ItalyWTA CourmayeurFinished

Predictions graded

Susan Bandecchi #139Switzerland1Elsa Jacquemot #157France2

Sets 7-6 · 2-6 · 3-6Thu 29 Oct 2026, 14:25 Predictions gradedSecond RoundI.hard

Predictions1–910%

Edges1–517%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageSusan Bandecchi · 18 places

Susan Bandecchi

Switzerland

Reached a career-high ranking of No. 160 on July 20, 2026. ITF lists hard as her preferred surface.

Current ranking: #139
Peak ranking: #160 · 2026
Current age: 28
Preferred surface: Carpet
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Elsa Jacquemot

France

Reached a career-high No. 53 on February 2, 2026 and entered Warsaw at No. 101. She is a 176 cm right-hander and won the 2020 Roland Garros girls' singles title.

Current ranking: #157
Peak ranking: #53 · 2026
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: I.hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 176 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 28 Oct 2026, 22:14 · Europe/Bucharest

Bandecchi's hard-court set control against Jacquemot's first-strike serve is the central tension in this second-round indoor match.

Bandecchi is the likelier winner. Bandecchi to win at 2.05 is worthwhile; so are Bandecchi to take the first set at 2.00, the second set at 2.00, Bandecchi +2.5 games at 1.65 and under 2.5 sets at 1.50.

Context

Across 15 completed hard-court matches from 25 August to 27 October 2026, Bandecchi took the opening set 12 times and lost it three times. She averaged 5.47 games to 3.20 in first sets, and none reached a tiebreak. The record gives her a clear early-set platform, though the sample covers only 15 matches and is not a guarantee of another fast start.
- From 25 August to 27 October 2026, Bandecchi won 12 of 15 first sets across 15 completed hard-court matches, averaging 5.47 games to 3.20; none of those first sets reached a tiebreak.
The 15-match hard-court sample through 28 October 2026 shows Jacquemot can shorten points behind the first delivery. The second serve is far less secure: 42.3% of second-serve points won and 4.8 double faults per match. Bandecchi's return game will test whether Jacquemot can keep enough first serves in play to avoid longer second-serve exchanges.
- In the 15-match hard-court sample through 28 October 2026, Jacquemot averaged 6.4 aces, 69.2% first-serve points won, 42.3% second-serve points won and 4.8 double faults per match.
Their only recorded meeting came at the 2025 Contrexéville WTA 125, where Jacquemot won 6-2, 7-5 in 83 minutes on clay. The score shows Bandecchi extended the second set after Jacquemot's 6-2 opening set. It supplies a direct matchup reference, though it was a first-round meeting from the prior season.
- Jacquemot defeated Bandecchi 6-2, 7-5 in their match at Contrexéville, played on Center Court clay.
ConfirmedSources checked 28 Oct 2026, 22:11 · Europe/BucharestWTA Tennis score pagewww.wtatennis.com · 9 Jul 2025
Across 15 completed hard-court matches from 11 September to 28 October 2026, Jacquemot's results were sharply binary: seven 2-0 wins and six 0-2 losses. Only one 2-1 win and one 1-2 loss reached a third set. Against Bandecchi, that history points to a compact contest rather than a long three-setter, though it is a small 15-match sample.
- From 11 September to 28 October 2026, Jacquemot's 15 completed hard-court matches produced seven 2-0 wins and six 0-2 losses, with only two matches going to a third set.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.05
The read
Bandecchi has the stronger hard-court set and game record, while Jacquemot's main edge is a higher first-serve point rate and a past win on clay.
- Bandecchi is 9-6 on hard in the last 15, with 58.1% games won and 52.9% total points won.
- Jacquemot is 8-7 on hard, with 50.3% games won and 50.7% total points won.
- Bandecchi has won 23 of 35 hard-court sets; Jacquemot has won 17 of 32.
- Jacquemot won their only listed meeting 6-2 7-5 on clay in 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSusan BandecchiEstimated chance60%

Games0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Bandecchi's recent game margins are usually positive or close, so a +2.5 start covers even in a narrow loss.
- Bandecchi's last six hard-court matches had game margins of +7, -4, +5, +1, +7 and -4.
- She covers +2.5 when her game margin is -2 or better; four of those six recent matches did.
- Bandecchi has won 58.1% of hard-court games in the last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostSusan Bandecchi +2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets are close on average and tiebreaks are more common, so 10 or more games is slightly more likely.
- Bandecchi's set2 average total is 9.73 games; Jacquemot's is 9.73.
- Bandecchi has three set2 tiebreaks; Jacquemot has four.
- Both players' set2 games won averages are above 5.0.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bandecchi's first sets often finish around 6-3, which keeps the total under 9.5.
- Bandecchi's set1 average total is 8.67 games; Jacquemot's is 9.87.
- Bandecchi has no set1 tiebreaks in 15 hard-court matches.
- Bandecchi's set1 average score is 5.47-3.20.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostUnder 9.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.90
The read
Straight-set results are common for both, and those can keep the total near or below 21.5.
- Bandecchi's average match has 21.93 games; Jacquemot's has 21.07.
- Bandecchi has nine 2-0 wins in 15 matches, many likely short.
- Jacquemot has six 0-2 losses in 15 matches.
BetBugs · Total GameslostUnder 21.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Both players' recent hard-court matches usually finish in two sets, with Jacquemot especially straight-set oriented.
- Bandecchi's sample has five three-set matches in 15; Jacquemot's has two in 15.
- Bandecchi's average match lasts 2.33 sets; Jacquemot's lasts 2.13 sets.
- Bandecchi's scorelines are nine 2-0 wins, five 1-2 losses and one 0-2 loss.
BetBugs · Total SetslostUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Bandecchi starts sets better than Jacquemot on hard, with a clear edge in first-set games won.
- Bandecchi has won 12 of 15 first sets on hard, with an average set1 score of 5.47-3.20.
- Jacquemot has won 7 of 15 first sets and averages 4.67-5.20 in set1.
- Bandecchi won the first set in her latest match 6-3.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonSusan BandecchiEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Bandecchi also holds a set2 edge, though the gap is smaller than in set1.
- Bandecchi has won 11 of 15 second sets on hard, with an average set2 score of 5.80-3.93.
- Jacquemot has won 9 of 15 second sets.
- Bandecchi's set2 total games average 9.73.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerlostSusan BandecchiEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Jacquemot's high ace rate makes the combined total likely to reach nine, even with Bandecchi contributing little.
- Jacquemot averages 6.4 aces per match; Bandecchi averages 2.3.
- The combined average is 8.7 aces per match.
- Jacquemot has played an average of 2.13 sets per match.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Most of Bandecchi's recent matches avoided tiebreaks, and her first sets are usually decided before 6-6.
- Bandecchi has 12 of 15 hard-court matches without a tiebreak.
- Jacquemot has 9 of 15 matches without a tiebreak.
- Bandecchi's set1 average is 8.67 games, below a tiebreak set.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined double-fault average is below the line, and Bandecchi is relatively secure on serve.
- Bandecchi averages 2.4 double faults per match; Jacquemot averages 4.8.
- The combined average is 7.2 double faults per match.
- Jacquemot's second-serve points won is 42.3%, showing serve risk.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 7.5Estimated chance52%

Previous match context available

Susan Bandecchi

9W 6L

6-3 6-2#166Anastasiia Sobolieva

6-3 6-7(4) 6-4#232Alicia Dudeney

6-3 7-5#286Elena Malygina

3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(3)#159Gabriela Andrea Knutson

6-3 6-2#505Gaia Maduzzi

6-3 7-6(5)#335Margaux Rouvroy

6-2 6-2#347Lea Nilsson

6-0 6-2—Giulia Pereira De Aguiar

1-6 6-3 6-4#309Oceane Dodin

6-4 1-6 6-4#108Lisa Pigato

6-3 6-2#207Viktoria Hruncakova

6-4 7-5#500Maria Martinez Vaquero

1-6 6-3 6-4#263Arantxa Rus

6-3 6-2#207Viktoria Hruncakova

6-4 6-4#97Alina Charaeva

Elsa Jacquemot

8W 7L

2-6 7-5 7-5#264Caroline Werner

6-2 6-4#341Hannah Klugman

6-2 7-6(4)#225Suzan Lamens

7-6(3) 6-2#232Alicia Dudeney

7-6(6) 7-6(4)#285Viktoria Morvayova

7-5 6-2#265Sofya Lansere

7-5 7-6(5)#144Teodora Kostovic

6-3 6-2#298Lea Boskovic

6-1 6-2#451Camilla Zanolini

6-1 6-1#95Claire Liu

7-5 3-6 6-4#47Magdalena Frech

6-3 6-4#250Vivian Wolff

6-4 6-0#300Zongyu Li

7-6(6) 6-2#43Liudmila Samsonova

6-1 7-6(5)#72Anna Blinkova

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SBSusan BandecchiBandecchi

Last 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Elsa JacquemotJacquemotEJ

Susan Bandecchi carries the stronger recent form — Elsa Jacquemot's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In67.7%+9.3pp58.4%

1st Serve Won66.0%+3.2pp69.2%

2nd Serve Won51.4%+9.1pp42.3%

Aces / Match2.3+4.16.4

Double Faults / Match2.42.4 fewer4.8

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won44.5%—44.0%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted43.3%+3.2pp46.5%

Break Pts Saved66.0%+11.9pp54.1%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won52.9%+2.2pp50.7%

Serve · 3–2

67.7%1st Serve In+9.3pp58.4%

66.0%1st Serve Won+3.2pp69.2%

51.4%2nd Serve Won+9.1pp42.3%

2.3Aces / Match+4.16.4

2.4Double Faults / Match2.4 fewer4.8

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

44.5%Return Pts Won—44.0%

Pressure · 1–1

43.3%Break Pts Converted+3.2pp46.5%

66.0%Break Pts Saved+11.9pp54.1%

Points · 1–0

52.9%Total Pts Won+2.2pp50.7%

Susan Bandecchi

Elsa Jacquemot

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Susan Bandecchi +2.5

Susan Bandecchi

Susan Bandecchi

Susan Bandecchi

Under 21.5

Result0 of 1 landed

Games0 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Susan Bandecchi

Elsa Jacquemot

Stat Battle