Phan Thiet - VietnamFinished

Predictions graded

Masamichi Imamura #415Japan0Enzo Aguiard #513Australia2

Sets 3-6 · 2-6Mon 14 Sept 2026, 06:35 Predictions gradedFirst RoundHard

Predictions5–271%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageMasamichi Imamura · 98 places

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

Structured player data lists Imamura at No. 415 for this match. No reliable public career-profile detail was confirmed.

Current ranking: #415
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 178 cm

Enzo Aguiard

Australia

Career-high No. 483 in July 2026. His public profile lists hard as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #513
Peak ranking: #483 · 2026
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 15:40 · Europe/Bucharest

Enzo Aguiard holds the edge over Masamichi Imamura with a superior serve, better recent form, and a straight-sets H2H win.

Back Aguiard on the moneyline and consider over 8.5 total aces, but be wary of Imamura's potential to push sets deep.

Context

Aguiard, 20, is ranked 513 and has won 62% of his career matches. He has a powerful serve, averaging 6.6 aces per match in his last 15.
In his last 15 matches, Aguiard has won 73.1% of first-serve points and saved 69.6% of break points, compared to Imamura's 65.7% and 54.4%. On hard courts, Aguiard's first-serve win rate is 72.7% and break-point save rate is 69.6%, while Imamura's return points won is only 40.5%. This suggests Aguiard can hold serve more easily and escape trouble, putting pressure on Imamura's service games.
- Aguiard last 15 overall: first-serve points won 73.1%, break points saved 69.6%.
- Imamura last 15 overall: first-serve points won 65.7%, break points saved 54.4%.
- Aguiard hard-court last 15: first-serve points won 72.7%, break points saved 69.6%.
- Imamura hard-court last 15: return points won 40.5%.
The two players met once before, in the first round of a Challenger in May 2026.
Aguiard won 6-3 6-2, converting 57% of break points while Imamura converted only 13%. Aguiard also won 48% of return points compared to Imamura's 37%. That match was on hard court, the same surface as this one, so Aguiard's ability to pressure Imamura's serve may carry over.
- H2H: Aguiard defeated Imamura 6-3 6-2 on 2026-05-24.
- In that match, Aguiard converted 57% of break points vs Imamura's 13%.
- Aguiard won 48% of return points vs Imamura's 37%.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Aguiard's superior recent form, H2H win, and stronger serve give him the edge.
- Aguiard won the only H2H meeting 6-3 6-2 on hard in May 2026.
- Aguiard's last 15 overall record is 9-6 (60%) vs Imamura's 7-8 (46.7%).
- Aguiard's last 15 hard-court record is 6-5 (54.5%) vs Imamura's 7-7 (50%).
- Aguiard has a stronger first-serve points won rate (73.1% vs 65.7%) in last 15.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonEnzo AguiardEstimated chance58%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Aguiard's matches tend to be longer, and both players have competitive recent sets.
- Imamura's last 15 matches average 20.8 games per match.
- Aguiard's last 15 matches average 25.3 games per match.
- Aguiard's hard-court matches average 27.5 games per match in last 11.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive with both players holding serve early.
- Imamura's recent first sets include several 6-4, 7-6, and 6-3 scores.
- Aguiard's recent first sets include 6-4, 7-6, and 6-3 scores.
- Both players have similar first-serve percentages around 60%.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Aguiard's H2H first-set dominance and strong serve suggest he can start fast.
- Aguiard won the first set 6-3 in their only H2H meeting.
- Aguiard's first-set win conversion is 89% career vs Imamura's 90%.
- Aguiard's recent hard-court first-serve points won is 72.7%.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonEnzo AguiardEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Aguiard's high ace count alone nearly covers the line, and Imamura adds a few.
- Aguiard averages 6.6 aces per match in last 15 overall.
- Aguiard averages 7.3 aces per match on hard in last 11.
- Imamura averages only 1.6 aces per match in last 15.
- Combined expected aces: 6.6 + 1.6 = 8.2, but Aguiard's hard-court rate pushes total higher.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double fault rates, and a tight match could push the total over.
- Aguiard averages 2.7 double faults per match in last 15.
- Imamura averages 1.5 double faults per match in last 15.
- Combined average is 4.2, but variance is high.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-3 6-2Masamichi Imamura#398vEnzo Aguiard#513May 24, 2026

1 total meetings

Masamichi Imamura

7W 8L

6-3 3-6 6-3#894Yunseong Chung

6-4 3-6 6-4#179Bernard Tomic

6-1 6-1#268Yu Hsiou Hsu

3-6 6-0 10-2#567Hyeon Chung

6-1 6-0—Noritaka Koizumi

6-4 6-1#694Shinji Hazawa

6-2 6-1#295Sergey Fomin

6-3 6-4#609Erik Arutiunian

7-6(3) 6-3#356Antoine Ghibaudo

6-1 6-1#659Roger Pascual Ferra

7-5 6-1#766Darian King

6-4 3-6 6-1#781James Tracy

6-4 7-6(6)#246James McCabe

6-4 6-7(3) 6-1#322Daniel Milavsky

6-4 6-1#397Andrew Fenty

Enzo Aguiard

9W 6L

6-2 6-0#275Ilia Simakin

2-6 6-3 7-6(4)#466Khumoun Sultanov

6-4 7-6(4)#486Kasidit Samrej

7-6(1) 6-4#466Khumoun Sultanov

6-3 6-4#255Hayato Matsuoka

6-3 7-6(1)#898Jesse Delaney

6-7(9) 7-5 7-6(4)#539Kokoro Isomura

6-2 6-4#845Tianhui Zhang

6-3 7-5#691Yusuke Takahashi

6-4 6-3—Reiya Komagata

7-5 6-2—Fanming Meng

6-4 6-7(2) 6-4#399Garrett Johns

3-6 7-6(1) 6-2#690Strong Kirchheimer

7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(4)—Aniss Rafiq

6-7(6) 7-5 6-3#403Justin Boulais

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

MIMasamichi ImamuraImamura

Last 15

4–5

9 core stats · 0 even

Enzo AguiardAguiardEA

Enzo Aguiard carries the stronger recent form — Masamichi Imamura's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In61.9%+2.0pp59.9%

1st Serve Won65.7%+7.4pp73.1%

2nd Serve Won51.2%+1.5pp52.7%

Aces / Match1.6+5.06.6

Double Faults / Match1.51.2 fewer2.7

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won39.5%+3.3pp36.2%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted46.3%+8.5pp37.8%

Break Pts Saved54.4%+15.2pp69.6%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won49.9%+1.0pp50.9%

Serve · 2–3

61.9%1st Serve In+2.0pp59.9%

65.7%1st Serve Won+7.4pp73.1%

51.2%2nd Serve Won+1.5pp52.7%

1.6Aces / Match+5.06.6

1.5Double Faults / Match1.2 fewer2.7

Return · 1–0

39.5%Return Pts Won+3.3pp36.2%

Pressure · 1–1

46.3%Break Pts Converted+8.5pp37.8%

54.4%Break Pts Saved+15.2pp69.6%

Points · 0–1

49.9%Total Pts Won+1.0pp50.9%