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Predicții evaluate

Mineros96Santos75

mie. 7 oct. 2026, 02:05 Predicții evaluate

Predicții7–558%

Edge-uri0–20%

Puncte pe perioadă: Mineros și Santos.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Mineros	23	28	24	21
Santos	14	17	23	21

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Santos need one win to secure a Play-In place, but they visit a Mineros side that has won all six home meetings in the head-to-head sample.

A 40-minute score of Mineros 89.7 to Santos 86.1 makes Mineros the likelier winner. Two quoted prices hold up: Santos over 83.5 team points at 1.76 and Santos with a 3.5-point start in the first half at 1.88. Mineros at 1.35 to win the game, and at 1.37 to lead after 40 minutes, do not.

Context

Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 conceded in eight LNBP home games through 3 October, while Santos average 88.7 scored and 89.7 conceded in seven away games through the same date. Santos have a new coach in Héctor "Bobby" Porrata, who has won both games since 30 September, and a Play-In place within reach, but Abu Kigab's availability is unresolved after he was listed unavailable on 3 October. Mineros' home form and head-to-head record in this fixture keep the balance toward the hosts.

Porrata returned to Santos for the final stretch of the regular season after previously coaching the club in 2023. He said his early focus was improved collective play, ball movement and discipline at both ends. Santos then swept Freseros in his first series. The change gives Santos a new tactical reference for the visit to Mineros, though its effect away from home remains uncertain.
- Santos changed coach on 30 September, with Héctor “Bobby” Porrata replacing Douglas Plumb.
- Porrata's first series ended with Santos beating Freseros 96-81 and 108-87.
Santos arrive in Zacatecas for the last two games of the regular season with their Play-In route in their own hands. A single win against Mineros would settle qualification, making the immediate competition context material for this fixture without determining the result.
- The 6-7 October series at Mineros is Santos' final regular-season assignment.
- One win in the series would secure Santos' Play-In place.
Santos had to adjust during their win over Freseros when Abu Kigab was unavailable. The nature of the absence and his availability for the Mineros series remain unresolved.
- Abu Kigab was listed as unavailable during the 3 October game against Freseros.
- Santos altered its plans during the second period against Freseros.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

Avantaje BetBugs

Compară șansele BetBugs cu cele ale pieței.

Team PointspierdutBandă de incertitudine: Înclinare

Santos over 83.5

1.76corectă 1.64

Piață 56.8% · BetBugs 61.1%

+4.3ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Mineros have been the stronger home team, and their better free-throw shooting and lower turnover rate should help them score efficiently against a Santos defense that allows nearly 90 points away. Santos have more rebounding power and a recent coaching boost, so I expect them to stay close but finish slightly behind.

1st Half HandicappierdutBandă de incertitudine: Înclinare ușoară

Santos +3.5

1.88corectă 1.78

Piață 53.2% · BetBugs 56.2%

+3.0ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this. Mineros have been the stronger home team, and their better free-throw shooting and lower turnover rate should help them score efficiently against a Santos defense that allows nearly 90 points away. Santos have more rebounding power and a recent coaching boost, so I expect them to stay close but finish slightly behind.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat4 din 7 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mineros and 15 for Santos, across seasons and competitions.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicappierdutSantos +3.5Șansă estimată62.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Mineros cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mineros and 15 for Santos, across seasons and competitions.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapcâștigatMineros +1.5Șansă estimată62.3%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Mineros win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · Match WinnercâștigatMinerosȘansă estimată61.2%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Mineros are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · Result after 40 mincâștigatMinerosȘansă estimată58.9%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · HandicappierdutSantos +6.5Șansă estimată58.1%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Mineros are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultcâștigatMinerosȘansă estimată56.2%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Prețul pieței 1.88
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicappierdutSantos +3.5Șansă estimată56.2%

Puncte3 din 5 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Mineros score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mineros and 15 for Santos, across seasons and competitions.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointscâștigatMineros over 17.5Șansă estimată81.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mineros and 15 for Santos, across seasons and competitions.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointscâștigatSantos over 18.5Șansă estimată71%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prețul pieței 1.76
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · Team PointspierdutSantos over 83.5Șansă estimată61.1%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prag de referință · fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mineros and 15 for Santos, across seasons and competitions.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointscâștigatOver 41.5Șansă estimată60.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mineros 89.7, Santos 86.1. Santos score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Mineros average 88.0 points at home and 84.9 allowed in 8 LNBP home games through Oct 3.
- Santos average 88.7 points away and 89.7 allowed in 7 LNBP away games through Oct 3.
- In 15 box-score games, Mineros shoot 79.7% FT versus Santos 63.7% FT, while Santos grab 37.9 rebounds per game versus Mineros 31.1.
- Santos won both 2026-27 meetings at home (95-80, 87-86), but Mineros have won all six home meetings in the h2h sample, including 109-86 and 91-77 in 2025-26.
- Santos beat Freseros 96-81 and 108-87 on Oct 2-3 under new coach Porrata, and they need one win to clinch a Play-In spot (reported Oct 6).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointspierdutSantos over 20.5Șansă estimată58.2%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 6, 19:40

Linia selectată

175.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

53%

Șansa de 176+ puncte

5 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.75 cere 57% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 53%.

Mută linia principală 175.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 53%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 47%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

Î95–80

Santosv

Mineros

Jul 25, 2026·LNB

Î87–86

Santosv

Mineros

Jul 24, 2026·LNB

V109–86

Minerosv

Santos

Oct 4, 2025·LNB

V91–77

Minerosv

Santos

Oct 3, 2025·LNB

V84–66

Minerosv

Santos

Aug 4, 2025·LNB

V89–79

Minerosv

Santos

Aug 3, 2025·LNB

Î87–82

Santosv

Mineros

Sep 19, 2024·LNB

Î107–62

Santosv

Mineros

Sep 18, 2024·LNB

V81–78

Minerosv

Santos

Oct 10, 2023·LNB

V83–78

Minerosv

Santos

Oct 9, 2023·LNB

168.7Medie puncte totale

13.9Diferență medie

10întâlniri

Clasament

LNBP · LNBP - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

Mineros

14–1254%

Santos

10–1638%

Formă recentă

Mineros

7V 8Î · ultimele 15

vs Abejas74–81 Oct 3LNB

vs Abejas90–78 Oct 2LNB

la Lobos Plateados84–81 Sep 27LNB

la Lobos Plateados68–91 Sep 26LNB

vs Gambusinos87–85 Sep 22LNB

vs Gambusinos89–96 Sep 21LNB

la Fuerza Regia84–87 Sep 17LNB

la Fuerza Regia101–100 PRSep 16LNB

vs Diablos Rojos98–85 Sep 11LNB

vs Diablos Rojos75–81 Sep 10LNB

la Dorados92–82 Aug 30LNB

la Dorados71–95 Aug 30LNB

vs Panteras98–78 Aug 26LNB

vs Panteras93–95 Aug 25LNB

la Soles71–78 Aug 22LNB

Santos

6V 9Î · ultimele 15

vs Freseros108–87 Oct 3LNB

vs Freseros96–81 Oct 2LNB

la Abejas78–92 Sep 27LNB

la Abejas87–86 Sep 26LNB

vs Lobos Plateados84–99 Sep 22LNB

vs Lobos Plateados86–95 Sep 21LNB

la Gambusinos109–78 Sep 17LNB

la Gambusinos77–89 Sep 16LNB

vs Fuerza Regia74–103 Sep 12LNB

vs Fuerza Regia89–101 Sep 11LNB

la Diablos Rojos95–82 Aug 30LNB

la Diablos Rojos87–97 Aug 30LNB

vs Dorados94–102 Aug 26LNB

vs Dorados87–63 Aug 25LNB

la Panteras88–104 Aug 22LNB

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Mineros

Statistici

3–2

Santos

Mineros conduce la 3 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 2–1

% aruncări de 2+0.9pp

52.5%

+0.9pp

53.4%

% aruncări de 3+0.1pp

35.1%

+0.1pp

35.0%

% aruncări libere+16.0pp

79.7%

+16.0pp

63.7%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 3.1 pp

34.9%

diferență de 3.1 pp

31.8%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 11.3 pp

26.7%

diferență de 11.3 pp

38.0%

Posesie· 1–1

Recuperări pe meci+6.8

31.1

+6.8

37.9

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 1.0 mai puține

11.1

cu 1.0 mai puține

12.1

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.