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Predictions graded

Angelina Voloshchuk #333Portugal1Adrienn Nagy #480Hungary2

Sets 3-6 · 7-6 · 3-6Sun 11 Oct 2026, 11:49 Predictions gradedQ1Clay

Predictions0–10%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAngelina Voloshchuk · 147 places

Angelina Voloshchuk

Portugal

Voloshchuk, 19, reached her career-high singles ranking of No. 341 in 2026 and is listed at No. 349.

Current ranking: #333
Peak ranking: #341
Current age: 19
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Adrienn Nagy

Hungary

Nagy, 25, reached a career-high No. 504 in June 2023. Her supplied player profile lists her at No. 490; hand, height and declared surface preference are not established here.

Current ranking: #480
Peak ranking: #504 · 2023
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: —
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 11 Oct 2026, 08:30 · Europe/Bucharest

Nagy beat Voloshchuk on hard court eleven days ago, but this qualifying opener is on clay, where Voloshchuk has no tracked matches and Nagy is 6-6.

Voloshchuk, ranked 333 to Nagy's 480, is the likelier winner. The 1.73 on her implies about 58%, right where her chance sits, so it is a fair price rather than a worthwhile one; Nagy at 2.1 asks for more than her record supports.

Context

The two last met eleven days before this fixture, when Nagy won 6-4, 6-3 in the Quinta do Lago first round after coming through qualifying. It is the freshest direct comparison between two players in the same low-tier ranking pool, and it shows Nagy winning in straight sets on a hard court. It is only one match and Voloshchuk has since played three competitive matches in Lagos, so the result is a recent reference point rather than a settled pattern between them.
- Nagy d. Voloshchuk 6-4 6-3, W75 Quinta do Lago first round, 30 September 2026
- Nagy entered the Quinta do Lago main draw through qualifying
ConfirmedSources checked 11 Oct 2026, 08:29 · Europe/Bucharest
Voloshchuk returned to the last eight at the Porto WTA 125 in September 2026, a year after reaching the same stage, with a three-set win over Harmony Tan along the way. Back-to-back deep runs at a WTA 125 in Portugal are her strongest recent results and indicate a competitive level above her No. 333 ranking at the time. The run ended against 2025 NCAA champion Reese Brantmeier, and she lost her next event in the Lagos quarterfinals, so it reflects a good week rather than a sustained winning sequence.
- Voloshchuk reached the Porto WTA 125 quarterfinals in both 2025 and 2026
- Voloshchuk d. Harmony Tan 6-1 1-6 6-0, Porto second round, September 2026
- Brantmeier d. Voloshchuk in the Porto quarterfinal
ConfirmedSources checked 11 Oct 2026, 08:29 · Europe/Bucharest
Voloshchuk played three singles matches in the week of 5 October and lost her Lagos quarterfinal, leaving one rest day and travel from the Algarve before this WTA Lisbon match. Nagy, by contrast, had not competed for ten days, so the two arrive with a clear difference in recent match load. No injury or withdrawal has been reported for either player, and players at this level routinely compete in consecutive weeks, so the gap is a physical-availability question rather than a confirmed problem.
- Voloshchuk d. Dapkute and Van Den Broek at W35 Lagos, 7-
- Cervino Ruiz d. Voloshchuk 6-3 7-5, W35 Lagos quarterfinal,
- Nagy's last completed match before this fixture was on 1 October 2026
ConfirmedSources checked 11 Oct 2026, 08:29 · Europe/Bucharest
Nagy's Quinta do Lago week ended with a straight-set loss to top seed Lisa Pigato, then ranked No. 114 and freshly crowned at the WTA 125 in Caldas da Rainha; Pigato went on to win the title. Losing to the strongest player in the draw after qualifying and winning a main-draw match is a more informative form line than the bare score. It is a single event, and Nagy's straight-sets win over Voloshchuk at the same tournament carries more direct weight for this matchup.
- Nagy d. Isakova 6-1 6-0 in Quinta do Lago qualifying
- Pigato d. Nagy 6-4 6-2, Quinta do Lago second round, 1 October 2026
- Pigato won the W75 Quinta do Lago title as top seed
ConfirmedSources checked 11 Oct 2026, 08:29 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Voloshchuk is higher-ranked and has the stronger overall recent record, though she must handle a recent loss to Nagy and a surface switch.
- Voloshchuk is ranked No. 333 and is 10-5 in her last 15 tracked matches.
- Nagy is ranked No. 480 and is 6-6 in 12 tracked clay matches with 49.7% total points won.
- Nagy beat Voloshchuk 6-4 6-3 on hard on 30 September 2026.
- Voloshchuk has no completed clay matches in the supplied sample.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAngelina VoloshchukEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace rates, with Voloshchuk averaging 0.3 and Nagy 1.2 on clay, so under 1.5 is the more likely side.
- Voloshchuk has 5 aces in 15 matches (0.3 per match).
- Nagy has 14 aces in 12 clay matches (1.2 per match).
- Their combined recent ace rate is about 1.5 per match.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 1.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined double-fault average is just above the line, and clay matches often give more service chances.
- Voloshchuk averages 4.3 double faults per match overall.
- Nagy averages 4.4 double faults per match in 12 clay matches.
- Their combined average is about 8.7 double faults per match.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance52%

Angelina Voloshchuk

10W 5L

6-3 7-5#587Celia Cervino Ruiz

6-2 6-4#619Isis Louise Van Den Broek

6-3 6-2#846Iveta Dapkute

6-4 6-3#480Adrienn Nagy

6-3 6-2#292Reese Brantmeier

6-1 1-6 6-0#230Harmony Tan

6-0 6-2—Teresa Franco Dias

6-3 7-5#387Ariana Arseneault

5-7 6-3 6-3#777Raphaelle Lacasse

6-3 7-5#252Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

6-2 6-4#387Ariana Arseneault

6-2 6-3—Teresa Franco Dias

6-4 6-1#361Aoi Ito

6-1 6-2#685Jo-Yee Chan

6-2 7-6(5)#343Hannah Klugman

Adrienn Nagy

8W 7L

6-4 6-2#114Lisa Pigato

6-4 6-3#333Angelina Voloshchuk

6-1 6-0—Polina Isakova

6-2 6-1#190Samira De Stefano

6-3 7-5#348Aran Teixido Garcia

6-3 7-6(3)#774Sophia Biolay

6-3 2-6 6-4#736Teodora Miron

7-6(8) 6-4#323Jessica Pieri

6-4 0-6 6-4#466Maria Sara Popa

4-6 6-3 6-1—Mariia Drobysheva

6-1 6-2—Juliana Nicole Singeorzan

7-6(3) 6-4#359Radka Zelnickova

7-6(5) 6-2#170Anna Siskova

6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(6)#680Petra Sedlackova

6-0 6-2—Agatha Chytilova

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

AVAngelina VoloshchukVoloshchuk

Last 15

3–6

9 core stats · 0 even

Adrienn NagyNagyAN

Adrienn Nagy carries the stronger recent form — Angelina Voloshchuk's route runs through return.

Serve · 1–4

1st Serve In68.8%+2.0pp66.8%

1st Serve Won59.8%+0.8pp60.6%

2nd Serve Won41.3%+2.9pp44.2%

Aces / Match0.3+0.81.1

Double Faults / Match4.30.4 fewer3.9

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won51.9%+6.6pp45.3%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted54.6%+1.2pp55.8%

Break Pts Saved52.9%+3.8pp56.7%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won53.0%+2.7pp50.3%

Serve · 1–4

68.8%1st Serve In+2.0pp66.8%

59.8%1st Serve Won+0.8pp60.6%

41.3%2nd Serve Won+2.9pp44.2%

0.3Aces / Match+0.81.1

4.3Double Faults / Match0.4 fewer3.9

Return · 1–0

51.9%Return Pts Won+6.6pp45.3%

Pressure · 0–2

54.6%Break Pts Converted+1.2pp55.8%

52.9%Break Pts Saved+3.8pp56.7%

Points · 1–0

53.0%Total Pts Won+2.7pp50.3%