Gianluca Cadenasso #194Italy11 – 2Vitaliy Sachko #188Ukraine2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75

The read

Sachko sits higher in the rankings, has the better clay record and the more reliable serve and return numbers, while Cadenasso's recent clay form includes two defeats.

• Sachko is 8-5 on clay across his last 13 completed matches, winning 55.1% of games and 52.8% of total points on the surface.
• On clay he lands 61.9% of first serves and wins 69.3% of first-serve points and 52.8% of second-serve points.
• Cadenasso is 7-6 on clay in the same window with no serve or return metrics available.
• Sachko is ranked 179, Cadenasso 222, and Sachko has won his last two clay matches 12-4 and 12-3.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets in these players' clay matches have averaged below 9.5 games, supporting a shorter second set.

• Sachko's clay second sets average 9.38 games.
• Cadenasso's clay second sets average 8.92 games.
• Cadenasso's second sets have produced no tiebreaks in 13 clay matches.
• Both players have 7-6 second-set records on clay.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' clay opening-set averages sit just above 9.5 games, so a longer first set is marginally more likely.

• Cadenasso's clay opening sets average 10.08 games.
• Sachko's clay opening sets average 9.92 games.
• Cadenasso's opening sets have produced 2 tiebreaks in 13 matches.
• Sachko's opening sets have produced 3 tiebreaks in 13 matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined clay game averages sit close to the line, with Sachko's recent short matches pulling the expected total slightly down.

• Sachko's clay matches average 22.46 total games.
• Cadenasso's clay matches average 23.54 total games.
• Sachko wins 55.1% of games on clay and Cadenasso has no game-level metrics.
• Sachko's last two clay matches totalled 16 and 15 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Sachko's matches have mostly finished in straight sets and his serve numbers point to short service holds reducing the chance of a decider.

• Sachko's clay matches average 2.31 sets, with 9 of 13 finishing in straight sets.
• Six of Sachko's 13 clay matches were won or lost 2-0.
• Cadenasso's clay matches average 2.54 sets.
• Sachko's last two clay wins were both 2-0.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Sachko's stronger serve and better opening-set record make him the more likely player to take the first set.

• Sachko has won 9 of 13 opening sets on clay.
• He wins 69.3% of first-serve points on clay.
• Cadenasso has won 8 of 13 opening sets on clay.
• Sachko has broken at 40.8% on clay across 13 matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Sachko's second-set games record on clay is slightly better than Cadenasso's, matching his overall edge in the match.

• Sachko has won 7 of 13 second sets on clay.
• He averages 5.23 games won against 4.15 lost in second sets.
• Cadenasso has won 7 of 13 second sets on clay.
• Sachko's second-set games average is the stronger of the two.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Cadenasso's clay matches have rarely produced tiebreaks, and Sachko's recent wins were mostly closed without one.

• Only 2 of Cadenasso's 13 clay matches contained a tiebreak.
• 5 of Sachko's 13 clay matches contained a tiebreak.
• Sachko's clay first-serve percentage is 61.9%.
• Cadenasso's opening sets produced 2 tiebreaks in 13 matches.