GreeceHeraklionFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Summer YardleyUnited Kingdom0Angelica Raggi #650Italy2

Sets 1-6 · 0-6Sun 1 Nov 2026, 07:00 Predictions gradedQ1Clay

Predictions6–186%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Summer Yardley

United Kingdom

Limited reliable public profile information found. Structured data lists Carpet as her preferred surface.

Current ranking: —
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Carpet
Hand: —
Height: —

Angelica Raggi

Italy

Limited reliable public profile information found. Structured data lists Hard as her preferred surface.

Current ranking: #650
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: —
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Nov 2026, 08:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Raggi should win: she is ranked 650, has won eight of twelve clay matches in this window and has taken nine of twelve opening sets on the surface.

But 1.03 for her asks far more than that record supports. Yardley at 17 is the price that offers something, an 18% chance against 5.9% implied.

Context

Raggi's clay sets have started strongly, and the first set has rarely stretched.
A 9-3 first-set record over twelve clay matches is a sizeable edge in the opening set, and none of those first sets reached a tiebreak, with an 8.5-game average. The second sets were closer: 8-4 with three tiebreaks and a 10.2-game average, so her cushion late in matches is smaller than at the start.
- Twelve clay matches, 4 September to 16 October 2026: set1 wins 9, losses 3, games won average 5.1, lost 3.4, no tiebreaks.
- Same sample: set2 wins 8, losses 4, games won average 5.5, lost 4.7, three tiebreaks, total games average 21.2.
Raggi comes into Heraklion off a one-sided defeat on a surface different from this clay event.
The scoreline is the most recent data point in the record, so it sets her arrival form, but it came on hard court and says nothing direct about clay. It also means the twelve-match clay sample, not this result, carries the weight of the read on her.
- Raggi lost 1-6, 3-6 to Federica Urgesi (ranked 270) on hard court on 30 October 2026, winning 4 games and losing 12.
- That is her latest of six recent matches listed, dated 14-30 October 2026.
Yardley's clay results have been short and lopsided rather than attritional.
She won two first sets and lost two second sets in the same three matches, averaging 3.7 games won and 5.0 lost in the opener, and 3.0 against 5.3 in the second. The straight-set splits — 0-2 twice, 2-0 once — mean the games ladder moves quickly in her matches. The sample is only three matches, so it describes a fortnight rather than a settled surface profile.
- Three clay matches, 6-13 October 2026: record 1-2, total games average 17.0, total sets average 2.0, no tiebreaks.
- Set1 wins 1, losses 2, games won average 3.7 and lost 5.0; set2 wins 1, losses 2, games won average 3.0 and lost 5.3.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raggi has won most of her recent clay matches and holds a clear advantage on serve and return points, while Yardley has lost two of three clay matches by wide margins.
- Raggi 8-4 on clay in the last 15 window with 51.4% of clay points won
- Raggi 66.7% sets and 55.5% games won on clay
- Yardley 1-2 on clay, 38.9% of clay points won and 39.2% of clay games
- Raggi ranked 650; Yardley unranked in the supplied data
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAngelica RaggiEstimated chance82%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
First sets in these two players' clay matches have averaged under ten games, with few extended sets.
- Raggi first-set total games average 8.5 on clay
- Yardley first-set total games average 8.7 on clay
- No tiebreaks in either player's clay first sets
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
A short two-set win with a couple of breaks per set would land under this line, which matches the pattern of Raggi's straight-set clay wins.
- Raggi clay average 21.2 total games per match across 2.25 sets
- Yardley clay average 17.0 total games
- Raggi's 2-0 clay wins came in routine scorelines
BetBugs · Total GameswonUnder 19.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Raggi's second sets have been the tighter part of her clay matches, with three tiebreaks in twelve.
- Raggi second-set total games average 10.2 on clay
- Three of Raggi's clay second sets went to a tiebreak
- Yardley second-set total games average 8.3 on clay
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance51%

Sets2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raggi has started strongly on clay throughout this window, winning three quarters of her opening sets.
- Raggi 9-3 in first sets on clay
- Raggi first-set games average 5.1 for and 3.4 against
- Yardley 1-2 in first sets on clay
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonAngelica RaggiEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raggi has been more consistent in second sets, while Yardley has dropped every clay second set this window.
- Raggi 8-4 in second sets on clay
- Raggi second-set games average 5.5 for and 4.7 against
- Yardley lost the second set in all three clay matches
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerwonAngelica RaggiEstimated chance72%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Most sets in these two players' recent clay matches have been settled by a break rather than a tiebreak.
- Raggi had tiebreaks in 3 of 12 clay matches
- Yardley had none in 3 clay matches
- Both players' clay sets average under 11 games
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player serves at a volume that suggests many free points, and Raggi's clay ace rate is modest.
- Raggi 2.0 aces per clay match over 11 matches
- Yardley 1.0 ace per clay match over 2 matches
- Raggi 5.5 double faults per clay match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined clay rate sits close to but below the line, helped by Raggi's relatively tidy serving.
- Raggi 5.5 double faults per clay match
- Yardley 7.0 double faults per clay match over 2 matches
- Yardley 7.8 double faults per match overall
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 13.5Estimated chance56%

Summer Yardley

5W 10L

6-1 6-4#829Romane Longueville

6-3 7-6(5)—Lara Savic

6-1 6-2—Stella Jurina

6-3 6-4—Natalia Fehr

6-4 6-1—Noemi La Cagnina

2-6 6-2 10-3—Megan Mae Root

6-0 6-4—Matylda Burylo

6-2 7-5#595Clara Vlasselaer

7-6(4) 6-3—Swasthika Arunkumar

6-1 6-1#556Sayaka Ishii

6-3 6-2#396Weronika Ewald

7-6(4) 7-6(5)#877Coco Bosman

5-7 6-4 6-1—Yelizaveta Trush

3-6 6-3 6-3—Georgiana Mititelu

5-7 6-4 10-3—Georgina Hays

Angelica Raggi

10W 5L

6-1 6-3#270Federica Urgesi

6-2 6-1—Maryia Magro

6-3 6-3#490Lucie Petruzelova

3-6 7-5 6-3#495Valentini Grammatikopoulou

1-6 6-2 6-3#352Alessandra Mazzola

6-3 7-6(9)—Unknown Player

6-1 6-3#520Nina Radovanovic

6-3 7-6(3)—Isabel Skoog

6-1 6-2—Caterina Odorizzi

6-0 6-3#528Sofia Shapatava

6-4 7-6(4)#500Marta Lombardini

6-4 6-3#845Linda Sevcikova

6-1 6-4—Sofia Ferraris

5-7 6-2 7-5#869Daria Lopatetska

6-3 6-4—Alexia-Shara Iancu

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SYSummer YardleyYardley

Last 15

1–7

9 core stats · 1 even

Angelica RaggiRaggiAR

Angelica Raggi carries the stronger recent form — Summer Yardley's route runs through serve.

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

1st Serve In14/15 · 14/1558.3%+3.0pp61.3%

1st Serve Won14/15 · 14/1559.3%+1.3pp58.0%

2nd Serve Won14/15 · 14/1538.5%+5.2pp43.7%

Aces / Match14/15 · 14/152.1—2.0

Double Faults / Match14/15 · 14/157.82.6 fewer5.2

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won14/15 · 14/1540.3%+10.4pp50.7%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted14/15 · 14/1553.6%+1.6pp55.2%

Break Pts Saved14/15 · 14/1550.7%+3.7pp54.4%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won14/15 · 14/1545.7%+5.9pp51.6%

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

58.3%1st Serve In14/15 · 14/15+3.0pp61.3%

59.3%1st Serve Won14/15 · 14/15+1.3pp58.0%

38.5%2nd Serve Won14/15 · 14/15+5.2pp43.7%

2.1Aces / Match14/15 · 14/15—2.0

7.8Double Faults / Match14/15 · 14/152.6 fewer5.2

Return · 0–1

40.3%Return Pts Won14/15 · 14/15+10.4pp50.7%

Pressure · 0–2

53.6%Break Pts Converted14/15 · 14/15+1.6pp55.2%

50.7%Break Pts Saved14/15 · 14/15+3.7pp54.4%

Points · 0–1

45.7%Total Pts Won14/15 · 14/15+5.9pp51.6%