Francesco Maestrelli #171Italy11 – 2Oliver Tarvet #307United Kingdom2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Tarvet has been winning almost every match on hard courts while Maestrelli has lost more than he has won on the same surface over a comparable span.

• Tarvet 13-2 in his last 15 completed hard-court matches
• Tarvet won 58.1% of games and 53.9% of points on hard
• Tarvet won set one in 13 of 15 and set two in 10 of 15 hard-court matches
• Maestrelli 4-6 on hard in his last 10, with 46.9% of games won

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Tarvet's second-set record is strong, though slightly less dominant than his first-set record.

• Tarvet won the second set in 10 of 15 hard-court matches
• Maestrelli won the second set in 6 of 10 hard-court matches
• Tarvet won 58.1% of games on hard

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players double fault at a modest rate, so the combined match total is likely to stay below this line.

• Tarvet averages 2.2 double faults per hard-court match
• Maestrelli averages 2.1 double faults per hard-court match
• Combined per-match average is about 4.3

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Tarvet's sets have mostly been decided before reaching a tiebreak, which lowers the chance of one appearing.

• Tarvet had a tiebreak in only 2 of 15 hard-court matches
• Maestrelli had a tiebreak in 7 of 10 hard-court matches
• Tarvet won set one 13 of 15 times without needing a tiebreak in most

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined per-match ace counts sit just below this line when the expected match length is taken into account.

• Tarvet averages 6.9 aces per hard-court match
• Maestrelli averages 6.8 aces per hard-court match
• Tarvet's matches averaged 2.33 sets; Maestrelli's 2.5