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Predicții evaluate

Baskonia118Basquet Girona78

dum. 4 oct. 2026, 17:00 Predicții evaluate

Predicții7–558%

Puncte pe perioadă: Baskonia și Basquet Girona.
Echipă	S1	S2	S3	S4
Baskonia	20	34	32	32
Basquet Girona	26	16	19	17

Pe scurt

Perspectiva dinaintea meciului

Baskonia's inside efficiency against Girona's three-point shooting is the tension in Vitoria.

A 40-minute expectation of about 93.5-82.5 makes Baskonia clear favourites to win, and under 182.5 combined points at 1.92 is the one price worth backing. Girona to score over 85.5 points at 1.82 is not.

Context

Girona's disrupted journey — reported as a road trip via Zaragoza after their flight did not leave — and Baskonia's 1.9-day turnaround after a 2 October EuroLeague game are the conditions that could shape this fixture. Neither is confirmed to change preparation, the scheduled start, or how either team plays.

Girona's 2024 road win in this arena shows the trip has not always ended badly for them.
Baskonia have taken both 2025-2026 meetings, 94-81 at home on 22 March 2026 and 96-85 in Girona on 11 January 2026. Girona's two wins in the eight most recent meetings came by 96-92 in Vitoria and 96-67 at home in January 2025. The history keeps a Girona upset possible without making it likely.
- 5 May 2024: Baskonia 92-96 Basquet Girona in ACB, a Girona road win.
- The head-to-head record covers eight completed meetings, from 2022-2023 through 2025-2026.
Both teams shoot a similar percentage from beyond the arc over their 15-game windows: Girona 34.8% (169 of 486) and Baskonia 34.2% (147 of 430). The difference is volume, and Baskonia's edge comes inside, where they made 58.3% of two-pointers (316 of 542) against Girona's 50.2% (267 of 532). A hot Girona night from three is the clearest route to a close game.
- Away overall, 15 completed games to 27 September 2026: three-point share of scored points 507 of 1,256 (40.4%).
- Same 15 games: three-point shooting 169 of 486 (34.8%); two-point shooting 267 of 532 (50.2%).
Duarte (10.2 points in 21.3 minutes) and Stewart (10.3 points in 22.4 minutes over four games) share the load behind him. Frisch, who appeared in four of the five games, missed the latest one on 2 October, an observation rather than a confirmed absence. Baskonia's scoring spread means Girona cannot key on a single player.
- Home squad, five games this season with player statistics: Lawson A.J. 15.6 points and 23.3 minutes per game.
- Duarte Chris 10.2 points in 21.3 minutes; Stewart D.J. 10.3 points in 22.4 minutes over four games.
- Frisch Clement last played on 29 September 2026 and is listed as missing from the latest game.
Non-starters accounted for 52 of Girona's 84 points that day, well ahead of the starting five. It is the only Girona game this season with player statistics, so this is a single-game picture rather than a pattern. If the game in Vitoria stays close, that bench output is the most concrete recent evidence behind it.
- Away squad covers one game this season: the 84-77 home win over Murcia on 27 September 2026.
- Perez J.: 20 points in 22 minutes, zero starts.
- Whittaker S.: 19 points in 26 minutes, zero starts.
- Non-starters combined for 52 of Girona's 84 points in that game.

Piețele de baschet de aici includ prelungirile: câștigătoarea și totalul de puncte contează tot meciul.

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Total PointsneevaluabilBandă de incertitudine: Înclinare

Under 182.5

1.92corectă 1.57

Piață 52.1% · BetBugs 63.9%

+11.8ppavantaj

Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. The game has fewer than 182.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this. Baskonia's better inside shooting and higher free-throw rate, plus home court, point to a solid scoring advantage. Girona's reliance on three-pointers could keep the game closer if they shoot well, but Baskonia's overall efficiency should carry the day.

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Rezultat5 din 6 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia win in about 81 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · Match WinnercâștigatBaskoniaȘansă estimată80.8%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · Result after 40 mincâștigatBaskoniaȘansă estimată79.1%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultcâștigatBaskoniaȘansă estimată71.9%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultcâștigatBaskoniaȘansă estimată65.7%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultpierdutBaskoniaȘansă estimată61.8%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultcâștigatBaskoniaȘansă estimată60.1%

Puncte2 din 6 corecte

Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare puternică · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 46.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointspierdutUnder 46.5Șansă estimată65.6%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Prețul pieței 1.92
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. The game has fewer than 182.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · Total PointspierdutUnder 182.5Șansă estimată63.9%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia score fewer than 24.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointspierdutBaskonia under 24.5Șansă estimată61.8%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Basquet Girona score fewer than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · Team PointscâștigatBasquet Girona under 85.5Șansă estimată60.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Baskonia score fewer than 96.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · Team PointspierdutBaskonia under 96.5Șansă estimată59.5%
Calitate semnal Medie · Bandă de incertitudine Înclinare ușoară · Fără cotă
Explicația
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 93.5, Basquet Girona 82.5. Basquet Girona score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia has averaged 94.8 points in its 9 home games from the last 15 completed games, while Girona has allowed 91.7 points in its 7 away games in the same span.
- Baskonia's two-point shooting is 58.3% over 15 games, compared to Girona's 50.2%.
- Baskonia's free-throw rate is 35.1% over 15 games, while Girona's is 28.3%.
- Girona gets 40.4% of its points from three-pointers over 15 games, while Baskonia gets 32.9% from three.
- In the last two head-to-head ACB meetings (2025-2026), Baskonia won 94-81 at home and 96-85 away.
- Baskonia played 2026-10-02 (EuroLeague) and has 1.9 days rest, while Girona last played 2026-09-27 and has 7.0 days rest.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointscâștigatBasquet Girona under 21.5Șansă estimată57%

Total puncte

Trage sau glisează pe linie pentru a compara totalurile de puncte și șansele publicate.

Tot meciul · inclusiv prelungiri

Cote înregistrateOct 3, 21:19

Linia selectată

182.5

Totalul principal al caselor

BetBugs · Peste

36%

Șansa de 183+ puncte

16 pp sub pragul cotei

Peste la cota 1.92 cere 52% pentru rentabilitate. BetBugs estimează 36%.

Mută linia principală 182.5

Peste Cota casei

BetBugs 36%

Sub Cota casei

BetBugs 64%

Atinge o cotă pentru comparație. Marcajul alb = pragul cotei; pp = puncte procentuale. Totalurile cu jumătate de punct nu pot fi egale.

V94–81

Baskoniav

Basquet Girona

Mar 22, 2026·ACB

V85–96

Basquet Gironav

Baskonia

Jan 11, 2026·ACB

V92–76

Baskoniav

Basquet Girona

Apr 6, 2025·ACB

Î96–67

Basquet Gironav

Baskonia

Jan 12, 2025·ACB

Î92–96

Baskoniav

Basquet Girona

May 5, 2024·ACB

V85–93

Basquet Gironav

Baskonia

Dec 30, 2023·ACB

V70–75

Basquet Gironav

Baskonia

May 24, 2023·ACB

V95–68

Baskoniav

Basquet Girona

Nov 27, 2022·ACB

170.1Medie puncte totale

14.1Diferență medie

8întâlniri

Clasament

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#EchipăV–Î% victorii

Baskonia

1–0100%

Basquet Girona

1–0100%

Formă recentă

Baskonia

9V 6Î · ultimele 15

vs Olimpia Milano87–76 Oct 2EUR

la Valencia88–111 Sep 29EUR

la San Pablo Burgos98–97 Sep 27ACB

vs Olympiacos89–106 Sep 24EUR

la Joventut Badalona84–96 Sep 19SUP

vs Joventut Badalona88–96 Jun 7ACB

la Joventut Badalona63–82 Jun 5ACB

vs Joventut Badalona85–71 Jun 3ACB

vs Unicaja92–89 May 29ACB

la Real Madrid88–83 May 27ACB

vs Granada121–85 May 17ACB

vs Murcia87–80 May 14ACB

la Valencia88–86 May 10ACB

vs Breogan112–84 May 3ACB

vs Barcelona92–95 Apr 26ACB

Basquet Girona

5V 10Î · ultimele 15

vs Murcia84–77 Sep 27ACB

vs Joventut Badalona82–77 May 29ACB

la Bilbao80–86 May 24ACB

la Breogan76–95 May 16ACB

vs Manresa74–79 May 12ACB

la Murcia75–86 May 9ACB

vs Basket Zaragoza90–81 May 2ACB

la Gran Canaria90–100 Apr 25ACB

vs Valencia81–84 Apr 19ACB

la Tenerife94–97 Apr 11ACB

la Granada91–84 Apr 4ACB

vs Real Madrid93–95 Mar 28ACB

la Baskonia81–94 Mar 22ACB

vs MoraBanc Andorra82–75 Mar 15ACB

vs Unicaja83–90 Mar 8ACB

Duelul statisticilor

Ultimele 15 meciuri · toate competițiile

Baskonia

Statistici

3–2

Basquet Girona

Baskonia conduce la 3 din 5 statistici de performanță.

Aruncări· 2–1

% aruncări de 2+8.1pp

58.3%

+8.1pp

50.2%

% aruncări de 3+0.6pp

34.2%

+0.6pp

34.8%

% aruncări libere+3.9pp

78.6%

+3.9pp

74.7%

Surse de puncte· stil, fără clasament

Puncte din aruncări de 3diferență de 7.5 pp

32.9%

diferență de 7.5 pp

40.4%

Aruncări libere per aruncarediferență de 6.8 pp

35.1%

diferență de 6.8 pp

28.3%

Posesie· 1–1

Recuperări pe meci+3.0

32.7

+3.0

35.7

Mingi pierdute pe mecicu 2.0 mai puține

11.9

cu 2.0 mai puține

13.9

Barele arată valorile. Sursele de puncte descriu stilul; mai puține mingi pierdute înseamnă mai bine. Marcajele arată datele lipsă.