United104

sâm. 10 oct. 2026, 08:30 Predicții evaluate

Predicții8–1142%

Edge-uri0–10%

Puncte pe perioadă: South East Melbourne și Melbourne United.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
South East Melbourne	30	23	21	25
Melbourne United	17	28	29	30

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

South East Melbourne meet Melbourne United three weeks after United's 25-point Throwdown win, yet both are 2-3, the Phoenix have had six days' rest to United's three, and the first derby turned on a 4-of-41 Phoenix night from three.

The Phoenix are the pick to win a close one, ahead after 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 such games. Under 186.5 combined points at 1.91 is the only price worth taking; Over 186.5 at 1.87 is not.

Context

Melbourne United's captain Chris Goulding has not been confirmed available after a low-grade calf injury, the Phoenix are without Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick, and the home side has had six days' rest to United's three.

Goulding is Melbourne United's captain and a long-time perimeter scorer. He sat out the club's recent games after a low-grade calf problem, and his absence would push more shot creation onto Cole Anthony and open minutes for the bench. No update has confirmed whether he will return for this derby.
- Chris Goulding was ruled out of Round 3 with a low-grade calf injury on 30 September.
- The plan was to reassess the captain after two weeks.
South East Melbourne will be without Foster for the second derby, and Pat Ryan steps into the game-night squad in his place. It is a change at the back end of the rotation rather than the starting group, and the club did not detail the injury.
- South East Melbourne ruled Dan Foster out of the derby through injury on 9 October.
- Pat Ryan took Foster's place in the squad.
Goodrick's absence removes a frontcourt option from the Phoenix rotation for the second Throwdown. Ellis Biggar comes into the squad in his place, and the club did not detail the injury.
- South East Melbourne ruled Hunter Goodrick out of the derby through injury on 9 October.
- Ellis Biggar replaced Goodrick in the squad.
The clubs meet again three weeks after United's 25-point win inside John Cain Arena, where the Phoenix endured a poor shooting night. United's recent and historical edge frames the rematch, though both clubs have since won a game.
- Melbourne United won Throwdown 33 86-61 on 24 September.
- South East Melbourne shot 4 of 41 from three-point range in that game.
- A win on Saturday would extend Melbourne United's record in the matchup to 24-10.
- Cole Anthony finished the first derby with 18 points, six assists and five rebounds.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

Avantaje BetBugs

Compară șansele BetBugs cu cele ale pieței.

Total PointspierdutBandă de incertitudine: Înclinare

Under 186.5

1.91corectă 1.60

Piață 52.4% · BetBugs 62.5%

+10.1ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. The game has fewer than 186.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. These are two evenly matched Melbourne sides, so the home court and the extra three days' rest edge South East Melbourne slightly despite United's 25-point win in the first derby, which came on an extreme 4-of-41 Phoenix three-point night. Melbourne United's better defence keeps it close, but the Phoenix's superior shooting percentages and lower turnover rate at home point to a narrow home win.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat2 din 7 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne cover +3.5 (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · HandicappierdutSouth East Melbourne +3.5Șansă estimată67%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for South East Melbourne and 15 for Melbourne United, across seasons and competitions.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicappierdutSouth East Melbourne +2.5Șansă estimată66.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapcâștigatSouth East Melbourne +1.5Șansă estimată62.2%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · Match WinnerpierdutSouth East MelbourneȘansă estimată58.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for South East Melbourne and 15 for Melbourne United, across seasons and competitions.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicappierdutSouth East Melbourne +0.5Șansă estimată57.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapcâștigatSouth East Melbourne +0.5Șansă estimată56.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minpierdutSouth East MelbourneȘansă estimată56.1%

Puncte6 din 12 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. Melbourne United score fewer than 95.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · Team PointspierdutMelbourne United under 95.5Șansă estimată71.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. Melbourne United score fewer than 48.5 points in the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointscâștigatMelbourne United under 48.5Șansă estimată71.6%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. Melbourne United score fewer than 24.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointscâștigatMelbourne United under 24.5Șansă estimată67.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. The 1st half has fewer than 94.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointspierdutUnder 94.5Șansă estimată65.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. The 1st quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointscâștigatUnder 47.5Șansă estimată63.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prețul pieței 1.91
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. The game has fewer than 186.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · Total PointspierdutUnder 186.5Șansă estimată62.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointspierdutUnder 47.5Șansă estimată62.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. Melbourne United score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for South East Melbourne and 15 for Melbourne United, across seasons and competitions.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointscâștigatMelbourne United over 20.5Șansă estimată61.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. Melbourne United score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointspierdutMelbourne United under 23.5Șansă estimată60%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for South East Melbourne and 15 for Melbourne United, across seasons and competitions.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointscâștigatSouth East Melbourne under 23.5Șansă estimată57%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for South East Melbourne and 15 for Melbourne United, across seasons and competitions.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointscâștigatOver 43.5Șansă estimată56%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: South East Melbourne 91.5, Melbourne United 88.8. South East Melbourne score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Both clubs are 2-3 after five NBL rounds: South East Melbourne average 90.6 points scored and 89.8 conceded, Melbourne United 90.8 and 88.0 (2026-27 standings, 9 October 2026).
- The only meeting this season was Melbourne United's 86-61 win in South East Melbourne on 24 September; the Phoenix shot just 4 of 41 from three that night against a season-long 31.2% rate, making it a shooting outlier rather than a stable gap.
- Across this season's tracked box scores, South East Melbourne give away 9.2 turnovers per game against Melbourne United's 11.9, and shoot slightly better (52.4% on twos, 78.7% free throws versus 51.5% and 74.0%).
- Rest favours the home side: South East Melbourne last played 4 October (six days) while Melbourne United played 7 October (three days).
- South East Melbourne are confirmed without bench pieces Dan Foster and Hunter Goodrick (club team news, 9 October), both low-minute rotation players.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointspierdutSouth East Melbourne under 23.5Șansă estimată55.1%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 9, 15:15

Linia selectată

186.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

38%

Șansa de 187+ puncte

16 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.87 cere 53% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 38%.

Mută linia principală 186.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 38%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 63%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

Î61–86

South East Melbournev

Melbourne United

Sep 24, 2026·NBL

Î95–91

Melbourne Unitedv

South East Melbourne

Feb 19, 2026·NBL

V111–86

South East Melbournev

Melbourne United

Dec 7, 2025·NBL

Î81–92

South East Melbournev

Melbourne United

Nov 8, 2025·NBL

Î103–83

Melbourne Unitedv

South East Melbourne

Sep 25, 2025·NBL

Î103–93

Melbourne Unitedv

South East Melbourne

Feb 8, 2025·NBL

V109–97

South East Melbournev

Melbourne United

Dec 15, 2024·NBL

V84–93

Melbourne Unitedv

South East Melbourne

Oct 20, 2024·NBL

Î84–96

South East Melbournev

Melbourne United

Sep 26, 2024·NBL

Î99–83

Melbourne Unitedv

South East Melbourne

Feb 3, 2024·NBL

183Medie puncte totale

14.4Diferență medie

10întâlniri

Clasament

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

South East Melbourne

2–340%

Melbourne United

2–340%

Formă recentă

South East Melbourne

7V 8Î · ultimele 15

vs Illawarra Hawks113–96 Oct 4NBL

la Perth88–92 Oct 2NBL

vs Melbourne United61–86 Sep 24NBL

la Tasmania JackJumpers91–96 Sep 21NBL

la Perth100–79 Sep 19NBL

la Adelaide96–108 Mar 17NBL

vs Adelaide101–92 Mar 14NBL

la Adelaide97–104 Mar 10NBL

vs Perth111–94 Mar 4NBL

la Melbourne United91–95 Feb 19NBL

vs Tasmania JackJumpers120–104 Feb 14NBL

vs Sydney88–114 Feb 8NBL

la New Zealand Breakers114–83 Feb 5NBL

la Adelaide97–77 Jan 31NBL

la Perth93–101 Jan 28NBL

Melbourne United

8V 7Î · ultimele 15

la Adelaide96–91 Oct 7NBL

vs Cairns Taipans95–107 Oct 3NBL

la Tasmania JackJumpers82–84 Oct 1NBL

la South East Melbourne86–61 Sep 24NBL

vs Adelaide95–97 Sep 19NBL

la Perth77–95 Mar 7NBL

vs Tasmania JackJumpers82–68 Mar 5NBL

vs South East Melbourne95–91 Feb 19NBL

vs Illawarra Hawks91–100 Feb 15NBL

la Cairns Taipans89–85 Feb 12NBL

vs Adelaide76–87 Feb 7NBL

la New Zealand Breakers95–97 Jan 30NBL

la Perth74–73 Jan 25NBL

vs Brisbane Bullets98–66 Jan 21NBL

vs Tasmania JackJumpers79–77 Jan 17NBL

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

South East Melbourne

Statistici

5–0

Melbourne United

14 meciuri

South East Melbourne conduce la 5 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 3–0

% aruncări de 2+0.9pp

52.4%

+0.9pp

51.5%

% aruncări de 3+0.5pp

31.2%

+0.5pp

30.7%

% aruncări libere+4.7pp

78.7%

+4.7pp

74.0%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 4.0 pp

36.0%

diferență de 4.0 pp

32.0%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 2.7 pp

25.9%

diferență de 2.7 pp

28.6%

Posesie· 2–0

Recuperări pe meci+0.8

37.7

+0.8

36.9

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 2.7 mai puține

9.2

cu 2.7 mai puține

11.9

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.