FranceRennes - FranceFinished

Predictions graded

Clement Tabur #163France1Harold Mayot #255France2

Sets 6-7 · 6-1 · 4-6Tue 15 Sept 2026, 15:00 Predictions gradedFirst RoundI.hard

Predictions6–0100%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageClement Tabur · 92 places

Clement Tabur

France

Reliable current profile detail beyond the supplied ranking and playing style was limited. Use structured recent-form and hard-court data as the main context.

Current ranking: #163
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 173 cm

Harold Mayot

France

Mayot reached career-high No. 103 in October 2024. ATP lists hard as his favorite surface; he was the 2020 Australian Open boys' singles champion and a junior world No. 1.

Current ranking: #255
Peak ranking: #103 · 2024
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 04:14 · Europe/Bucharest

Harold Mayot is favored over Clement Tabur based on superior recent hard-court form and a 2-0 head-to-head record.

Mayot's strong serving and first-set success make him the likely winner, with a small betting edge at odds around 1.80. The match could see over 21.5 total games, but confidence is low.

Context

Mayot, 24, is ranked 267 and has a career 54.5% win rate. Tabur, 26, is ranked 159 and has a career 60% win rate.
Mayot's recent hard-court results include wins over Gustavo Heide and Max Purcell, while Tabur lost to Braden Shick in his only hard-court match in the last 15. This surface-specific form gives Mayot a clear edge on this indoor hard court, though Tabur's higher ranking and career win percentage suggest he cannot be dismissed.
- Mayot's last 8 hard-court matches: 6 wins, 2 losses (75% win rate).
- Tabur's last 15 overall: 7 wins, 8 losses (46.7% win rate).
- Tabur's only hard-court match in last 15: loss to Braden Shick (6-4 7-5).
The players have met three times, with Mayot winning in 2025 and 2023 on clay, and Tabur winning in 2018 on indoor hard.
Mayot's two wins came on clay, a surface where Tabur has struggled recently. However, Tabur's lone win was on indoor hard, the same surface as this match. The head-to-head is not decisive, but Mayot's recent success over Tabur may provide a psychological edge.
- 2025 clay: Mayot def. Tabur 4-6 7-6(0) 6-3.
- 2023 clay: Mayot def. Tabur 6-3 6-4.
- 2018 indoor hard: Tabur def. Mayot 6-4 6-2.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Mayot's superior recent hard-court form and H2H edge give him the advantage in this indoor hard match.
- Mayot has won both recent H2H meetings (2025, 2023), including a 4-6 7-6(0) 6-3 win in 2025.
- Mayot's last-15 hard-court record is 6-2 (75%) with 56.8% games won, while Tabur has only 1 hard-court match in that window (a loss).
- Mayot's recent form includes three straight wins on hard courts in the last week, while Tabur lost his most recent hard-court match.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHarold MayotEstimated chance58%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have competitive recent matches, and the H2H suggests a possible three-setter, pushing total games over 21.5.
- Tabur's last-15 average match duration is 121.6 minutes, suggesting longer matches.
- Mayot's last-15 average duration is 100.8 minutes, but his hard-court matches average 99.7 minutes.
- H2H 2025 match went to three sets with 32 total games.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive with both players holding serve early, leading to over 9.5 games.
- Tabur's recent hard-court match first set had 10 games (4-6).
- Mayot's recent hard-court first sets have averaged 9.4 games.
- Both players have similar first-serve percentages around 60%.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Mayot's stronger hard-court serving and recent first-set success make him the likely set 1 winner.
- Mayot has won the first set in 5 of his last 8 hard-court matches.
- Tabur's only recent hard-court match was a straight-set loss where he won only 4 games in the first set.
- Mayot's first-serve points won on hard courts is 72.6%, giving him a strong start.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonHarold MayotEstimated chance56%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double fault rates, and the total is likely to stay under 4.5.
- Tabur averages 2.1 double faults per match in last 15, and 2.0 in his single hard-court match.
- Mayot averages 2.1 double faults per match overall, and 1.9 on hard courts.
- Combined average double faults is 4.2, but indoor hard may reduce double faults slightly.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

1-2 (3 meetings)

L4-6 7-6(0) 6-3Clement Tabur#159vHarold Mayot#267Jul 1, 2025

L6-3 6-4Clement Tabur#159vHarold Mayot#267Jun 20, 2023

W6-4 6-2Clement Tabur#159vHarold Mayot#267Mar 13, 2018

3 total meetings

Previous match context available

Clement Tabur

7W 8L

6-4 7-5#216Braden Shick

4-6 6-4 6-4#215Henri Squire

7-5 6-3#887Orlando Luz

1-6 7-6(5) 6-4#195Edas Butvilas

6-7(9) 7-6(5) 7-5#29Arthur Rinderknech

4-6 7-5 6-4#143Jurij Rodionov

6-4 7-6(3)#256Marc-Andrea Huesler

6-3 6-4#1046Hendrik Jebens

6-1 3-6 6-4#190Diego Dedura

1-6 7-5 2-6 6-3 6-1#117Shintaro Mochizuki

5-7 7-6(4) 6-4#124Bu Yunchaokete

6-3 6-4#169Federico Agustin Gomez

1-6 7-6(10) 6-3#136Stefanos Sakellaridis

6-4 6-4#219Rio Noguchi

6-2 6-4#252Felix Balshaw

Harold Mayot

8W 7L

6-1 6-3#259Max Basing 6-4 6-2#382Dimitar Kuzmanov

6-7(2) 6-3 6-2#500Adrian Boitan

6-2 6-4#230Cezar Cretu

6-3 6-4#156Daniil Glinka

3-6 6-3 6-4#803Max Purcell

6-3 6-2#128Gustavo Heide

6-2 6-2#900Filip Pieczonka

6-3 6-7(6) 6-4#233Kilian Feldbausch

6-3 6-3#413Dylan Dietrich

6-4 6-3#410Mika Brunold

6-4 2-6 6-1#224Raul Brancaccio

6-4 6-3#441Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

6-2 6-0#257Andrej Nedic

6-3 7-6(3)#238Alejandro Moro Canas

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

CTClement TaburTabur

Last 15

4–3

9 core stats · 2 even

Harold MayotMayotHM

Clement Tabur carries the stronger recent form — Harold Mayot's route runs through return.

Serve · 3–1 · 1 even

1st Serve In60.1%+2.1pp62.2%

1st Serve Won72.2%+2.6pp69.6%

2nd Serve Won55.1%+7.8pp47.3%

Aces / Match5.3+1.43.9

Double Faults / Match2.1—2.1

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won36.5%+2.9pp39.4%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted33.9%+2.1pp36.0%

Break Pts Saved57.4%+2.9pp54.5%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won50.5%—50.2%

Serve · 3–1 · 1 even

60.1%1st Serve In+2.1pp62.2%

72.2%1st Serve Won+2.6pp69.6%

55.1%2nd Serve Won+7.8pp47.3%

5.3Aces / Match+1.43.9

2.1Double Faults / Match—2.1

Return · 0–1

36.5%Return Pts Won+2.9pp39.4%

Pressure · 1–1

33.9%Break Pts Converted+2.1pp36.0%

57.4%Break Pts Saved+2.9pp54.5%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

50.5%Total Pts Won—50.2%