Elsa Jacquemot #101France00 – 2Claire Liu #116United States2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Liu is the higher-ranked player, wins more sets and games on hard courts and arrives off a title on the surface.

• Claire Liu is ranked No. 97 against Elsa Jacquemot's No. 165
• Liu has won 13 of 20 hard-court sets (65%) in this window; Jacquemot 13 of 29 (44.8%)
• Liu wins 56.2% of hard-court games to Jacquemot's 51.8% and took the Barranquilla hard-court title on 12 September

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets for both players have tended to finish in eight or nine games.

• Liu's second sets average 8.6 total games; Jacquemot's 8.9
• Neither player has a tiebreak in second sets in Liu's sample and only two across Jacquemot's 13 matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Liu has been winning hard-court matches by wider game margins than Jacquemot, particularly against higher-ranked opposition.

• Liu's recent hard-court margins were +4, +6, +7, +6 and +8 in wins and -5 in a loss
• Jacquemot's margins against top-100 opponents were -1 (Frech), -5 (Samsonova) and -6 (Blinkova)
• Liu wins 56.2% of hard-court games to Jacquemot's 51.8%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Most of these two players' hard-court matches end inside two sets with scorelines near 18-20 games.

• 17 of the 22 combined tracked hard-court matches finished in straight sets
• Average total games: 20.9 for Jacquemot's matches, 20.6 for Liu's
• Liu's last three straight-set wins totalled 18, 19 and 18 games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Straight-sets results are clearly the most common outcome for both players.

• Combined, 5 of 22 tracked hard-court matches went to three sets
• Liu has 4 straight-set wins and 2 straight-set losses among her last six hard-court matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Liu has started matches strongly in the tracked window, taking most of her opening sets.

• Liu has won 7 of 9 hard-court opening sets; Jacquemot has won 5 of 13
• Liu's opening sets average 5.67 games won to 3.89 lost, Jacquemot 4.85 to 5.31

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Liu's second-set record on hard courts is slightly better than Jacquemot's.

• Liu has won 5 of 9 second sets on hard courts; Jacquemot 6 of 13
• Liu's second sets average 4.67 games won to 3.89 lost

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Most sets for both players are decided before 6-6.

• Liu has not played a tiebreak in any of her last 9 completed hard-court matches
• Jacquemot's 13 matches produced 5 tiebreaks

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players double fault often enough that the combined total usually clears this line.

• Jacquemot averages 5.0 double faults per hard-court match across 13 matches
• Liu averages 4.1 double faults per hard-court match across 9 matches
• Their combined average is about 9.1 per match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Added together, their hard-court ace rates sit just above the line.

• Jacquemot averages 4.8 aces per hard-court match, Liu 4.0
• Jacquemot's 63 aces and Liu's 36 come from 13 and 9 hard-court matches respectively