Julia Riera #140ArgentinavsJulia Grabher #122Austria

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.05

The read

Riera has been the stronger clay player by games and points, and her straight-set rate gives her the clearer path.

• Riera is 7-0 on clay with 63.1% games won and 55.4% total points won.
• Grabher is 10-1 on clay but has won 54.2% of games and 51.1% of points.
• Riera's clay set record is 14-2 (87.5%) against Grabher's 20-8 (71.4%).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Riera's second sets have usually been decided by a break or more, keeping the game count lower.

• Riera's clay second sets average only 8.43 total games.
• Riera has won all seven clay second sets without a tiebreak.
• Grabher has had one second-set tiebreak in 11 clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Grabher's matches have regularly gone long, and a competitive semi-final is likely to add a third set.

• Grabher's clay matches average 26 games; Riera's average 20.1.
• Both players went to three sets in the previous round, each totaling 29 games.
• Grabher has six three-set wins in 11 clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10

The read

Riera's game dominance is stronger, though her last match was narrowly negative on games.

• Riera has won 63.1% of clay games (89/141), a +37 game margin over seven matches.
• In her three Curitiba matches, Riera's game margins were -1, +6 and +2.
• Grabher has won 54.2% of clay games (155/286), a +24 margin over 11 matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Grabher's opening sets tend to extend, so a close first set passes the line.

• Riera's clay first sets average 9.0 total games; Grabher's average 10.55.
• Grabher's first sets have gone over 9.5 in four of her last six clay matches.
• Grabher has had three first-set tiebreaks in 11 clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Grabher has repeatedly started slowly on clay, while Riera has the better first-set record in the sample.

• Riera has won 5 of 7 clay first sets; Grabher has won 4 of 11.
• Riera's clay first-set games average 4.86-4.14; Grabher's 4.64-5.91.
• Grabher has lost the first set in four of her last six clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Riera has been very strong in second sets and has rebounded immediately after losing an opening set.

• Riera has won all 7 of her clay second sets; Grabher has won 10 of 11.
• Riera's clay second-set games average 6-2.43; Grabher's 6.09-3.82.
• Riera won the second set in both of her three-set wins in Curitiba.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30

The read

Grabher's clay matches frequently go the distance, and the head-to-head also needed three sets.

• Grabher's clay matches average 2.55 sets, with six 2-1 wins in 11.
• Both players won three-set matches in the previous round.
• Their only previous meeting went to a third-set tiebreak.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Riera's short second sets and clean tiebreak record make a breaker less likely.

• Riera has had no tiebreak in seven clay matches.
• Grabher has had four tiebreaks in 11 clay matches.
• Riera's clay second sets average only 8.43 total games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The combined ace rate is well below the line.

• Riera averages 1.4 aces per clay match; Grabher 0.7.
• Combined clay ace average is about 2.1 per match.
• Grabher has only eight aces in 11 clay matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined average sits below the line, even with Grabher's higher count.

• Riera averages 2.6 double faults per clay match; Grabher 5.5.
• Combined clay average is about 8.1 per match.
• Riera has 18 double faults in seven clay matches.