Liga ACBAOTRecomandat

Predicții evaluate

Obradoiro CAB107Real Madrid114

Timp regulamentar 99-99dum. 4 oct. 2026, 10:30 Predicții evaluate

Predicții6–843%

Puncte pe perioadă: Obradoiro CAB și Real Madrid.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4	P
Obradoiro CAB	22	21	26	30	8
Real Madrid	22	32	21	24	15

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Obradoiro host Real Madrid one round into the ACB season, both 1-0, with the projected 40-minute score 81.8-91.2 in Madrid's favour.

Real Madrid are the likelier winner — ahead at 40 minutes in about 75 of 100 such games, winning about 77 of 100 including overtime — though three EuroLeague defeats in a week give Obradoiro a chance. No price is worth backing: over 177.5 combined points at 1.91 and Real Madrid over 93.5 team points at 1.85 ask for more than the evidence gives.

Context

Both teams are 1-0 in ACB, but Real Madrid have lost three EuroLeague games in a week and had 2.8 days since their last completed game against Obradoiro's 7.7, while Obradoiro's scoring totals come mostly from the second division.

Real Madrid have won all ten meetings in this record, and only two were decided by fewer than seven points. The 2022-05-08 game is the exception: an 89-88 finish at Obradoiro, one basket either way. Obradoiro's five home meetings in that stretch averaged 76.8 points against Real Madrid's 86.2. A one-sided series can still produce a close home night.
- Real Madrid won 89-88 at Obradoiro CAB in ACB on 2022-05-08, the narrowest margin of the ten most recent meetings in this record.
Real Madrid's most recent completed game was a 98-102 EuroLeague defeat at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 2026-10-01, their third loss in seven days. They also went down 77-78 at Dubai on 2026-09-24 and 84-94 at Anadolu Efes on 2026-09-29. That run is the counterweight to Real Madrid's status as clear favourites, though EuroLeague and ACB form do not transfer directly.
- Real Madrid lost 98-102 at Hapoel Tel Aviv in the EuroLeague on 2026-10-01, their third defeat in seven days.
- Real Madrid lost 77-78 at Dubai on 2026-09-24 and 84-94 at Anadolu Efes on 2026-09-29 in the EuroLeague.
The 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26 is Obradoiro's only ACB game in this record; they spent 2025-26 in Primera FEB. Their 14 completed games in that division averaged 92.7 points each, against second-division opposition. It gives the home side a winning start, but one top-flight game is a thin base for judging the step up.
- Obradoiro CAB won 90-85 at MoraBanc Andorra in ACB on 2026-09-26, their only ACB game this season.
- Their 2025-26 Primera FEB record covers 14 completed games averaging 92.7 points.
Sarr Olivier played in two of Real Madrid's four games with player details this season, last on 2026-09-27, and was not listed on 2026-10-01. Missing from a game is an observation, not a confirmed absence for this fixture. Real Madrid's minutes this season run through Maledon Theo (23.1 a game over four games) and Tavares Edy (22.6 over four).
- Sarr Olivier has two appearances in Real Madrid's four games with player details this season, last playing on 2026-09-27.
- The latest game with player details is 2026-10-01, and Sarr Olivier does not appear in it.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

Probabilități BetBugs

Cât de probabil considera BetBugs fiecare rezultat.

Rezultat3 din 6 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid win in about 77 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · Match WinnercâștigatReal MadridȘansă estimată77.1%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minpierdutReal MadridȘansă estimată75.3%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultcâștigatReal MadridȘansă estimată68.7%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultcâștigatReal MadridȘansă estimată63.2%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultpierdutReal MadridȘansă estimată59.7%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultpierdutReal MadridȘansă estimată58.2%

Puncte3 din 8 corecte

Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 45.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointspierdutUnder 45.5Șansă estimată64.3%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Obradoiro CAB score fewer than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · Team PointspierdutObradoiro CAB under 84.5Șansă estimată59.2%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. The game has fewer than 177.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · Total PointspierdutUnder 177.5Șansă estimată59.1%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Obradoiro CAB score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointspierdutObradoiro CAB under 21.5Șansă estimată58.5%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointscâștigatReal Madrid under 23.5Șansă estimată58.4%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid score fewer than 93.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · Team PointspierdutReal Madrid under 93.5Șansă estimată56.7%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. Real Madrid score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointscâștigatReal Madrid over 22.5Șansă estimată55.4%
Calitate semnal Scăzută · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Obradoiro CAB 81.8, Real Madrid 91.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Obradoiro scored 90 points in their only ACB game this season, a 90-85 win at MoraBanc Andorra on 2026-09-26.
- Real Madrid scored 89 points in their only ACB game this season, an 89-87 home win over Unicaja on 2026-09-27.
- Real Madrid has lost three EuroLeague games from 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-01, allowing 94, 102, and 78 points.
- In five home games against Real Madrid from 2018 to 2023, Obradoiro averaged 76.8 points while Real Madrid averaged 86.2.
- Obradoiro's 2025-26 Primera FEB games (14 games) averaged 92.7 points per game, but against second-division competition.
- Rest: Obradoiro has 7.7 days since last game; Real Madrid has 2.8 days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointscâștigatOver 42.5Șansă estimată55.2%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 3, 21:19

Linia selectată

177.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

41%

Șansa de 178+ puncte

11 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.91 cere 52% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 41%.

Mută linia principală 177.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 41%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 59%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

Î79–69

Real Madridv

Obradoiro CAB

Apr 28, 2024·ACB

Î74–85

Obradoiro CABv

Real Madrid

Dec 16, 2023·ACB

Î78–84

Obradoiro CABv

Real Madrid

Mar 5, 2023·ACB

Î93–79

Real Madridv

Obradoiro CAB

Oct 2, 2022·ACB

Î88–89

Obradoiro CABv

Real Madrid

May 8, 2022·ACB

Î78–68

Real Madridv

Obradoiro CAB

Sep 26, 2021·ACB

Î71–87

Obradoiro CABv

Real Madrid

Mar 23, 2021·ACB

Î84–77

Real Madridv

Obradoiro CAB

Oct 20, 2020·ACB

Î94–70

Real Madridv

Obradoiro CAB

Apr 14, 2019·ACB

Î73–86

Obradoiro CABv

Real Madrid

Oct 21, 2018·ACB

160.6Medie puncte totale

11.2Diferență medie

10întâlniri

Clasament

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

Obradoiro CAB

1–0100%

Real Madrid

1–0100%

Formă recentă

Obradoiro CAB

14V 1Î · ultimele 15

la MoraBanc Andorra90–85 Sep 26ACB

vs Gipuzkoa85–68 May 8PRI

la Estela95–65 May 2PRI

vs Estudiantes89–79 Apr 26PRI

la Tizona Burgos96–99 PRApr 21PRI

vs Ourense94–57 Apr 17PRI

la Leyma Coruna92–84 Apr 11PRI

vs Palencia81–53 Apr 5PRI

la Fibwi Palma87–63 Mar 29PRI

vs Palmer Basket89–80 Mar 21PRI

la Alicante103–80 Mar 15PRI

vs Cartagena101–49 Mar 10PRI

la Fuenlabrada97–77 Mar 7PRI

la Melilla92–70 Feb 15PRI

vs Hestia Menorca100–86 PRFeb 10PRI

Real Madrid

4V 11Î · ultimele 15

la Hapoel Tel Aviv98–102 Oct 1EUR

la Anadolu Efes84–94 Sep 29EUR

vs Unicaja89–87 Sep 27ACB

la Dubai77–78 Sep 24EUR

vs Tenerife95–107 Jun 6ACB

la Tenerife118–83 Jun 4ACB

vs Tenerife97–98 Jun 2ACB

la Manresa87–94 May 29ACB

vs Baskonia83–88 May 27ACB

la Olympiacos85–92 May 24EUR

la Valencia105–90 May 22EUR

vs Joventut Badalona81–89 May 17ACB

la Bilbao82–88 May 14ACB

vs Breogan97–101 May 10ACB

la Hapoel Tel Aviv87–81 May 7EUR

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Obradoiro CAB

13 meciuri

Statistici

4–1

Real Madrid

Obradoiro CAB conduce la 4 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 2–1

% aruncări de 2+0.1pp

59.4%

+0.1pp

59.3%

% aruncări de 3+5.9pp

38.5%

+5.9pp

32.6%

% aruncări libere13/11 meciuri+5.4pp

73.1%

+5.4pp

78.5%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 313/12 meciuridiferență de 7.2 pp

34.1%

diferență de 7.2 pp

26.9%

Aruncări libere per aruncare13/11 meciuridiferență de 2.2 pp

35.8%

diferență de 2.2 pp

33.6%

Posesie· 2–0

Recuperări pe meci+0.6

34.2

+0.6

33.6

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 11.3 mai puține

1.0

cu 11.3 mai puține

12.3

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.