Robert Strombachs #415Germany11 – 2Luka Mikrut #184Croatia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Mikrut's superior ranking, better recent clay form, and stronger serve/return structural metrics on clay give him a clear edge.

• Mikrut is ranked 176 vs Strombachs 428.
• Mikrut's last-15 clay record is 6-3 (66.7%), Strombachs is 5-5 (50%).
• Mikrut's clay break-point save rate is 64.2% vs Strombachs 49%.
• Mikrut's clay second-serve points won is 57.6% vs Strombachs 48.5%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The competitive stats and longer average match durations suggest a match that could exceed 21.5 games.

• Strombachs' last-15 average match duration is 85.4 minutes, Mikrut's is 107.5 minutes.
• Strombachs' last-15 games won percentage is 53.8%, Mikrut's is 52.2%.
• Both players have similar total points won percentages (51.9% vs 51.6%).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Recent scorelines show tight sets, making over 9.5 games in the first set plausible.

• Strombachs' recent clay matches include 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 6-4 scorelines.
• Mikrut's recent clay matches include 7-6, 7-5, 6-4, 6-4 scorelines.
• Both players have similar first-serve points won percentages on clay.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Recent scorelines show tight sets, making over 9.5 games in the second set plausible.

• Strombachs' recent clay matches include 6-4, 7-6, 6-4 scorelines.
• Mikrut's recent clay matches include 6-4, 7-5, 6-4 scorelines.
• Both players have similar second-serve points won percentages on clay.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Mikrut's superior clay metrics suggest he could win by more than 2.5 games.

• Mikrut's clay games won percentage is 53.2% vs Strombachs 48.6%.
• Mikrut's clay break-point save rate is 64.2% vs Strombachs 49%.
• Mikrut's clay second-serve points won is 57.6% vs Strombachs 48.5%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Mikrut's high ace rate and Strombachs' moderate ace rate make over 8.5 total aces likely.

• Mikrut averages 5.8 aces per match on clay in last 15.
• Strombachs averages 2.2 aces per match on clay in last 15.
• Combined average aces per match on clay is 8.0.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Strombachs' high double fault rate and Mikrut's low rate make over 5.5 total double faults plausible.

• Strombachs averages 4.4 double faults per match on clay in last 15.
• Mikrut averages 1.0 double faults per match on clay in last 15.
• Combined average double faults per match on clay is 5.4.