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Dominick Mosejczuk #881United StatesKenta Miyoshi #422Japan

Sun 1 Nov 2026, 22:301 Nov, 22:30Q1I.hard

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges64%Strongest

LeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageKenta Miyoshi · 459 places

Dominick Mosejczuk

United States

Hard-court player ranked No. 881 in the supplied match data. Reliable public biographical details were not available in this research run.

Current ranking: #881
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: —
Height: —

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

Reliable public profile details beyond the supplied ranking and playing style were limited in the requested search. No current injury or availability report surfaced for 17 July–16 August 2026.

Current ranking: #422
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 1 Nov 2026, 15:57 · Europe/Bucharest

The ranking (Miyoshi 422, Mosejczuk 881) and the recent hard-court record (Mosejczuk 11-4 in his last 15, Miyoshi 7-8) point in opposite directions.

Mosejczuk, with 24 of 33 sets won, is the marginal pick, most likely in two sets. The review produced no priced selection, so there is no price here worth backing.

Context

No sourced news, injury or head-to-head material was available; the assessment rests entirely on recent hard-court records of 14 and 15 completed matches.

Mosejczuk's hard-court wins have tended to arrive without needing a third set.
Across 14 completed best-of-three hard-court matches, Mosejczuk won 24 of 33 sets and finished 2-0 nine times. His first sets were the more lopsided: 11 wins against 3 losses, averaging 5.4 games won to 3.4 lost, with only one tiebreak. Kenta Miyoshi has gone the distance in six of his 15 hard-court matches, so a two-set finish is the pattern rather than a guarantee.
- 17 Jul–27 Oct 2026: 14 completed best-of-three hard-court matches, 9 finished 2-0 and 2 finished 2-1.
- Set record across those matches: 24 of 33 sets won (72.7%).
- First sets: 11 wins, 3 losses, averaging 5.4 games won against 3.4 lost, with 1 tiebreak.
Miyoshi's hard-court matches have regularly needed a third set to settle.
Four of those 15 matches ended in 1-2 defeats and two more in 2-1 wins, so nearly half went the distance. His second sets have been the longer ones, averaging 11.0 games against 9.5 in the opener, with four tiebreaks in second sets alone. That argues for a longer match, though the sample is 15 matches and Mosejczuk has finished nine of his 14 in straight sets.
- 16 Aug–25 Oct 2026: 15 completed hard-court matches, scorelines of four 1-2 defeats, two 2-1 wins, five 2-0 wins and four 0-2 defeats.
- Average 24.5 total games per match; second sets average 11.0 games, first sets 9.5 games.
- Five of the 15 matches contained a tiebreak, four of them in the second set.
Miyoshi generates free points on serve but not always on his first delivery.
He put 632 of 1130 first serves in play and won 70.9% of those points, adding 50.8% on the second serve for 50.9% of all points across 15 matches from 16 August to 25 October. The ace count is high relative to that first-serve rate, so a lot of cheap points arrive alongside plenty of second serves. The records do not settle how that hold pattern fares against this specific returner.
- 16 Aug–25 Oct 2026: 95 aces in 15 hard-court matches (6.3 per match).
- First serves in: 632 of 1130 (55.9%).
- First-serve points won: 448 of 632 (70.9%); total points won 1190 of 2340 (50.9%).

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result1 outcome · top 58%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Mosejczuk has the stronger recent hard-court results and better point-level numbers, while Miyoshi arrives on a poor run despite the better ranking.
- Mosejczuk 11-4 in last 15 hard matches; Miyoshi 7-8.
- Mosejczuk total points won 52.9% vs Miyoshi 50.9%.
- Miyoshi holds higher ranking (422 vs 881) but has lost 4 of his last 5.
- Mosejczuk 24 of 33 sets won on the surface.
BetBugs · Match WinnerDominick MosejczukEstimated chance58%

Games3 outcomes · top 64%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Mosejczuk's routine first-set wins have generally finished at 6-4 or 6-3, keeping the opener short.
- Mosejczuk set-1 average 8.8 total games.
- Mosejczuk averages 5.4 games to 3.4 in first sets.
- Only one tiebreak in his 14 first sets.
- Miyoshi set-1 average 9.5 games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GamesUnder 9.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been longer for both players, with multiple tiebreaks and closer scorelines.
- Mosejczuk set-2 average 10.5 total games.
- Miyoshi set-2 average 11.0 total games.
- Two tiebreaks in Mosejczuk's second sets; four in Miyoshi's.
- Both players have positive set-2 game records.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GamesOver 9.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Miyoshi's matches routinely run long and both players have tiebreak-heavy records, which supports a total above the line.
- Miyoshi average match 24.5 games; Mosejczuk 21.1.
- Miyoshi's set-2 average is 11.0 games.
- Mosejczuk has played 3 tiebreak matches in 14; Miyoshi 5 in 15.
- Mosejczuk average match duration 126 minutes.
BetBugs · Total GamesOver 22.5Estimated chance56%

Sets3 outcomes · top 57%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Mosejczuk starts matches strongly and Miyoshi has been slow out of the blocks recently.
- Mosejczuk set-1 record 11-3 on hard, averaging 5.4 games won to 3.4.
- Miyoshi set-1 record 7-8, averaging 4.6 games won to 4.9.
- Mosejczuk 11-4 overall on hard in last 15.
- Miyoshi has lost four of his last five matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerDominick MosejczukEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Mosejczuk's second-set numbers remain strong, and his straight-set wins often come from pulling away in the second.
- Mosejczuk set-2 record 10-4 on hard.
- Mosejczuk averages 5.9 set-2 games won vs 4.6 lost.
- Miyoshi set-2 record 9-6.
- Miyoshi has four 0-2 defeats in 15.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerDominick MosejczukEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Miyoshi's tendency toward deciding sets makes a third set plausible, though Mosejczuk often finishes in two.
- Miyoshi total sets average 2.4; Mosejczuk 2.2.
- Miyoshi 6 of 15 hard matches went to three sets.
- Mosejczuk only 3 of 14 went the distance.
- Both players have sub-70% break-point-save-type hold resilience.
BetBugs · Total SetsOver 2.5Estimated chance51%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 60%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combined ace average sits just below the line, so the under is marginally favoured.
- Mosejczuk 4.8 aces per match over 13.
- Miyoshi 6.3 aces per match over 15.
- Combined recent average about 11.1 per match.
- Mosejczuk first-serve percentage 61.2%.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 11.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined recent double-fault average is right at the line, favouring the under by a narrow margin.
- Mosejczuk 2.0 double faults per match.
- Miyoshi 2.5 double faults per match.
- Combined recent average about 4.5.
- Mosejczuk average match 126 minutes.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsUnder 4.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Despite decent serving, most of Mosejczuk's matches have avoided tiebreaks, keeping 'no' the lean.
- Mosejczuk has tiebreaks in only 3 of 14 charted matches.
- Nine of his 14 charted matches were 2-0.
- Miyoshi has tiebreaks in 5 of 15.
- Both players convert and save break points at modest rates.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchNoEstimated chance53%

Dominick Mosejczuk

11W 4L

3-6 7-6(0) 10-8—Charlie Swaine

6-2 7-5—Kabeer Kapasi

6-3 7-5#272Alastair Gray

6-2 6-2—Iker Urribarrens Ramirez

6-1 6-3#897Zsombor Velcz

6-4 6-4#806Johan Alexander Rodriguez

6-4 6-4—Shu Matsuoka

6-1 6-4—Oren Vasser

6-3 6-3#538Theo Papamalamis

2-6 7-6(6) 6-4—Jonah Braswell

6-4 7-5#876Alvin Nicholas Tudorica

6-2 6-2—Vlado Jankanj

6-1 3-6 6-1#886Iiro Vasa

6-3 7-6(4)#406Edward Winter

6-7(6) 7-5 6-2#563Toufik Sahtali

Kenta Miyoshi

7W 8L

7-5 7-5#531Gavin Young

6-0 6-7(3) 7-6(5)#774Patrick Maloney

6-4 7-6(0)#282Murphy Cassone

4-6 7-6(3) 7-5#396Sander Jong

6-3 6-3#694Keshav Chopra

6-3 7-5#108Lloyd Harris

6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-3#338Philip Sekulic

6-4 6-4#456Moerani Bouzige

7-6(2) 6-3#643Filip Peliwo

4-6 6-4 7-5#176Moise Kouame

6-2 4-6 6-2#249Pierre-Hugues Herbert

6-2 6-4#134Clement Chidekh

6-2 7-5#172Joel Schwaerzler

4-6 7-5 6-1#690Roger Pascual Ferra

6-0 6-1#676Arklon Huertas Del Pino

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

DMDominick MosejczukMosejczuk

Last 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Kenta MiyoshiMiyoshiKM

Dominick Mosejczuk carries the stronger recent form — Kenta Miyoshi's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In13/15 · 15/1561.2%+5.3pp55.9%

1st Serve Won13/15 · 15/1568.8%+2.1pp70.9%

2nd Serve Won13/15 · 15/1550.1%—50.8%

Aces / Match13/15 · 15/154.8+1.56.3

Double Faults / Match13/15 · 15/152.00.5 fewer2.5

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won13/15 · 15/1544.6%+4.2pp40.4%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted13/15 · 15/1542.1%+0.8pp42.9%

Break Pts Saved13/15 · 15/1566.7%+9.8pp56.9%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won13/15 · 15/1552.9%+2.0pp50.9%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

61.2%1st Serve In13/15 · 15/15+5.3pp55.9%

68.8%1st Serve Won13/15 · 15/15+2.1pp70.9%

50.1%2nd Serve Won13/15 · 15/15—50.8%

4.8Aces / Match13/15 · 15/15+1.56.3

2.0Double Faults / Match13/15 · 15/150.5 fewer2.5

Return · 1–0

44.6%Return Pts Won13/15 · 15/15+4.2pp40.4%

Pressure · 1–1

42.1%Break Pts Converted13/15 · 15/15+0.8pp42.9%

66.7%Break Pts Saved13/15 · 15/15+9.8pp56.9%

Points · 1–0

52.9%Total Pts Won13/15 · 15/15+2.0pp50.9%