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Predicții evaluate

Bayern87Virtus Bologna94

joi 8 oct. 2026, 18:00 Predicții evaluate

Predicții7–558%

Edge-uri2–0100%

Puncte pe perioadă: Bayern și Virtus Bologna.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Bayern	21	22	25	19
Virtus Bologna	35	17	23	19

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Two 1-2 EuroLeague teams meet in Munich, with Bayern expected to edge a close one 86-82 after 40 minutes and to win about six times in ten.

The worthwhile prices both sit with Virtus: 3.16 to be ahead after 40 minutes and 1.81 to score over 80.5 points. Bayern to win at 1.44 and to lead after 40 minutes at 1.52 ask for more than their chances justify.

Context

Bayern have their full 15-man group available with MarJon Beauchamp back after illness on 7 October, a real if modest boost to their perimeter depth. Kevin Kokila may return for Virtus after the hamstring injury sustained in training on 31 August, but his participation and workload remain uncertain, and Alston was absent from Virtus's latest game on 4 October without that being a confirmed absence.

Beauchamp missed Bayern’s last domestic game through illness but returned to the available group on the eve of this EuroLeague fixture. Bayern signed him as a small forward, so his return restores another perimeter option for Gavel against Virtus. His exact role in the game has not been specified.
- MarJon Beauchamp missed Bayern’s 113–60 home win over Oldenburg on 4 October because of illness.
- Anton Gavel had all 15 Bayern professionals available for the Virtus game on 7 October.
Kokila had been out since the pre-season injury and may make his first Virtus appearance against Bayern. The 204cm centre would give Alex Mumbrú another option in the frontcourt after a lengthy absence, though his participation and workload for this game remain uncertain.
- Kevin Kokila sustained a first-degree injury to his right hamstring during training on 31 August.
- Virtus initially estimated a recovery period of around four weeks.
- Kokila was reported available for the Bayern trip on 7 October after missing pre-season and the opening games.
The Olympiacos result gave Virtus their first EuroLeague win of the season after back-to-back narrow or clear defeats. Both clubs enter this fourth-round fixture at 1–2, making the game an early opportunity to move back to an even European record.
- Virtus lost 78–68 at Fenerbahce and 87–85 in Milan in their first two EuroLeague games.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96–94 in their previous EuroLeague game.
- Marcus Carr made the winning three-pointer at the buzzer against Olympiacos.
Bayern returned to domestic action 41 hours after the Partizan defeat and produced a decisive home win over Oldenburg. The result provides current form context before Virtus visit Munich, but it does not establish how Bayern will perform in this EuroLeague game.
- Bayern lost 86–84 to Partizan in EuroLeague play on 2 October.
- Bayern beat Oldenburg 113–60 at home on 4 October.
- The Oldenburg victory was Bayern’s third domestic win of the season.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

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Result after 40 mincâștigatBandă de incertitudine: Aproape coin-flip

Virtus Bologna

3.16corectă 2.65

Piață 31.6% · BetBugs 37.7%

+6.1ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 38 of 100 games like this. Bayern's home court and recent head-to-head success give them a slight edge, but both teams have conceded heavily in early EuroLeague play. I expect a close game with Bayern in the mid-80s and Virtus in the low 80s.

Team PointscâștigatBandă de incertitudine: Înclinare

Virtus Bologna over 80.5

1.81corectă 1.66

Piață 55.2% · BetBugs 60.4%

+5.2ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna score more than 80.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Bayern's home court and recent head-to-head success give them a slight edge, but both teams have conceded heavily in early EuroLeague play. I expect a close game with Bayern in the mid-80s and Virtus in the low 80s.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat3 din 7 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bayern and 15 for Virtus Bologna, across seasons and competitions.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicappierdutVirtus Bologna +4.5Șansă estimată68.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Bayern cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bayern and 15 for Virtus Bologna, across seasons and competitions.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapcâștigatBayern +1.5Șansă estimată61.8%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Bayern win in about 60 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · Match WinnerpierdutBayernȘansă estimată60%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Bayern are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minpierdutBayernȘansă estimată57.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapcâștigatVirtus Bologna +3.5Șansă estimată57.1%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · HandicapcâștigatVirtus Bologna +5.5Șansă estimată56.1%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Bayern are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultpierdutBayernȘansă estimată55.3%

Puncte4 din 5 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prețul pieței 1.81
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna score more than 80.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · Team PointscâștigatVirtus Bologna over 80.5Șansă estimată60.4%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointscâștigatVirtus Bologna over 19.5Șansă estimată59.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. The game has more than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · Total PointscâștigatOver 167.5Șansă estimată55.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. Virtus Bologna score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointscâștigatVirtus Bologna over 40.5Șansă estimată55.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bayern 86.1, Virtus Bologna 82.9. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Bayern's three EuroLeague games this season average 82.0 points scored and 90.0 allowed, including an 84-86 home loss to Partizan on 2 October 2026.
- Virtus's three EuroLeague games average 83.0 scored and 86.3 allowed; their away EuroLeague scoring is 76.5 from a 68-point game at Fenerbahce on 25 September and an 85-point game at Milano on 29 September.
- Bayern's latest home EuroLeague game was the 84-86 loss to Partizan on 2 October, while their latest domestic home game was a 113-60 win over Oldenburg on 4 October.
- Virtus beat Olympiacos 96-94 at home on 1 October 2026 for their only EuroLeague win of the young season.
- In recent head-to-head play, Bayern won 85-80 at Virtus on 7 April 2026 and 86-70 at home against Virtus on 30 October 2025.
- Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague through three games; Virtus have a -10 point differential and Bayern are -24.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointspierdutOver 41.5Șansă estimată55.1%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 5, 14:17

Linia selectată

167.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

56%

Șansa de 168+ puncte

+4 pp peste pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.93 cere 52% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 56%.

Mută linia principală 167.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 56%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 45%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

V80–85

Virtus Bolognav Bayern

Bayern

Apr 7, 2026·EUR

V86–70

Bayernv

Virtus Bologna

Oct 30, 2025·EUR

Î72–82

Bayernv

Virtus Bologna

Jan 17, 2025·EUR

V84–87

Virtus Bolognav Bayern

Bayern

Oct 29, 2024·EUR

Î85–83

Virtus Bolognav Bayern

Bayern

Jan 3, 2024·EUR

V90–76

Bayernv

Virtus Bologna

Nov 30, 2023·EUR

V91–84

Bayernv

Virtus Bologna

Jan 27, 2023·EUR

Î66–63

Virtus Bolognav Bayern

Bayern

Oct 13, 2022·EUR

160.5Medie puncte totale

7.5Diferență medie

8întâlniri

Clasament

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

Bayern

1–233%

Virtus Bologna

1–233%

Formă recentă

Bayern

10V 5Î · ultimele 15

vs Oldenburg113–60 Oct 4BBL

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet84–86 Oct 2EUR

la Fenerbahce76–100 Sep 29EUR

vs Alba Berlin95–61 Sep 26BBL

la Hapoel Tel Aviv86–84 Sep 24EUR

vs Bamberg108–72 Sep 20BBL

vs Alba Berlin81–84 Jun 21BBL

la Alba Berlin61–71 Jun 19BBL

la Alba Berlin91–83 Jun 17BBL

vs Alba Berlin79–86 Jun 14BBL

vs Alba Berlin102–94 Jun 12BBL

la Bonn77–57 Jun 4BBL

vs Bonn91–69 Jun 1BBL

vs Bonn83–78 May 30BBL

la Trier99–62 May 23BBL

Virtus Bologna

7V 8Î · ultimele 15

vs Maxima Roma98–89 Oct 4LEG

vs Olympiacos96–94 Oct 1EUR

la Olimpia Milano85–87 Sep 29EUR

la Varese90–69 Sep 27LEG

la Fenerbahce68–78 Sep 25EUR

la Olimpia Milano71–80 Sep 19LEG

la Venezia83–90 Jun 6LEG

la Venezia85–89 Jun 4LEG

vs Venezia98–79 Jun 1LEG

vs Venezia83–91 May 30LEG

vs Trento106–95 May 26LEG

la Trento90–81 May 24LEG

la Trento85–102 May 22LEG

vs Trento84–87 May 19LEG

vs Trento102–71 May 17LEG

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Bayern

Statistici

3–2

Virtus Bologna

Bayern conduce la 3 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 2–1

% aruncări de 2+2.4pp

59.1%

+2.4pp

56.7%

% aruncări de 3+2.4pp

35.6%

+2.4pp

33.2%

% aruncări libere14/14 meciuri+0.7pp

76.3%

+0.7pp

77.0%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 2.0 pp

33.2%

diferență de 2.0 pp

31.2%

Aruncări libere per aruncare14/14 meciuridiferență de 6.1 pp

30.6%

diferență de 6.1 pp

36.7%

Posesie· 1–1

Recuperări pe meci+0.4

34.3

+0.4

33.9

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 0.5 mai puține

12.8

cu 0.5 mai puține

12.3

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.