United StatesTiburon - USAFinished

Predictions graded

Timo Legout #535France2Evan Bynoe #754United States0

Sets 6-1 · 6-4Sun 13 Sept 2026, 20:30 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions6–275%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageTimo Legout · 219 places

Timo Legout

France

French right-hander who reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 406 on 29 May 2023. The supplied structured data lists him at No. 535; ITF lists clay as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #535
Peak ranking: #406 · 2023
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 178 cm

Evan Bynoe

United States

Bynoe, 27, is the American right-hander in this matchup. Public profile records list a career-high No. 708 on 3 August 2026 and identify hard as his favorite surface.

Current ranking: #754
Peak ranking: #708 · 2026
Current age: 27
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 15:18 · Europe/Bucharest

Timo Legout is a strong favorite based on superior recent form, return game, and hard-court dominance, but the odds offer no value.

Evan Bynoe's serve and longer matches could push totals over, but his inconsistency makes an upset unlikely. Best angles are over 21.5 total games and over 6.5 aces, though confidence is low.

Context

Legout, ranked 445, has been dominant on hard courts recently, winning 12 of 15 matches with a 60.2% games won rate. Bynoe, ranked 754, has a 60% win rate in his last 15 but struggles more on return.
Legout's superior recent form and return numbers (45.6% return points won vs Bynoe's 40%) give him a clear edge in baseline exchanges. Bynoe's higher ace count (4.6 per match vs 1.7) may help him hold serve, but his lower break point conversion (38.5% vs 44.6%) limits his ability to pressure Legout's serve.
- Legout last 15: 12-3 record, 60.2% games won, 45.6% return points won.
- Bynoe last 15: 9-6 record, 53.1% games won, 40% return points won.
- Legout has won 8 of his last 10 matches, including a retirement win over Clement Chidekh (ranked 185).
- Bynoe lost his most recent match to Joshua Peck (ranked 1138) in straight sets.
Bynoe has played several three-set matches recently, including a 2-hour 45-minute win over Yassine Dlimi and a 2-hour 30-minute loss to Jack Anthrop.
The extra court time could leave Bynoe less fresh for this qualifying match, especially if it goes to a deciding set. Legout's shorter matches and recent retirement win over Chidekh indicate he has spent less energy on court.
- Bynoe last 15 average duration: 132.6 minutes vs Legout's 102.8 minutes.
- Bynoe has played 5 three-set matches in his last 15, while Legout has played 3.
- Bynoe's last match was a straight-set loss on August 12, giving him a month off before this event.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Timo Legout

1.08fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 92.6%

0.0ppshort

Legout's superior recent form and return game on hard courts give him a clear edge in this Bo3 match.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.08
The read
Legout's superior recent form and return game on hard courts give him a clear edge in this Bo3 match.
- Last 15 overall record: 12-3 (80%) vs Bynoe 9-6 (60%)
- Last 15 hard-court record: 12-3 (80%) vs Bynoe 8-5 (61.5%)
- Last 15 total points won: 54.2% vs Bynoe 50.0%
- Last 15 return points won: 45.6% vs Bynoe 40.0%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTimo LegoutEstimated chance72%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Bynoe's matches tend to be longer and more competitive, pushing the total games over the line.
- Legout last 15 average games per match: 18.3 (274 games / 15 matches)
- Bynoe last 15 average games per match: 21.7 (326 games / 15 matches)
- Bynoe last 15 average match duration: 132.6 minutes vs Legout 102.8 minutes
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have competitive first sets, with Bynoe's tiebreak tendency supporting an over.
- Legout last 15 first-set average games: 9.3 (based on parsed sets)
- Bynoe last 15 first-set average games: 9.7 (based on parsed sets)
- Bynoe has played multiple tiebreaks in recent first sets
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Legout's consistent game dominance suggests he can cover a -3.5 game handicap.
- Legout last 15 average games won per match: 11.0 (165 games / 15 matches)
- Bynoe last 15 average games lost per match: 10.2 (153 games lost / 15 matches)
- Legout last 15 games won percentage: 60.2%
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonTimo Legout -3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Legout's strong first-set conversion and overall set dominance make him likely to take the opener.
- Legout first-set win conversion career: 90% vs Bynoe 89%
- Legout last 15 sets won: 76.7% vs Bynoe 57.1%
- Legout last 15 first-serve points won: 71.1% vs Bynoe 67.4%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonTimo LegoutEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Legout's strong recent form and Bynoe's inconsistency make a straight-set outcome more likely.
- Legout last 15 straight-set matches: 9 of 15 (60%)
- Bynoe last 15 straight-set matches: 7 of 15 (47%)
- Legout's superior form reduces likelihood of a third set
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bynoe's strong ace rate combined with Legout's modest contribution makes over 6.5 aces plausible.
- Bynoe last 15 aces per match: 4.6 (65 aces in 14 matches)
- Legout last 15 aces per match: 1.7 (26 aces in 15 matches)
- Combined average aces per match: 6.3
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 2.5 double faults per match, making over 5.5 likely.
- Bynoe last 15 double faults per match: 3.6 (51 in 14 matches)
- Legout last 15 double faults per match: 2.7 (40 in 15 matches)
- Combined average double faults per match: 6.3
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The competitive nature of the match and both players' tiebreak history suggest at least one tiebreak.
- Bynoe has played tiebreaks in 3 of his last 15 matches
- Legout has played tiebreaks in 3 of his last 15 matches
- Both players have tiebreak win percentages near 50%
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Bynoe's recent form and return stats are too weak to justify backing him despite the high odds.

Timo Legout

12W 3L

3-6 6-4 6-1#399Garrett Johns

6-2 6-3#362Aidan Mayo

6-2 6-4#525Evan Zhu

3-4 ret.#185Clement Chidekh

6-2 6-2#815Jack Anthrop

6-2 6-4—Alexander Frusina

6-2 6-4#1243Spencer Papa

7-5 ret.#340Mees Rottgering

6-3 6-4—Alexander Frusina

6-2 6-1#861Oliver Bonding

6-1 6-3—Donald Nikolas Stoot

7-6(5) 6-4#467Kenta Miyoshi

6-3 6-3—Mikael Arseneault

7-6(5) 6-3#492Duncan Chan

6-4 3-6 6-4#899Justin Roberts

Evan Bynoe

9W 6L

6-4 6-3#1138Joshua Peck

4-6 6-3 6-4#815Jack Anthrop

6-2 7-6(5)#647Naoya Honda

7-6(4) 7-6(4)—Mitchell Sheldon

6-7(5) 7-5 6-1—Eli Stephenson

6-4 2-6 6-4#487Yassine Dlimi

2-6 7-5 6-3#861Oliver Bonding

6-2 6-4#340Mees Rottgering

6-1 6-0—Dylan Long (USA)

6-2 6-2—Eli Stephenson

6-3 2-6 6-0#770Matthew Forbes

6-1 6-2—Marko Mesarovic

6-4 6-3#893Oliver Ojakaar

6-2 6-4—Gus Grumet

6-4 6-4—Stian Klaassen

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

TLTimo LegoutLegout

Last 15

6–3

9 core stats · 0 even

Evan BynoeBynoeEB

Timo Legout carries the stronger recent form — Evan Bynoe's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In15/15 · 14/1560.2%+5.3pp65.5%

1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/1571.1%+3.7pp67.4%

2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/1552.0%+5.4pp46.6%

Aces / Match15/15 · 14/151.7+2.94.6

Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/152.70.9 fewer3.6

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/1545.6%+5.6pp40.0%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/1544.6%+6.1pp38.5%

Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/1561.5%+2.8pp64.3%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/1554.2%+4.2pp50.0%

Serve · 3–2

60.2%1st Serve In15/15 · 14/15+5.3pp65.5%

71.1%1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+3.7pp67.4%

52.0%2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+5.4pp46.6%

1.7Aces / Match15/15 · 14/15+2.94.6

2.7Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/150.9 fewer3.6

Return · 1–0

45.6%Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/15+5.6pp40.0%

Pressure · 1–1

44.6%Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/15+6.1pp38.5%

61.5%Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/15+2.8pp64.3%

Points · 1–0

54.2%Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/15+4.2pp50.0%

Timo Legout

Evan Bynoe

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Timo Legout

Result1 of 1 landed

Games2 of 3 landed

Sets2 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Evan Bynoe @ 6.50

Timo Legout

Evan Bynoe

Stat Battle