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Predictions graded

Nina Radovanovic #592France0Ane Mintegi Del Olmo #207Spain2

Sets 3-6 · 1-6Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:00 Predictions gradedSemi-FinalClay

Predictions6–367%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAne Mintegi Del Olmo · 385 places

Nina Radovanovic

France

Her structured profile lists a current ranking of No. 592 and Hard as her preferred surface.

Current ranking: #592
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: —
Height: —

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo

Spain

Reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 241 in April 2026. She is a right-hander.

Current ranking: #207
Peak ranking: #241 · 2026
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 22:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Mintegi Del Olmo is 385 ranking places higher and has won 14 of 15 clay matches, but Radovanovic has taken the first set in 9 of 13 and beat two top-270 opponents on 22 and 23 October.

The likelier winner is Mintegi Del Olmo; the 1.14 on her asks for more than that form justifies. Radovanovic at 5.5 is the price that offers something.

Context

Mintegi Del Olmo has been far more convincing after the opening set than during it.
If Radovanovic's first-set record holds, Mintegi Del Olmo may have to come from behind, a position she has handled repeatedly: 13 second-set wins in 15 matches and eight matches that ran to three sets.
- From 22 September to 23 October 2026, Mintegi Del Olmo won 8 of 15 first sets and 13 of 15 second sets across 15 completed clay matches.
- She averaged 4.47 games won and 4.13 lost in first sets, against 5.8 won and 2.8 lost in second sets.
- Eight of the 15 matches finished 2-1, six finished 2-0 and one finished 1-2.
That followed a 6-4 6-4 win over the 238th-ranked Caijsa Wilda Hennemann a day earlier. Both came in straight sets, alongside a 9-4 clay record that is stronger than her No. 592 ranking suggests.
- On 23 October 2026, Radovanovic beat Martha Matoula (ranked 267) 6-4 6-2 on clay, winning 12 games to 6.
Her sets have been settled by breaks rather than shootouts, so a tight set is more likely to turn on a single break than on a tiebreak. With 13 matches behind the pattern, it is an observation rather than a rule.
- Radovanovic's set evidence covers 13 completed clay matches from 3 September to 23 October 2026, with 0 tiebreaks.
- Her first sets averaged 9.23 total games and her second sets 8.69, none of them reaching a tiebreak.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Mintegi Del Olmo has the stronger ranking, far better recent clay record and superior point-winning numbers.
- Mintegi Del Olmo is ranked 207 versus 592 and is 14-1 in 15 clay matches.
- She has won 54.6% of total points and 61.5% of games on clay.
- Radovanovic has no serve or return metrics supplied for comparison.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAne Mintegi Del OlmoEstimated chance65%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' second sets average under nine games, and most recent second sets stayed below 10.
- Radovanovic's second sets average 8.69 total games; Mintegi Del Olmo's average 8.6.
- Four of Radovanovic's last six second sets stayed below 10 games.
- Three of Mintegi Del Olmo's last six second sets stayed below 10 games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Mintegi Del Olmo's recent first sets have been short, and the combined first-set average is below 9.5.
- Mintegi Del Olmo's first sets average 8.6 total games.
- Radovanovic's first sets average 9.23 total games.
- Mintegi Del Olmo won first sets 6-1 and 6-2 in her last two matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players can finish sets with clear margins, and Radovanovic's recent wins have often stayed below this line.
- Radovanovic's recent six completed matches averaged 20.0 total games.
- Mintegi Del Olmo's first sets average 8.6 total games; Radovanovic's average 9.2.
- Seven of Radovanovic's 13 clay matches ended 2-0.
BetBugs · Total GameswonUnder 21.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Mintegi Del Olmo has been much stronger in second sets, winning 13 of 15 on clay.
- Mintegi Del Olmo has won the second set 13 of 15 clay matches.
- She averages 5.8 games won to 2.8 lost in second sets.
- Radovanovic has won the second set 9 of 13 clay matches.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerwonAne Mintegi Del OlmoEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radovanovic's first-set record is stronger than Mintegi Del Olmo's, giving her a slight opening-set advantage.
- Radovanovic has won the first set 9 of 13 clay matches.
- Mintegi Del Olmo has won the first set 8 of 15 clay matches.
- Radovanovic's recent first sets include 6-4, 6-4 and 7-5.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostNina RadovanovicEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Mintegi Del Olmo has been taken to a deciding set often, and Radovanovic's first-set strength raises the chance of a third set.
- Mintegi Del Olmo's 15 clay matches average 2.6 sets; 8 were 2-1.
- Radovanovic's 13 clay matches average 2.31 sets; four went three sets.
- The setBetting distribution gives 51% to a deciding set.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance51%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tiebreaks have been uncommon in these players' clay matches, especially for Radovanovic.
- Combined, Radovanovic and Mintegi Del Olmo have one tiebreak in 28 clay matches.
- Radovanovic has 0 tiebreaks in 13 clay matches; Mintegi Del Olmo has 1 in 15.
- Radovanovic's last six matches included no tiebreak.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance85%

Nina Radovanovic

11W 4L

6-4 6-2#267Martha Matoula

6-4 6-4#238Caijsa Wilda Hennemann

5-2 ret.—Laura Boehner

6-4 6-1#315Jessica Pieri

7-5 5-7 6-3#519Valentini Grammatikopoulou

6-2 6-3#399Natalija Senic

6-3 6-0#808Maria Andrienko

6-2 7-5#498Marta Lombardini

2-6 6-3 6-1#315Jessica Pieri

6-1 6-3#653Angelica Raggi

6-4 1-6 6-3#505Gaia Maduzzi

6-3 6-2—Lorena Schaedel

6-3 6-2#369Ksenia Zaytseva

6-2 4-0 ret.#282Selena Janicijevic

4-6 6-2 6-2#320Ipek Oz

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo

14W 1L

6-1 6-2#277Georgia Pedone

6-2 6-0#441Katerina Tsygourova

6-3 4-6 6-4#431Beatrise Zeltina

6-4 6-7(1) 6-3#165Rebeka Masarova

6-2 6-2#167Anastasiia Sobolieva

5-7 6-4 6-0#167Anastasiia Sobolieva

0-6 6-3 6-0#197Rositsa Dencheva

3-6 6-2 6-2#150Jazmin Ortenzi

7-5 4-6 6-1#450Jana Kovackova

6-0 6-2#747Bianca Elena Barbulescu

2-6 6-1 6-3#146Elizara Yaneva

2-6 6-4 6-4#370Loes Ebeling Koning

1-6 6-1 7-5#552Ilinca Dalina Amariei

7-5 6-3#431Beatrise Zeltina

6-1 6-0#614Tara Wuerth

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

NRNina RadovanovicRadovanovic

Last 15

3–5

9 core stats · 1 even

Ane Mintegi Del OlmoOlmoAO

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo carries the stronger recent form — Nina Radovanovic's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In66.7%+1.5pp68.2%

1st Serve Won61.8%+2.2pp59.6%

2nd Serve Won42.9%+2.2pp45.1%

Aces / Match1.5+0.80.7

Double Faults / Match4.50.6 fewer5.1

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won50.1%+4.0pp54.1%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted51.4%+5.0pp56.4%

Break Pts Saved53.2%—53.4%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won52.9%+1.7pp54.6%

Serve · 3–2

66.7%1st Serve In+1.5pp68.2%

61.8%1st Serve Won+2.2pp59.6%

42.9%2nd Serve Won+2.2pp45.1%

1.5Aces / Match+0.80.7

4.5Double Faults / Match0.6 fewer5.1

Return · 0–1

50.1%Return Pts Won+4.0pp54.1%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

51.4%Break Pts Converted+5.0pp56.4%

53.2%Break Pts Saved—53.4%

Points · 0–1

52.9%Total Pts Won+1.7pp54.6%