Yi Zhou #277China22 – 1Lorenzo Musetti #25Italy1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Zhou has often stayed within four games in recent hard-court matches, making this margin more likely than not.

• Zhou's last six completed hard matches include three within one game or better.
• Zhou kept his first-round win to 16-16 in games.
• Zhou's current hard-court games-won rate is 48%.
• Musetti lost his most recent completed hard match by ten games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' first sets average just over ten games, so a set reaching at least ten games is more likely than not.

• Zhou's first-set average total games is 10.25.
• Musetti's first-set average total games is 10.13.
• Both players have two first-set tiebreaks in their hard-court best-of-three samples.
• Zhou's first-set average games won is 5.58 and lost is 4.67.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Zhou has kept several recent hard-court matches close, giving him a fair chance to stay within 3.5 games.

• Zhou's last six completed hard matches have three results within one game or better.
• Zhou kept his first-round win to 16-16 in games.
• Musetti lost his most recent completed hard match by ten games.
• Zhou's current hard-court games-won rate is 48%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30

The read

Zhou's matches often run long, and his first-round three-setter had 32 games, so the match can pass this line.

• Zhou's average total games in best-of-three hard matches is 24.67.
• Musetti's average total games in best-of-three hard matches is 21.63.
• Zhou has six matches with tiebreaks in 12 best-of-three hard matches.
• Musetti's first-set average total games is 10.13.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Zhou's second-set record is poor, so Musetti is more likely to take the second set if it is played.

• Zhou lost nine of 12 second sets in best-of-three hard matches.
• Musetti's second-set record in that format is 4-4.
• Musetti's second-set average games won is 4.75 and lost is 4.38.
• Zhou's second-set average games won is 4.42 and lost is 5.83.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Zhou's recent hard-court matches often include tiebreaks, and both first-set averages sit just above ten games.

• Zhou has six matches with tiebreaks in 12 best-of-three hard matches.
• Musetti has two matches with tiebreaks in eight best-of-three hard matches.
• Zhou's first-set average total games is 10.25.
• Musetti's first-set average total games is 10.13.