ItalyWTA CourmayeurUpcomingFeatured

Anna Blinkova #73FranceNoma Akugue Noha #126Germany

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 13:3031 Oct, 13:30Semi-FinalI.hard

11Probabilities2Priced5Edges81%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAnna Blinkova · 53 places

Anna Blinkova

France

Reached a career-high ranking of No. 34. No reliable current physical-availability or preferred-surface detail was found in the requested searches.

Current ranking: #73
Peak ranking: #34
Current age: 27
Preferred surface: I.hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 179 cm

Noma Akugue Noha

Germany

Twenty-two-year-old left-hander from Reinbek, Germany. Her Roland-Garros profile lists a best singles ranking of No. 137; the supplied current ranking is No. 142.

Current ranking: #126
Peak ranking: #137
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: Carpet
Hand: Left handed
Height: 170 cm

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:24 · Europe/Bucharest

Top seed against sixth seed for a place in the Courmayeur final, and the match turns on whether Blinkova's return pressure outweighs Noha Akugue's serve.

Blinkova is the likelier winner, but 1.45 asks more than her record supports. The clearest quoted price is 1.5 about under 2.5 sets; Noha at 2.75, 4.75 to win 2-0 and 2.4 for the first set carry smaller edges.

Context

Indoor hard-court semifinal at a modest tournament with no fresh reporting on either player, so the read rests on 12 to 15 same-surface matches for each.

Blinkova arrives in Courmayeur with match rhythm and only one dropped set in three outings.
Across 27 to 30 October she dropped one set in three matches and never conceded more than four games in a set she won. That is a settled week of serving and returning on a quick indoor court, although the opponents were ranked 147, 229 and 152, so the level rises against a seeded rival. She has also played on three of the past four days, which is a workload note rather than evidence of fatigue.
- 30 Oct 2026: beat Martyna Kubka (No. 147) 6-3 6-2.
- 29 Oct 2026: beat Katarina Zavatska (No. 229) 6-3 4-6 6-3.
- 27 Oct 2026: beat Dalma Galfi (No. 152) 6-3 6-2.
Noha Akugue reaches the semifinal on a run of straight-set wins and untested three-set stamina.
Every one of her eight wins in the 12-match indoor-hard sample from 14 September to 30 October finished 2-0, so there is no recent example of her closing out a three-set match. The sequence points to tidy serving and quick holds, while it leaves little evidence of how she copes if a set slips away. Her three Courmayeur opponents were ranked 858, 254 and 159, a softer run than this semifinal.
- 27–30 Oct 2026: straight-set wins over Danka Kovinic 7-6 6-1, Linda Klimovicova 6-4 6-3 and Ayla Aksu 6-4 6-1.
- All eight wins in her 12-match indoor-hard sample (14 Sep–30 Oct 2026) finished 2-0.
Noha Akugue's serve gives her a genuine foothold against a stronger returner.
The serve is the part of her game that has travelled: 64.9% of first-serve points won sits just above Blinkova's 63.3% across 15 matches, with a far heavier ace count. It comes with 3.8 double faults per match, so the cheap points carry risk. Facing a returner who has won 49.6% of return points, holding serve consistently is her route to staying in front.
- 12 indoor-hard matches, 14 Sep–30 Oct 2026: 3.3 aces per match (39 in 12).
- 64.9% first-serve points won (309 of 476) and 68.3% break points saved (71 of 104) in the same sample.
- 3.8 double faults per match (46 in 12).
Blinkova's recent completed matches have mostly been short, though against modest opposition.
Nine of those 15 matches finished 2-0, three went to a deciding set, and just two included a tiebreak. The pattern describes a stretch that included several lower-ranked opponents, so it is a record of recent match shape rather than a forecast of length. It still frames this semifinal as one more likely to be settled in two sets than drawn out.
- 15 indoor-hard matches, 17 Sep–30 Oct 2026: 2.2 sets and 19.7 games per match.
- Scorelines in the sample: nine 2-0 wins, two 2-1 wins, three 0-2 defeats and one 1-2 defeat.
- Two matches in the sample included a tiebreak.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result1 outcome · top 61%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Blinkova's stronger return and higher game-winning rate give her the clearer route to the final, though Noha's serve keeps it competitive.
- Blinkova is 11-4 on hard in the last 15 and has won 56.8% of games, with 49.6% return points won.
- Noha Akugue is 8-4 on hard in the last 12 and has saved 68.3% of break points.
- Blinkova's set record on hard is 10-5 in first sets and 11-4 in second sets.
BetBugs · Match WinnerAnna BlinkovaEstimated chance61%

Games4 outcomes · top 62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have tended to finish around eight or nine games, favoring the below-line result.
- Blinkova's second sets average 8.7 games.
- Noha's second sets average 8.6 games.
- Only two second-set tiebreaks combined in the samples.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GamesUnder 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
A 6-3 or 6-4 first set is common, keeping the opener under the line.
- Blinkova's first sets average 9.1 games.
- Noha's first sets average 9.5 games.
- Both players have one first-set tiebreak in their hard samples.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GamesUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Noha's shorter matches and the likelihood of straight sets tilt the total just under the line.
- Blinkova's hard matches averaged 19.7 games.
- Noha's hard matches averaged 18.6 games.
- Blinkova's first sets average 9.1 games and second sets 8.7.
BetBugs · Total GamesUnder 19.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blinkova's stronger return and higher game-winning rate give her a fair chance to win by three or more games.
- Blinkova's last six hard matches include game margins of +7, +4, +7, -7, +3 and -7.
- Noha's last five hard matches include +7, +5, +6, -6 and +5.
- Blinkova has won 56.8% of hard-court games to Noha's 55.2%.
BetBugs · Game HandicapAnna Blinkova -2.5Estimated chance52%

Sets3 outcomes · top 80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
The combined set evidence leans heavily toward straight-set finishes for both players.
- Blinkova's 15 hard matches averaged 2.2 sets.
- Noha's 12 hard matches averaged 2.08 sets.
- Only four of the combined 27 hard matches went to a deciding set.
BetBugs · Total SetsUnder 2.5Market price1.50Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Blinkova's second-set record is the stronger of the two, and her return can wear on Noha.
- Blinkova has won 11 of 15 second sets on hard.
- Noha has won 8 of 12 second sets on hard.
- Blinkova's return points won are 49.6%.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerAnna BlinkovaMarket price1.50Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blinkova's stronger return gives her a slight advantage to start, but Noha's first-set record is also strong.
- Blinkova has won 10 of 15 first sets on hard.
- Noha has won 9 of 12 first sets on hard.
- Blinkova's overall hard match record is 11-4.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerAnna BlinkovaEstimated chance56%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 81%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Recent hard-court matches for both players have usually avoided tiebreaks.
- Blinkova has two tiebreaks in 15 hard matches.
- Noha has two tiebreaks in 12 hard matches.
- Combined, four of 27 matches included a tiebreak.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchNoEstimated chance81%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined double-fault average sits under the line, leaning slightly to the below-line result.
- Noha averages 3.8 double faults per hard match.
- Blinkova averages 2.3 double faults per hard match.
- Their combined average is 6.1.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsUnder 6.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Noha's serve gives the match a small lean toward more than four and a half aces.
- Noha averages 3.3 aces per hard match.
- Blinkova averages 1.7 aces per hard match.
- Their combined average is 5.0 aces.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 4.5Estimated chance52%

Prediction history

Anna Blinkova: 5/7 recent winner projections matched

5 of 7 comparable winner projections favouring Anna Blinkova matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for Anna Blinkova7 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

1 Aug·WTA Toronto

#104Anna Blinkova2-0#475Heather Watson

BetBugsAnna Blinkova to win·55%

Matched

1 Aug 2026

WTA Toronto

#104Anna Blinkova2-0#475Heather Watson

Anna Blinkova to win

55%probability

Anna Blinkova won

Matched

10 Jul·WTA Contrexeville

#114Anna Blinkova0-2#364Aurora Zantedeschi

BetBugsAnna Blinkova to win·78%

Missed

10 Jul 2026

WTA Contrexeville

#114Anna Blinkova0-2#364Aurora Zantedeschi

Anna Blinkova to win

78%probability

Aurora Zantedeschi won

Missed

8 Jul·WTA Contrexeville

#114Anna Blinkova2-0#232Maria Lourdes Carle

BetBugsAnna Blinkova to win·58%

Matched

8 Jul 2026

WTA Contrexeville

#114Anna Blinkova2-0#232Maria Lourdes Carle

Anna Blinkova to win

58%probability

Anna Blinkova won

Matched

20 Jun·WTA Bad Homburg

#106Anna Blinkova2-0#191Julia Avdeeva

BetBugsAnna Blinkova to win·62%

Matched

20 Jun 2026

WTA Bad Homburg

#106Anna Blinkova2-0#191Julia Avdeeva

Anna Blinkova to win

62%probability

Anna Blinkova won

Matched

15 Jun·WTA Nottingham

#105Anna Blinkova1-2#126Taylah Preston

BetBugsAnna Blinkova to win·62%

Missed

15 Jun 2026

WTA Nottingham

#105Anna Blinkova1-2#126Taylah Preston

Anna Blinkova to win

62%probability

Taylah Preston won

Missed

Anna Blinkova

11W 4L

6-3 6-2#147Martyna Kubka

6-3 4-6 6-3#229Katarina Zavatska

6-3 6-2#152Dalma Galfi

6-3 6-2#225Suzan Lamens

6-4 7-6(0)#523Andre Lukosiute

6-2 6-3#118Lucrezia Stefanini

6-3 6-4#129Bianca Vanessa Andreescu

6-2 6-3#262Caroline Werner

4-6 6-2 6-4#190Elena Pridankina

6-0 6-1#256Lois Boisson

6-2 6-0#207Viktoria Hruncakova

7-6(4) 6-2#157Emiliana Arango

6-4 2-6 6-4#86Kaitlin Quevedo

6-4 7-5#100Alina Charaeva

6-3 6-0#169Vendula Valdmannova

Noma Akugue Noha

9W 6L

6-4 6-1#159Ayla Aksu

6-4 6-3#254Linda Klimovicova

7-6(4) 6-1#858Danka Kovinic

6-1 7-6(9)#621Jodie Anna Burrage

6-4 6-3#197Julia Avdeeva

6-4 6-3#158Rebeka Masarova

6-2 6-3#118Lucrezia Stefanini

6-3 6-2#289Elena Micic

7-5 6-3#289Elena Micic

6-1 6-4#736Ilay Yoruk

6-3 6-1#205Fiona Crawley

4-6 6-3 6-0#282Malaika Rapolu

6-3 6-0#273Ayana Akli

6-1 6-2#99Fiona Ferro

7-6(2) 6-3#138Guiomar Zuleta De Reales

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

ABAnna BlinkovaBlinkova

Last 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Noma Akugue NohaNohaNN

Anna Blinkova carries the stronger recent form — Noma Akugue Noha's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In62.8%+5.3pp57.5%

1st Serve Won63.3%—63.2%

2nd Serve Won45.6%+5.0pp50.6%

Aces / Match1.7+1.22.9

Double Faults / Match2.31.4 fewer3.7

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won49.6%+6.1pp43.5%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted57.8%+14.1pp43.7%

Break Pts Saved57.3%+6.1pp63.4%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won53.1%+1.9pp51.2%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

62.8%1st Serve In+5.3pp57.5%

63.3%1st Serve Won—63.2%

45.6%2nd Serve Won+5.0pp50.6%

1.7Aces / Match+1.22.9

2.3Double Faults / Match1.4 fewer3.7

Return · 1–0

49.6%Return Pts Won+6.1pp43.5%

Pressure · 1–1

57.8%Break Pts Converted+14.1pp43.7%

57.3%Break Pts Saved+6.1pp63.4%

Points · 1–0

53.1%Total Pts Won+1.9pp51.2%

Anna Blinkova

Noma Akugue Noha

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Noma Akugue Noha

Noma Akugue Noha

Noma Akugue Noha 2-0

Anna Blinkova

Result1 outcome · top 61%

Games4 outcomes · top 62%

Sets3 outcomes · top 80%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 81%

Anna Blinkova

Noma Akugue Noha

Stat Battle