Ajeet Rai #887New Zealand00 – 2Grigoriy Lomakin #896Kazakhstan2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.38

The read

Rai's hard-court match and set records are steadier over a comparable sample, and the ranking gap is too small to outweigh that.

• Rai is 8-5 on hard in the tracked sample (13 matches); Lomakin is 6-8 on hard (14 matches).
• Rai's hard-court sets: 8-5 in first sets, 7-6 in second sets.
• Rai's most recent completed match (10 Aug 2026) was a 0-2 loss to Quinn Vandecasteele, ranked 469.
• Rankings are close: Rai 887, Lomakin 857.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Every Rai win covers this line, so it needs only that a defeat is not heavy.

• This line covers every Rai win plus any loss by one or two games.
• Rai's recent 2-0 losses came by seven games (5-12) and four games (8-12).
• Lomakin won three of his last six matches by margins of six games or more.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' hard-court matches average around 23 games, under this line.

• Rai's hard-court average is 23.5 games per match over 13; Lomakin's is 22.8 over 14.
• Eight of their most recent twelve completed matches finished in straight sets.
• Both players' average sets per match sit below 2.5.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Rai needs only to avoid a two-game defeat, and his recent completed matches rarely land on a margin that small.

• Rai's last five completed hard matches had game margins of -7, +3, -4, -4 and +9.
• This line fails only if Rai loses by two or more games.
• Lomakin's 2-1 win over Dong Ju Kim came despite a 15-16 game count.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second-set totals for both players sit around nine games, just under the line.

• Rai's hard-court second sets average 9.0 total games; Lomakin's 9.5.
• Rai's most recent completed match had an eight-game second set (2-6).
• Lomakin's most recent match had a nine-game second set (3-6).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Rai's first sets regularly run past nine games, which pulls the expected opening set close to this line.

• Rai's hard-court first sets average 10.8 total games; Lomakin's average 8.5.
• Rai has four first-set tiebreaks in 13 hard matches; Lomakin none.
• The two averages sit either side of the 9.5 line.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Straight-set finishes are the slightly more common outcome in both players' hard-court samples.

• Rai has eight straight-set results in 13 hard matches; Lomakin has seven in 13.
• Combined average sets per match is 2.42.
• Rai's most recent completed match was a 0-2 loss in straight sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Rai has won a clear majority of his hard-court opening sets while Lomakin has lost slightly more than he has won.

• Rai's hard-court first sets: 8-5; Lomakin's: 6-7.
• Rai's first sets average 10.8 total games with four tiebreaks in 13; Lomakin's average 8.5 with none.
• Rai lost the opening set 3-6 in his most recent completed match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Rai has a slightly better second-set record on hard and the two players are otherwise evenly matched.

• Rai's hard-court second sets: 7-6; Lomakin's: 6-7.
• Rai averages 9.0 total games in second sets; Lomakin 9.5.
• Rai won the second set 6-3 in his 2-1 win over Paul Jubb on 9 Aug 2026.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Most of both players' completed hard-court matches finish without a tiebreak.

• Rai has five tiebreak matches in 13 hard matches; Lomakin four in 13.
• Lomakin's first sets produced zero tiebreaks in 13 hard matches.
• First-set game averages are 10.8 for Rai and 8.5 for Lomakin.